Lions vs Saints Spread, Trends and Free Pick – January 7th, 2012 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
||Detroit (10-6) at New Orleans (13-3)
When: Saturday, January 7th, 2012
Where: Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Time: 8:00 ET
Lions are 0-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Lions are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Saints are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Saints are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.
Under is 6-2 in Lions last 8 games on fieldturf.
Over is 20-7 in Lions last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games in January.
Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games on fieldturf.
Prediction: This Wild Card game is a rematch of a December 4th contest in which the Saints beat the Lions 31-17. Since then, the Lions have won 3 of 4 and are averaging 35 points a game. The problem is, they are also allowing 27 points a game. That’s not a good stat to have coming to the Superdome. The Saints have covered 12 of their 16 games this year. There doesn’t seem to be a line big enough they can’t cover. This line of 11 seems like a gift. While playing at home, the Saints average 41 points a game. You take that and add the fact that this is a playoff game at night against a team that just can’t stop anyone right now. I’ll take the Saints to roll in this one.
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