Giants vs Dodgers Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [7/30/17]

San Francisco (40-65) at LA Dodgers (73-31)
When: Sunday, April 1st 2017
Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Los Angeles OFF

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The San Francisco Giants will move their ace up one day so that he can try and help his team avoid a sweep of rival the Los Angeles Dodgers on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. Madison Bumgarner was scheduled to start on Monday and speculation as to why he was moved to Sunday is widespread. Just check out this article from The Mercury News. After a 6-4 come-from-behind win in the series opener, the Dodgers scored two early runs and held on for a 2-1 victory on Saturday to claim their seventh win in a row. L.A. will look for their third winning streak of eight games or more since mid-June. They have allowed an average of 3.14 runs during the current streak, which gives Los Angeles an incredible 38-6 mark since June 7th and puts the club 42 games over .500 (73-31) for the first time since finishing 102-60 in 1974. Corey Seager had three hits – two doubles – and scored both runs for the Dodgers on Saturday and he is 5-for-8 with four runs scored and three RBIs in the series. Bumgarner and the Giants are having a rough season, but remarkably, they have split the 12 games against the Dodgers. San Francisco is 18-36 on the road and 33.5 games behind their National League West rivals. Giants LF Gorkys Hernandez has hit safely in eight of his last nine games after doubling in three at-bats Saturday.

Pitchers: Giants – Madison Bumgarner (1-4, 3.38 ERA) | Dodgers – Hyun-Jin Ryu (3-6, 4.17)

The Giants had lost each of Bumgarner’s first six starts this year before a win over the Pittsburgh Pirates in his last outing. He allowed just one run in five innings to earn his first victory of the season. Bumgarner has 42 strikeouts against just eight walks in 2017 and he’s posted a 2.89 ERA through his first four road outings. He is 14-9 with a 2.70 ERA in his career against the Dodgers. Look for the Dodgers to start seldom-used Enrique Hernandez , who is 12-for-24 with three homers against the four-time All-Star.

Ryu has not gone deep into games recently, but still has a decent record to show for it. In his last five starts, he has failed to get through six innings, but has allowed exactly two runs in each of the last four to help the Dodgers go 3-1 in that stretch. He limited the Giants to a run in six innings at San Francisco earlier this year and is 4-5 with a 3.79 ERA in 10 career matchups. Hunter Pence, whose solo homer accounted for all of the offense for the Giants on Saturday, is 11-for-25 with a pair of doubles against Ryu.

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Moving Bumgarner up to face the Dodgers won’t help much here. The Dodgers are on a historic run and to go against them right now would just be foolish. The line is OFF the board because of the pitching change, but I’m taking the runline tonight.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 +150

W/L TRENDS

San Francisco
  • Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Giants are 18-38 in their last 56 road games.
  • Giants are 8-17 in their last 25 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Giants are 6-13 in their last 19 overall.
  • Giants are 6-13 in their last 19 games on grass.
  • Giants are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Giants are 7-18 in their last 25 games following a loss.
  • Giants are 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Giants are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 Sunday games.
  • Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Giants are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. National League West.
  • Giants are 5-1 in Bumgarner’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Giants are 4-1 in Bumgarner’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Giants are 13-4 in Bumgarner’s last 17 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Giants are 16-5 in Bumgarner’s last 21 Sunday starts.
  • Giants are 21-10 in Bumgarner’s last 31 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Giants are 1-6 in Bumgarner’s last 7 starts.
  • Giants are 1-6 in Bumgarner’s last 7 starts on grass.
  • Giants are 0-4 in Bumgarner’s last 4 road starts.
  • Giants are 0-5 in Bumgarner’s last 5 starts vs. National League West.
LA Dodgers
  • Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
  • Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Dodgers are 11-1 in their last 12 vs. National League West.
  • Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 Sunday games.
  • Dodgers are 22-4 in their last 26 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Dodgers are 42-10 in their last 52 games following a win.
  • Dodgers are 46-11 in their last 57 overall.
  • Dodgers are 46-11 in their last 57 games on grass.
  • Dodgers are 41-10 in their last 51 home games.
  • Dodgers are 16-5 in their last 21 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 38-15 in their last 53 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 57-23 in their last 80 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 43-21 in their last 64 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Dodgers are 6-0 in Ryu’s last 6 Sunday starts.
  • Dodgers are 6-1 in Ryu’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Dodgers are 5-1 in Ryu’s last 6 home starts.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 starts.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 starts on grass.
  • Dodgers are 27-8 in Ryu’s last 35 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Dodgers are 22-10 in Ryu’s last 32 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 3-7 in Ryu’s last 10 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 0-6 in Ryu’s last 6 starts vs. National League West.
  • Dodgers are 0-4 in Ryu’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

San Francisco
  • Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 7-2-2 in Giants last 11 Sunday games.
  • Over is 6-2-1 in Giants last 9 vs. National League West.
  • Over is 17-6-4 in Giants last 27 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 11-4-2 in Giants last 17 overall.
  • Over is 11-4-2 in Giants last 17 on grass.
  • Under is 5-2 in Giants last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 20-8-4 in Giants last 32 games following a loss.
  • Under is 5-2 in Giants last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Bumgarner’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Bumgarner’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Bumgarner’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 24-9 in Bumgarner’s last 33 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-3 in Bumgarner’s last 10 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
LA Dodgers
  • Over is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 7-1-1 in Dodgers last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last 8 games following a win.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 on grass.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 27-11-2 in Dodgers last 40 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Ryu’s last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 starts on grass.
  • Over is 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Ryu’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 starts overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 home starts.
  • Under is 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 starts vs. National League West.
  • Under is 15-5-1 in Ryu’s last 21 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2 in Ryu’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Under is 11-5-1 in Ryu’s last 17 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 11-5-1 in Ryu’s last 17 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 8-3-1 in Bumgarners last 12 road starts vs. Dodgers.
  • Under is 13-6-1 in Bumgarners last 20 starts vs. Dodgers.
  • Giants are 5-13 in the last 18 meetings in Los Angeles.
  • Giants are 1-6 in Bumgarners last 7 starts vs. Dodgers.
  • Giants are 0-4 in Bumgarners last 4 road starts vs. Dodgers.

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