Marlins vs Braves Odds, Trends, and Free Pick – April 13th, 2011 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The opening line for tonight’s Marlins vs Braves game was -135 (-1.5 +170) in favor of Hudson and the Braves at SportsInteraction.com and the total was set at 7 u25. Here are some trends for tonight’s game:
Marlins are 10-1 in Johnsons last 11 Wednesday starts.
Marlins are 5-1 in Johnsons last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Marlins are 4-1 in Johnsons last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Braves are 4-1 in Hudsons last 5 starts on grass.
Braves are 9-3 in Hudsons last 12 home starts.
Braves are 8-3 in Hudsons last 11 starts as a home favorite.
Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Hudsons last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Hudsons last 5 starts as a home underdog.
Over is 4-1-1 in Johnsons last 6 road starts vs. Braves.
Braves are 13-5 in Hudsons last 18 starts vs. Marlins.
My Prediction: Josh Johnson was brilliant in 3 starts last year in Atlanta allowing only 2 earned runs while striking out 21. Unfortunately, the Marlins lost 2 of those games. Tim Hudson has won both starts this year for the Braves including shutting down the Phillies in his last outing. It seems like Johnson steps up against the top competition and gets hit harder by the weaker hitting teams. With the combination of Hudson pitching well and the free-swinging Marlins offense, I look for this game to go under the total.