Michigan State vs Alabama Odds, Trends, and Free Pick – 2011 Capital One Bowl ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The betting line for this year’s Capital One Bowl between the Michigan State Spartans and Alabama Crimson Tide opened up with Alabama as 10.5-point favorites and the line has gone back and forth between 10 and 11 at Sportsbook.com. The line sits at 10 as of Friday night. The total opened at 51 and now sits at 52.5. Right now, 60% of the betting public is on Alabama and 59% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Spartans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
Over is 6-1 in Spartans last 7 non-conference games.
Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Crimson Tide last 4 Bowl games.
Over is 4-0 in Crimson Tide last 4 neutral site games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
My Prediction: 10 points is way too much for a team from the Big Ten with only 1 loss. Michigan State will keep this close.
Michigan State +10