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  #1  
Old 05-25-2004, 04:46 PM
TopNotchPlays TopNotchPlays is offline
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MINN/LA - Analysis & TOP NOTCH PLAY

0-2 WTD
-11000


MINNESOTA (180.5)
LA LAKERS -8

The Minnesota Timberwolves are a putrid 1-4 ATS overall in Road Games and just 1-2 ATS as a Road Dog this Postseason. In addition, they sit at a measley 2-3 SU. In those 5 Games, they were beaten by 21, 6 and 17...while their 2 lone wins came by a combined 3pts. In Game 3's they are 5-4 SU all time and an incredible 9-1 when playing in a night game on Tuesday.

The Los Angeles Lakers are a bookie busting 5-1 ATS at Home both overall and as a Fav in this years Postseason play. They are also a perfect 6-0 SU - winning by margins of 1 (lost ATS), 14, 19, 24, 8 and 12. In their last 12 Games 3's they are 9-3 SU and a decent 6-4 on Tuesdays.

I also took a gander at the Head-to-Head numbers between these two dating from present back to early 2000, in which they've met 12 times on the Lakers Home Court. LA holds a 7-5 lead ATS while the O/U was 6-5-1. I checked out each teams points scored as well:

Minny scored 90-99pts just 3 times and 100+pts 4 times in 12 games. However, combined, they are 7-5 at 90+pts.

LA scored 90-99pts just once, but scored 100+pts 9 times in the 12 games. That gives them a combined record of 10-2 at 90+pts.

I decided to go one step further with this - looking ONLY at LA Home Games where they were priced at a minimum of -8. That gave me a total of 7 games between the two teams. The Lakers were just 3-4 ATS, but the O/U was 6-1 based on tonight's Line of 180.

You're probably asking, "WHAT THE HELL DOES ALL THIS HAVE TO DO WITH TONIGHT'S GAME???!!!!

I was just getting to that....based on ALL my computations, here is what SHOULD transpire tonight. The Lakers SHOULD win by a minimum of 9pts. Now, what needs to happen for that to occur?

The Lakers MUST return to the type of play that gave them the Win/Cover in Game 1 at Minny - meaning SERIOUS doses of Shaq and Malone while double teaming Garnett. WHY?
Because the Timberwolves have ABSOLUTELY NO ANSWER FOR THE BIG BOYS DOWN LOW!!!!

My TOP NOTCH PLAY is based on exactly that happening tonight:

LAKERS -8 over Minn (15 Dimes)

Best of Luck to everyone tonight...no matter who you play!!!
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Old 05-25-2004, 05:49 PM
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Good Lord....15 dimes. WOW!!!

Did you buy the .5 also????

Anyway....Good Luck!
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Old 05-25-2004, 07:07 PM
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Thats a lot of dust to throw around on a championship type game, I am on Minnesota tonight +8.5!!! Just the same BOLtonight TOP!!! I feel bad about saying I bet $440.00/$400.00 and your laying $16,500.00/$15,000.00
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Old 05-25-2004, 07:34 PM
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BillyBarooooooo BillyBarooooooo is offline
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Probably wont even watch the game!!!

Go luck tho

BB
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Old 05-25-2004, 08:06 PM
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I THINK it is actually 15000 to win 13500.......but I could be wrong. Probably depends on the outcome of the game.

GL on the play.
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Old 05-25-2004, 08:32 PM
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I went with Minny tonight but GL Top.
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Old 05-25-2004, 11:55 PM
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you the man Top!
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Old 05-25-2004, 11:59 PM
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BB and JB LOSmiles :

Nice win Top.

GL tomorrow!:
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Old 05-26-2004, 01:55 AM
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Lakers win Lakers win

Nice job! Just thougth I give you a heads up, oh and they covered too.


BB
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Old 05-26-2004, 06:42 AM
TopNotchPlays TopNotchPlays is offline
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Guys, I actually watched last nights game...lol. No way was I going to trust ESPN at 3am for another reversed score.

All I care about is I'm back on the plus side with a chance to increase my winnings tonight.

1-2 WTD
+4000

Thanks for all the support and congrats to all that had the Lakers!!
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