Marlins vs Mets Preview and Free Pick – May 29th, 2015 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The New York Mets are still hanging tough in the National League East division race, and they can improve their position Friday night (7:10 PM ET) when they host the wayward Miami Marlins in the first of a three-game series. New York is coming off a sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies, and meanwhile Miami just dropped three straight games to the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Matt Harvey (3.07 FIP) is scheduled to take the mound for the Mets. He’s enjoying an excellent season since returning from Tommy John surgery, leading New York (27-21, plus-6.40 units) to 2.96 betting units in profit on a team record of 6-3. However, Harvey was shelled for seven runs in his last start against Pittsburgh. The Mets are concerned that Harvey could be experiencing “dead arm” issues.
While the Marlins (18-30, minus-14.63 units) are one of the least profitable clubs in the majors, Haren (4.24 FIP) has held up his end of the bargain, earning 2.85 units on the same team record of 6-3. However, the former three-time All-Star has had some good luck along the way. Miami has given Haren 4.78 runs per game of support, up from 3.7 runs per game overall.
Pick: Dan Haren has done well against the Mets in his career and there are talks of Matt Harvey having a ‘dead arm’. As dominant as he can be I just can’t lay -185 on the Mets right now. I’ll take a shot with the underdog here.
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