Cleveland (2-0) at NY Yankees (0-2)
When: Sunday, October 8th 2017
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Time: 7:35 ET | TV: FOX Sports 1
Opening Odds: Cleveland -108/8
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The Cleveland Indians ended the regular season with one of the hottest runs in MLB history and have followed that by taking the first two games against the New York Yankees in the American League Division Series. They will attempt a three-game sweep when the series shifts to Yankee Stadium for Game 3 on Sunday night. Cleveland rallied from an 8-3 deficit on the strength of a grand slam by Francisco Lindor and a solo shot from Jay Bruce before Yan Gomes drove in the walk-off run in an epic 13-inning battle on Friday. Yankees manager Joe Girardi found himself answering questions about his decision not to challenge a hit-by-pitch call that preceded Lindor’s slam and his decision to pull starter CC Sabathia in the sixth inning after 77 pitches. “There was nothing that told us that he was not hit on the pitch,” Girardi told reporters after the game. “By the time we got the super slow-mo, we are beyond a minute. It was way too late. They tell us we have the 30 seconds. They will take longer in replay.” On Saturday, Girardi backed down a bit, saying basically that he screwed up. The Indians may be without DH Edwin Encarnacion on Sunday after he left Game 2 with a sprained ankle. Michael Brantley, who is still recovering from an ankle injury, came in for Encarnacion and will probably get the start in Game 3. New York slugger Aaron Judge is 0-for-7 with five strikeouts in the series.
Pitchers: Indians – Carlos Carrasco (18-6, 3.29 ERA) | Yankees – Masahiro Tanaka (13-12, 4.74)
Carlos Carrasco, who has not lost since August 22nd, will get the nod on Sunday. He finished out the regular season by allowing one or zero runs in six of his final seven starts. Carrasco’s last start was probably the best of the bunch as he struck out 14 over 8.1 scoreless innings against the Minnesota Twins. Carrasco, who is making his postseason debut after sitting out last October with a broken hand, had a rough outing earlier this season against the Yankees. On August 6th, Carrasco allowed five runs in 5.2 innings and took the loss.
Masahiro Tanaka was also terrific in his last outing in September, striking out 15 without a walk and allowing just three hits in seven scoreless innings against Toronto. Tanaka allowed seven earned runs in two of his three previous outings but finished the regular season with a career-high 194 strikeouts. He lost his only previous postseason start in the 2015 wild-card game against Houston and is 1-2 with a 4.63 ERA in four career starts against Cleveland.
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Losing the way the Yankees did on Friday is hard enough to bounce back from during the regular season, but in a postseason game, it’s demoralizing. Tanaka was great in his last outing, but he’s been inconsistent, while Carrasco has been on a roll just like his team. I think Cleveland ends the series tonight.
Pick: Indians -116
BETTING TRENDS:
- Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 Divisional Playoff games.
- Indians are 11-0 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
- Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 Sunday games.
- Indians are 8-1 in their last 9 games following an off day.
- Indians are 44-8 in their last 52 overall.
- Indians are 10-2 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Indians are 42-9 in their last 51 games on grass.
- Indians are 45-10 in their last 55 games following a win.
- Indians are 42-12 in their last 54 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 16-5 in their last 21 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 40-13 in their last 53 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Indians are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. American League East.
- Indians are 37-14 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 playoff road games.
- Indians are 36-15 in their last 51 road games.
- Indians are 12-5 in their last 17 playoff games.
- Indians are 37-16 in their last 53 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 40-18 in their last 58 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Indians are 35-17 in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 5-0 in Carrasco’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Indians are 4-0 in Carrasco’s last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Indians are 7-1 in Carrasco’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 4-1 in Carrasco’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 23-6 in Carrasco’s last 29 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 7-2 in Carrasco’s last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 27-11 in Carrasco’s last 38 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 40-17 in Carrasco’s last 57 starts.
- Indians are 36-16 in Carrasco’s last 52 road starts.
- Indians are 9-4 in Carrasco’s last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 36-17 in Carrasco’s last 53 starts on grass.
- Indians are 1-9 in Carrasco’s last 10 starts with 9 or more days of rest.
- Yankees are 9-0 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 14-3 in their last 17 home games.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 16-6 in their last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 21-8 in their last 29 games following a loss.
- Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 games on grass.
- Yankees are 38-17 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Yankees are 17-8 in their last 25 overall.
- Yankees are 87-42 in their last 129 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
- Yankees are 39-19 in their last 58 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 4-9 in their last 13 games following an off day.
- Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 playoff games.
- Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Tanaka’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 9-1 in Tanaka’s last 10 starts vs. American League Central.
- Yankees are 10-3 in Tanaka’s last 13 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 6-2 in Tanaka’s last 8 starts.
- Yankees are 38-16 in Tanaka’s last 54 home starts.
- Yankees are 35-17 in Tanaka’s last 52 starts on grass.
- Yankees are 1-4 in Tanaka’s last 5 Sunday starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 Sunday games.
- Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Indians last 7 playoff road games.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Indians last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 Divisional Playoff road games.
- Under is 12-4 in Indians last 16 playoff games.
- Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 overall.
- Under is 35-14-3 in Indians last 52 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 14-6 in Indians last 20 games following a win.
- Under is 39-18-7 in Indians last 64 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 51-24-5 in Indians last 80 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 10-0 in Carrasco’s last 10 starts with 9 or more days of rest.
- Over is 5-1 in Carrasco’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 10-3 in Carrasco’s last 13 starts on grass.
- Under is 9-3 in Carrasco’s last 12 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 14-5 in Carrasco’s last 19 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Carrasco’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 10-4 in Carrasco’s last 14 starts overall.
- Over is 5-2 in Carrasco’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 19-8 in Carrasco’s last 27 road starts.
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 Divisional Playoff home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 Sunday games.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 Divisional Playoff games.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 playoff home games.
- Over is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 19-6-2 in Yankees last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 8-3 in Yankees last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games.
- Under is 13-6 in Yankees last 19 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 12-3 in Tanaka’s last 15 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-2 in Tanaka’s last 8 starts overall.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Tanaka’s last 9 home starts.
- Indians are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
- Indians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
- Over is 4-1 in Carrasco’s last 5 starts vs. Yankees.
