Mariners vs Yankees Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [8/25/17]

Seattle (65-63) at NY Yankees (68-58)
When: Friday, August 25th 2017
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: New York -148/9.5

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The New York Yankees return home and hope to get down to some baseball after yesterday’s wild scene in Detroit. They will host the Seattle Mariners in the opener of a three-game series on Friday and will also entertain Central-leading Cleveland and East-leading Boston during the homestand. The Yankees finished off their road trip with a 10-6 loss at Detroit that featured five hit batters and three benches-clearing incidents. New York manager Joe Girardi placed the blame for the benches-clearing brawls squarely on the umpires, though Yankees pitcher Dellin Betances did hit a batter in the head with a fastball and both Girardi and bench coach Robby Thompson were ejected. Suspensions will likely be handed down after MLB reviews everything, which could take a few days. New York missed out on a chance to sweep to the Tigers and will begin the weekend 4.5 games behind Boston in the AL East. The Mariners have won six of their last eight and enter the series four games behind the wild card-leading Yankees and a half-game behind the Twins for the second spot. Seattle will be without former Yankee Robinson Cano as he’s scheduled for an MRI on Friday and joins OF Guillermo Heredia (forearm) as day-to-day. New York’s Gary Sanchez, who more than likely be suspended after Thursday’s fracas, went 7-for-15 with four home runs, nine RBIs and five runs scored in the Detroit series.

Pitchers: Mariners – Ariel Miranda (8-6, 4.78 ERA) | Yankees – CC Sabathia (10-5, 3.99)

Ariel Miranda is coming off a win over Tampa Bay on Saturday, but hasn’t looked very good lately. He hasn’t finished six innings in any of his last four starts and allowed three runs and five hits over five innings against the Rays. Miranda issued only one walk in that win after surrendering six free passes over 4.2 innings in a loss to the Los Angeles Angels on August 13th. He had a no-decision in his only start this year against the Yankees on July 22nd, allowing two runs in 5.1 innings.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS SEATTLE SEAHAWKS FREE PICK

CC Sabathia is coming off a win over the Boston Red Sox on Saturday, allowing two runs and four hits over six innings to snap a three-start winless streak. The hefty-lefty topped out at six innings in his last eight outings and was lifted on Saturday despite throwing just 80 pitches. Sabathia needed 98 pitches to get through five innings at Seattle on July 21st but surrendered only one run on four hits and three walks to come away with the win.

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Look for the Yankees to take-out their frustrations from yesterday’s game out on Miranda tonight. Seattle’s lineup is short-handed without Cano and the Mariners are only hitting .190 against lefties over their last ten games. I’ll take New York on the runline.

Pick: Yankees -1.5 +130

BETTING TRENDS:

  • Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 games following an off day.
  • Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
  • Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 road games.
  • Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
  • Mariners are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Mariners are 12-5 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Mariners are 9-20 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Mariners are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Mariners are 2-5 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Mariners are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Mariners are 9-1 in Mirandas’ last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Mariners are 5-1 in Miranda’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Mariners are 4-1 in Miranda’s last 5 road starts.
  • Mariners are 6-2 in Miranda’s last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Mariners are 5-2 in Miranda’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Mariners are 11-5 in Miranda’s last 16 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Mariners are 11-5 in Miranda’s last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss.
  • Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 49-20 in their last 69 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
  • Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
  • Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 games on grass.
  • Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.
  • Yankees are 9-4 in their last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 6-13 in their last 19 vs. American League West.
  • Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Yankees are 9-0 in Sabathia’s last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 5-0 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Yankees are 10-1 in Sabathia’s last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 6-1 in Sabathia’s last 7 Friday starts.
  • Yankees are 9-2 in Sabathia’s last 11 home starts.
  • Yankees are 4-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Yankees are 4-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts on grass.
  • Yankees are 15-6 in Sabathia’s last 21 starts.
  • Yankees are 37-16 in Sabathia’s last 53 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Yankees are 36-16 in Sabathia’s last 52 starts vs. American League West.
  • Yankees are 50-23 in Sabathia’s last 73 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Yankees are 1-4 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Mariners last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 20-7 in Mariners last 27 games following an off day.
  • Over is 5-2 in Mariners last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 9-4-1 in Mariners last 14 on grass.
  • Over is 5-0 in Miranda’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 4-1 in Miranda’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Miranda’s last 5 road starts.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Miranda’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-2 in Miranda’s last 9 starts overall.
  • Over is 6-2 in Miranda’s last 8 starts on grass.
  • Over is 5-2 in Miranda’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2 in Miranda’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in Yankees last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
  • Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 vs. American League West.
  • Over is 8-3-1 in Yankees last 12 Friday games.
  • Under is 13-5-2 in Yankees last 20 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 10-4-1 in Yankees last 15 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 on grass.
  • Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 overall.
  • Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 7-3-1 in Yankees last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in Sabathia’s last 4 starts vs. American League West.
  • Under is 10-1 in Sabathia’s last 11 starts on grass.
  • Over is 8-2 in Sabathia’s last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 4-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Under is 8-2 in Sabathia’s last 10 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Under is 18-5-3 in Sabathia’s last 26 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 18-6-2 in Sabathia’s last 26 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-3-1 in Sabathia’s last 12 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 18-7-2 in Sabathia’s last 27 home starts.
  • Under is 20-8-2 in Sabathia’s last 30 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 5-2 in Sabathia’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 10-4-1 in Sabathia’s last 15 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 36-17-3 in Sabathia’s last 56 starts overall.
  • Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.
  • Under is 4-0 in Sabathia’s last 4 starts vs. Mariners.
  • Yankees are 13-3 in Sabathia’s last 16 starts vs. Mariners.
  • Under is 3-1-2 in Sabathia’s last 6 home starts vs. Mariners.
  • Yankees are 6-2 in Sabathia’s last 8 home starts vs. Mariners.
  • Under is 25-9-3 in the last 37 meetings.
  • Mariners are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in New York.
  • Mariners are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.

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