NFL GAMBLING TIPS
by Kevin of Ultimatecapper.com
First let's take a look at preseason football betting then we'llmove on to regular season strategy a bit further down the page.
First year coaches - Be sure to checkout first year coaches. They make take Preseason games more seriouslyas their looking to come in and make a good impression on theteam, the fans, and of course the media.
Coaches whose jobs are on the line - Checkout coaches who may be motivated by the fact their coming offa crappy year and their jobs may be on the line. A coach on thehot seat will tend to be more motivated than a coach that knowsthey have job security.
Go against coaches who are comfy with theirjobs - We all know the previous year's superbowl teams coachesjobs arent in any jeorpardy. These teams are more than likelyset and are just looking to see who their going to carry on thebench or to fill one or two departed spots. These teams will lackmotivation and over the long term are likely a good "go against"despite the team being talented.
Keep an eye our for 2 QB's battling for thethe starting job - Your assured that your going to get a topnotch performance throughout the whole game! This angle providestremendous value as neither want to foul up and risk losing thestarting job!
For more NFL handicapping helpers includingstats click
here!
REGULAR SEASON FOOTBALL WAGERING ADVICE
Be leary of betting on -2.5, -6.5, or -9.5- This is a hook to make the bettor think "oh, they only haveto win by a fg, td, or fg and a td. Go the other way on lineslike this and reap the benefits long term!
Things to make note of when capping Football
Power Ratings and angles - These 2 forms of handicappinghelpers should be used as supportive info to supplement your decision,not your principle reason for siding on a game.
Head to head history
Turnovers - teams that coughit up usually suck ats
Common Opponents - how did both teamsplay vs. the common opponent
Injuries - Make sure key players aren'tout! The Center in football is VERY important due to timing issues!
Weather - Needless to say, inclement weathercan affect the outcome of a ballgame. Hint: Bad weather can leadto less scoring; Warm climate teams playing in freezing temperaturesmay not be used to the cold and it may negatively affect theirplay.
Line Movement - Don't base your play onit, but don't bet against it without knowing what is causing theodds to change.
Offensive stats vs. defensive - Make sureyou know if the team your looking to bet on is 26th in rushingand is going up against the number one rated rushing defense!
Who sucks on the road and who plays well athome - This will be factored into the spread but it's surelyworth knowing if a team doesn't score well on the road!
Kicking game - Make sure your backing aguy that isn't a shanker
Stupid over-penalized teams - Low IQ playand getting nailed with dumb penalties is for real and it canhurt you! Raiders anyone?
Preparation - If the team played on Mondaynight are they prepared to play on a short week? Most teams aren't!
Strength of schedule - Has the team gota bad record but played stellar teams with winning records toaccrue that bad record?
Double digit underdogs are good stuff!- The higher the spread, the less likely the favorite will coverit. Teams play to be on the good side of zero, not to cover pointspreads.
Beware of a team off a huge win - Especiallyif that win was an upset as they are likely to have a letdown!We can't explain this, but it's for real.
Play against high visibility public teamsin disarray - Turmoil and trouble spells doom for point spreads.Great go againsts!
Home Dogs - NFL home dogs should alwaysat least be considered. It's not always a winner but a good placeto start sniffing for value. Teams like to protect their homefield and there's a bunch of other reasons as well.
Other tips - Often times the team withthe better rusher wins the game. The same bodes for defense aswell. Also, in the
NFL
, teamsthat win the game straight up usually cover! Weird stat but true. | 
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