Patriots vs Lions Odds, Trends, and Free Pick – November 25th, 2010 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The betting line for this week’s Thanksgiving Day NFL game between the New England Patriots and Detroit Lions has seen a steady increase towards the Patriots at Bdg Sportsbook. The Lions opened up at +7 -120 and now sits at +7.5 -115. The total opened at 51 at has not moved. 84% of the betting public is on the Patriots and 75% are on the under. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Patriots are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Patriots are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Patriots are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Lions are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 5-0 in Lions last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Lions last 6 home games.
Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games as a home underdog.
My Prediction: The Patriots have the 2nd worst pass defense in the NFL. The Lions love to pass and have some good weapons at wide receiver. I like a back-door cover here.