Tampa Bay (35-35) at Detroit (32-34)
When: Saturday, June 17th 2017
Where: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Time: 4:10 ET | TV: FOX Sports 1
Opening Odds: Detroit -107/9
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The Detroit Tigers will look to stay hot at the plate when they host the third game of a four-game set with the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday afternoon on Fox Sports 1. The Tigers have scored 18 runs on 24 hits while winning the first two games of the series and received four RBIs from Nick Castellanos and three from Justin Upton on the way to a 13-4 victory on Friday. Detroit’s veteran designated hitter Victor Martinez was hospitalized after Thursday’s game due to an irregular heartbeat and later placed on the disabled list, as catcher John Hicks was recalled to take his place on the roster. Miguel Cabrera is 10-for-25 during a six-game hitting streak and Castellanos has 12 RBIs in 13 games this month for a Tigers team that is just three game out of first place in the AL Central. The Rays have dropped three in a row after winning six of seven, but infielder Tim Beckham (knee) returned to the lineup Friday with a pair of hits. Tampa Bay center fielder Mallex Smith has hit safely in eight straight games (13-for-30) after taking over for injured Kevin Kiermaier (hip). Tampa Bay OF Colby Rasmus, who sat out Friday’s game against a lefty, has hit safely in his last seven games (11-for-22). Two pitchers who are looking to turn things around take the mound tonight – Detroit’s Michael Fulmer and Tampa Bay ace Chris Archer.
Pitchers: Rays – Chris Archer (4-4, 3.80 ERA) | Tigers – Michael Fulmer (6-4, 3.40)
Archer has just one win in his last six turns despite posting three quality starts in that stretch after recording five in his first eight appearances of the season. Archer allowed four runs on seven hits over five innings in a no-decision against Detroit on April 19th and is 1-2 with a 3.63 ERA in his career versus the Tigers. Cabrera is 6-for-15 with a homer against Archer, who has limited opponents to a .221 batting average on the road.
Fulmer has allowed five runs in each of his last two starts, but earned the victory June 2nd against the Chicago White Sox after completing seven innings. Fulmer started the season with 10 consecutive quality starts, including one against Tampa Bay on April 18th when he allowed three runs over six innings in a 5-1 loss. Beckham is 1-for-2 with a homer versus Fulmer, who was 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA in two starts against the Rays in 2016.
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The Tigers have the bats going right now and Tampa Bay does not play well on the road. Archers has not pitched like an ace of late and was hit pretty good by Detroit earlier this season. I like Fulmer in this matchup as we look to make it two straight wins after last night’s Cubs victory.
Pick: Tigers -105
W/L TRENDS
| Tampa Bay |
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.
- Rays are 21-51 in their last 72 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.
- Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Rays are 4-1 in Archer’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 5-2 in Archer’s last 7 starts vs. American League Central.
- Rays are 7-3 in Archer’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 7-16 in Archer’s last 23 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Rays are 5-16 in Archer’s last 21 starts with 5 days of rest.
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| Detroit |
- Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
- Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Tigers are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 4-0 in Fulmer’s last 4 starts with 8 or more days of rest.
- Tigers are 9-1 in Fulmer’s last 10 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Tigers are 6-1 in Fulmer’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 9-2 in Fulmer’s last 11 starts vs. American League East.
- Tigers are 7-2 in Fulmer’s last 9 home starts.
- Tigers are 5-2 in Fulmer’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 12-5 in Fulmer’s last 17 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Tigers are 24-10 in Fulmer’s last 34 starts on grass.
- Tigers are 25-11 in Fulmer’s last 36 starts.
- Tigers are 0-4 in Fulmer’s last 4 Saturday starts.
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OU TRENDS
| Tampa Bay |
- Over is 7-1 in Rays last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 Saturday games.
- Over is 10-2 in Rays last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 13-3 in Rays last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 8-2 in Rays last 10 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-2 in Rays last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 12-4 in Rays last 16 on grass.
- Over is 18-6 in Rays last 24 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Archer’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Archer’s last 6 Saturday starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Archer’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-1 in Archer’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 22-7-1 in Archer’s last 30 starts on grass.
- Over is 19-7-1 in Archer’s last 27 road starts.
- Over is 5-2 in Archer’s last 7 starts vs. American League Central.
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| Detroit |
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Fulmer’s last 5 Saturday starts.
- Over is 6-2 in Fulmer’s last 8 home starts.
- Over is 10-4 in Fulmer’s last 14 starts on grass.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.
- Rays are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings.
- Rays are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.
- Rays are 1-4 in Archer’s last 5 starts vs. Tigers.
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