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rjp
04-19-2005, 09:50 AM
YTD: 24-25 (-2.12 units)

Texas -114 (Blanton/Astacio) ROI 35%
Kansas City +109 (Elarton/Bautista) ROI 78%
NY Yankees -270 (Nomo/Johnson) ROI 16%

Oakland/Texas UNDER 10 (+107) (Blanton/Astacio)
Detroit/Baltimore OVER 10.5 (-105) (Robertson/Ponson)

Let's break the man today. :gulp: :yeah:

rjp
04-19-2005, 09:53 AM
Here you go CM:

Oakland (J Blanton)@Texas (P Astacio) (2:05 p.m. EST)
Run Production: Oakland 3.01; Texas 3.97
Line: Oakland +106; Texas -114
Predicted Line: Oakland +259; Texas -259
Side ROI: Oakland -42.62%; Texas 35.25%
Total: OVER 10 (-117)/UNDER 10 (+107)
Predicted Total: 6.5

Oakland's J Blanton (11 IP/2 G):
o xERA: 2.81
o WHIP: 0.91
o BFG: 21
o Hit Rate: 16%
o Dominance: 3.27
o Control Rate: 2.45
o HR Rate: 1.64
o CMD Rate: 1.3
o Dominations: 1 (50.0%)
o Disasters: 1 (50.0%)
o Starts: 2

Texas's P Astacio (14 IP/2 G):
o xERA: 1.68
o WHIP: 0.93
o BFG: 26
o Hit Rate: 28%
o Dominance: 7.07
o Control Rate: 1.29
o HR Rate: 0.00
o CMD Rate: 5.5
o Dominations: 2 (100.0%)
o Disasters: 0 (0.0%)
o Starts: 2

Oakland's bullpen (32.61 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 4.19
o WHIP: 1.32
o BFG: 13
o Hit Rate: 32%
o Dominance: 9.11
o Control Rate: 3.04
o HR Rate: 1.10
o CMD Rate: 3.0

Texas's bullpen (31.6 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 4.63
o WHIP: 1.58
o BFG: 14
o Hit Rate: 34%
o Dominance: 7.41
o Control Rate: 4.56
o HR Rate: 0.57
o CMD Rate: 1.6


Cleveland (S Elarton)@Kansas City (D Bautista) (2:10 p.m. EST)
Run Production: Cleveland 3.15; Kansas City 2.69
Line: Cleveland -113; Kansas City +105
Predicted Line: Cleveland +658; Kansas City -658
Side ROI: Cleveland -75.20%; Kansas City 78.26%
Total: OVER 9.5 (-112)/UNDER 9.5 (+102)
Predicted Total: 6.8

Cleveland's S Elarton (9.99 IP/2 G):
o xERA: 7.79
o WHIP: 1.80
o BFG: 23
o Hit Rate: 32%
o Dominance: 6.31
o Control Rate: 4.50
o HR Rate: 2.70
o CMD Rate: 1.4
o Dominations: 0 (0.0%)
o Disasters: 2 (100.0%)
o Starts: 2

Kansas City's D Bautista (11.33 IP/2 G):
o xERA: 1.11
o WHIP: 0.88
o BFG: 21
o Hit Rate: 23%
o Dominance: 7.15
o Control Rate: 2.38
o HR Rate: 0.00
o CMD Rate: 3.0
o Dominations: 1 (50.0%)
o Disasters: 1 (50.0%)
o Starts: 2

Cleveland's bullpen (30.63 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 1.64
o WHIP: 0.75
o BFG: 11
o Hit Rate: 16%
o Dominance: 6.76
o Control Rate: 2.06
o HR Rate: 1.18
o CMD Rate: 3.3

Kansas City's bullpen (29.94 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 3.79
o WHIP: 1.30
o BFG: 12
o Hit Rate: 26%
o Dominance: 5.11
o Control Rate: 3.61
o HR Rate: 0.90
o CMD Rate: 1.4


Seattle (J Moyer)@Anaheim (K Gregg) (4:05 p.m. EST)
Run Production: Seattle 3.46; Anaheim 2.81
Line: Seattle +110; Anaheim -118
Predicted Line: Seattle +146; Anaheim -146
Side ROI: Seattle -14.63%; Anaheim 10.12%
Total: OVER 9.5 (-115)/UNDER 9.5 (+105)
Predicted Total: 7.7

Seattle's J Moyer (17.99 IP/3 G):
o xERA: 5.41
o WHIP: 1.45
o BFG: 26
o Hit Rate: 32%
o Dominance: 6.50
o Control Rate: 2.50
o HR Rate: 1.50
o CMD Rate: 2.6
o Dominations: 0 (0.0%)
o Disasters: 2 (66.7%)
o Starts: 3

Anaheim's K Gregg (5 IP/1 G):
o xERA: 4.06
o WHIP: 1.40
o BFG: 21
o Hit Rate: 17%
o Dominance: 7.20
o Control Rate: 7.20
o HR Rate: 1.80
o CMD Rate: 1.0
o Dominations: 0 (0.0%)
o Disasters: 1 (100.0%)
o Starts: 1

Seattle's bullpen (25.96 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 4.99
o WHIP: 1.19
o BFG: 10
o Hit Rate: 25%
o Dominance: 7.63
o Control Rate: 2.43
o HR Rate: 2.43
o CMD Rate: 3.1

Anaheim's bullpen (25.96 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 3.46
o WHIP: 1.23
o BFG: 11
o Hit Rate: 29%
o Dominance: 6.93
o Control Rate: 2.77
o HR Rate: 0.69
o CMD Rate: 2.5


Toronto (R Halladay)@Boston (B Arroyo) (7:05 p.m. EST)
Run Production: Toronto 4.62; Boston 4.78
Line: Toronto +122; Boston -130
Predicted Line: Toronto +109; Boston -109
Side ROI: Toronto 6.22%; Boston -7.81%
Total: OVER 9.5 (-108)/UNDER 9.5 (-102)
Predicted Total: 9.2

Toronto's R Halladay (22 IP/3 G):
o xERA: 3.95
o WHIP: 1.05
o BFG: 28
o Hit Rate: 28%
o Dominance: 7.36
o Control Rate: 0.82
o HR Rate: 1.64
o CMD Rate: 9.0
o Dominations: 2 (66.7%)
o Disasters: 0 (0.0%)
o Starts: 3

Boston's B Arroyo (11.66 IP/2 G):
o xERA: 4.41
o WHIP: 1.46
o BFG: 25
o Hit Rate: 28%
o Dominance: 3.86
o Control Rate: 3.86
o HR Rate: 0.77
o CMD Rate: 1.0
o Dominations: 1 (50.0%)
o Disasters: 1 (50.0%)
o Starts: 2

Toronto's bullpen (29.27 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 5.57
o WHIP: 1.33
o BFG: 12
o Hit Rate: 22%
o Dominance: 6.76
o Control Rate: 4.00
o HR Rate: 2.77
o CMD Rate: 1.7

Boston's bullpen (26.63 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 4.48
o WHIP: 1.39
o BFG: 11
o Hit Rate: 34%
o Dominance: 6.42
o Control Rate: 2.03
o HR Rate: 0.68
o CMD Rate: 3.2


Tampa Bay (H Nomo)@NY Yankees (R Johnson) (7:05 p.m. EST)
Run Production: Tampa Bay 3.91; NY Yankees 4.76
Line: Tampa Bay +250; NY Yankees -270
Predicted Line: Tampa Bay +551; NY Yankees -551
Side ROI: Tampa Bay -46.24%; NY Yankees 16.10%
Total: OVER 9.5 (-102)/UNDER 9.5 (-108)
Predicted Total: 10.8

Tampa Bay's H Nomo (8 IP/2 G):
o xERA: 9.70
o WHIP: 1.62
o BFG: 18
o Hit Rate: 0%
o Dominance: 5.62
o Control Rate: 7.88
o HR Rate: 6.75
o CMD Rate: 0.7
o Dominations: 1 (50.0%)
o Disasters: 1 (50.0%)
o Starts: 2

NY Yankees's R Johnson (19 IP/3 G):
o xERA: 4.13
o WHIP: 1.21
o BFG: 26
o Hit Rate: 30%
o Dominance: 9.00
o Control Rate: 2.37
o HR Rate: 1.42
o CMD Rate: 3.8
o Dominations: 3 (100.0%)
o Disasters: 0 (0.0%)
o Starts: 3

Tampa Bay's bullpen (40.61 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 5.95
o WHIP: 1.28
o BFG: 17
o Hit Rate: 23%
o Dominance: 6.43
o Control Rate: 2.88
o HR Rate: 3.10
o CMD Rate: 2.2

NY Yankees's bullpen (33.28 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 5.38
o WHIP: 1.65
o BFG: 15
o Hit Rate: 35%
o Dominance: 4.60
o Control Rate: 3.25
o HR Rate: 0.54
o CMD Rate: 1.4


Detroit (N Robertson)@Baltimore (S Ponson) (7:05 p.m. EST)
Run Production: Detroit 4.18; Baltimore 5.74
Line: Detroit +124; Baltimore -132
Predicted Line: Detroit +114; Baltimore -114
Side ROI: Detroit 4.67%; Baltimore -6.38%
Total: OVER 10.5 (-105)/UNDER 10.5 (-105)
Predicted Total: 12.9

Detroit's N Robertson (12 IP/2 G):
o xERA: 6.87
o WHIP: 1.33
o BFG: 25
o Hit Rate: 9%
o Dominance: 3.00
o Control Rate: 5.25
o HR Rate: 4.50
o CMD Rate: 0.6
o Dominations: 1 (50.0%)
o Disasters: 1 (50.0%)
o Starts: 2

Baltimore's S Ponson (8.66 IP/2 G):
o xERA: 9.93
o WHIP: 2.42
o BFG: 23
o Hit Rate: 40%
o Dominance: 5.20
o Control Rate: 6.24
o HR Rate: 2.08
o CMD Rate: 0.8
o Dominations: 0 (0.0%)
o Disasters: 2 (100.0%)
o Starts: 2

Detroit's bullpen (28.31 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 8.36
o WHIP: 1.41
o BFG: 12
o Hit Rate: 8%
o Dominance: 6.04
o Control Rate: 5.40
o HR Rate: 5.72
o CMD Rate: 1.1

Baltimore's bullpen (29.26 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 5.67
o WHIP: 1.81
o BFG: 14
o Hit Rate: 34%
o Dominance: 9.54
o Control Rate: 7.07
o HR Rate: 1.23
o CMD Rate: 1.3


Minnesota (B Radke)@Chicago White Sox (O Hernandez) (8:05 p.m. EST)
Run Production: Minnesota 4.37; Chicago White Sox 2.43
Line: Minnesota +108; Chicago White Sox -116
Predicted Line: Minnesota +151; Chicago White Sox -151
Side ROI: Minnesota -17.13%; Chicago White Sox 12.05%
Total: OVER 9 (-112)/UNDER 9 (+102)
Predicted Total: 9.1

Minnesota's B Radke (19.33 IP/3 G):
o xERA: 6.33
o WHIP: 0.93
o BFG: 24
o Hit Rate: 14%
o Dominance: 4.66
o Control Rate: 0.47
o HR Rate: 4.66
o CMD Rate: 10.0
o Dominations: 2 (66.7%)
o Disasters: 0 (0.0%)
o Starts: 3

Chicago White Sox's O Hernandez (12 IP/2 G):
o xERA: 4.86
o WHIP: 1.50
o BFG: 26
o Hit Rate: 32%
o Dominance: 4.50
o Control Rate: 3.00
o HR Rate: 0.75
o CMD Rate: 1.5
o Dominations: 1 (50.0%)
o Disasters: 1 (50.0%)
o Starts: 2

Minnesota's bullpen (26.95 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 8.73
o WHIP: 1.04
o BFG: 10
o Hit Rate: 4%
o Dominance: 7.01
o Control Rate: 1.67
o HR Rate: 7.01
o CMD Rate: 4.2

Chicago White Sox's bullpen (21.63 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 2.85
o WHIP: 1.16
o BFG: 9
o Hit Rate: 31%
o Dominance: 12.48
o Control Rate: 3.74
o HR Rate: 0.83
o CMD Rate: 3.3


Los Angeles (E Dessens)@Milwaukee (G Glover) (1:05 p.m. EST)
Run Production: Los Angeles 3.96; Milwaukee 2.48
Line: Los Angeles -120; Milwaukee +112
Predicted Line: Los Angeles +1006; Milwaukee -1006
Side ROI: Los Angeles -83.45%; Milwaukee 92.73%
Total: OVER 9 (-118)/UNDER 9 (+108)
Predicted Total: 13.8

Los Angeles's E Dessens (5.66 IP/1 G):
o xERA: 17.85
o WHIP: 0.88
o BFG: 21
o Hit Rate: -88%
o Dominance: 1.59
o Control Rate: 1.59
o HR Rate: 17.49
o CMD Rate: 1.0
o Dominations: 0 (0.0%)
o Disasters: 1 (100.0%)
o Starts: 1

Milwaukee's G Glover (6 IP/1 G):
o xERA: 6.38
o WHIP: 1.67
o BFG: 27
o Hit Rate: 39%
o Dominance: 9.00
o Control Rate: 3.00
o HR Rate: 1.50
o CMD Rate: 3.0
o Dominations: 1 (100.0%)
o Disasters: 0 (0.0%)
o Starts: 1

Los Angeles's bullpen (28.94 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 10.68
o WHIP: 1.49
o BFG: 12
o Hit Rate: 8%
o Dominance: 6.22
o Control Rate: 4.35
o HR Rate: 7.46
o CMD Rate: 1.4

Milwaukee's bullpen (28.3 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 4.42
o WHIP: 1.20
o BFG: 11
o Hit Rate: 24%
o Dominance: 6.68
o Control Rate: 2.86
o HR Rate: 1.91
o CMD Rate: 2.3


Arizona (S Estes)@Colorado (J Francis) (3:05 p.m. EST)
Run Production: Arizona 3.99; Colorado 3.87
Line: Arizona -101; Colorado -107
Predicted Line: Arizona +260; Colorado -260
Side ROI: Arizona -44.72%; Colorado 39.86%
Total: OVER 12.5 (-119)/UNDER 12.5 (+109)
Predicted Total: 13.5

Arizona's S Estes (13 IP/2 G):
o xERA: 10.62
o WHIP: 1.23
o BFG: 26
o Hit Rate: 0%
o Dominance: 6.23
o Control Rate: 2.77
o HR Rate: 8.31
o CMD Rate: 2.2
o Dominations: 1 (50.0%)
o Disasters: 0 (0.0%)
o Starts: 2

Colorado's J Francis (9 IP/2 G):
o xERA: 8.01
o WHIP: 2.22
o BFG: 23
o Hit Rate: 29%
o Dominance: 3.00
o Control Rate: 9.00
o HR Rate: 2.00
o CMD Rate: 0.3
o Dominations: 0 (0.0%)
o Disasters: 2 (100.0%)
o Starts: 2

Arizona's bullpen (27.61 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 12.34
o WHIP: 1.63
o BFG: 12
o Hit Rate: 7%
o Dominance: 3.91
o Control Rate: 4.56
o HR Rate: 8.48
o CMD Rate: 0.9

Colorado's bullpen (27.95 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 8.08
o WHIP: 2.15
o BFG: 14
o Hit Rate: 37%
o Dominance: 5.80
o Control Rate: 6.12
o HR Rate: 1.61
o CMD Rate: 0.9


Florida (B Moehler)@Washington (L Hernandez) (7:05 p.m. EST)
Run Production: Florida 3.85; Washington 3.55
Line: Florida +122; Washington -130
Predicted Line: Florida +6562; Washington -6562
Side ROI: Florida -96.67%; Washington 73.53%
Total: OVER 8.5 (-108)/UNDER 8.5 (-102)
Predicted Total: 18.1

Florida's B Moehler (4.66 IP/1 G):
o xERA: 27.63
o WHIP: 1.29
o BFG: 19
o Hit Rate: 1281%
o Dominance: 5.79
o Control Rate: 5.79
o HR Rate: 27.04
o CMD Rate: 1.0
o Dominations: 0 (0.0%)
o Disasters: 1 (100.0%)
o Starts: 1

Washington's L Hernandez (19.99 IP/3 G):
o xERA: 3.38
o WHIP: 1.25
o BFG: 27
o Hit Rate: 24%
o Dominance: 5.85
o Control Rate: 4.05
o HR Rate: 0.90
o CMD Rate: 1.4
o Dominations: 2 (66.7%)
o Disasters: 1 (33.3%)
o Starts: 3

Florida's bullpen (16.97 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 16.33
o WHIP: 1.36
o BFG: 7
o Hit Rate: -52%
o Dominance: 5.30
o Control Rate: 4.77
o HR Rate: 14.32
o CMD Rate: 1.1

Washington's bullpen (24.26 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 7.91
o WHIP: 2.02
o BFG: 12
o Hit Rate: 38%
o Dominance: 5.19
o Control Rate: 4.08
o HR Rate: 1.48
o CMD Rate: 1.3


NY Mets (V Zambrano)@Philadelphia (V Padilla) (7:05 p.m. EST)
Run Production: NY Mets 2.86; Philadelphia 4.18
Philadelphia V Padilla no IP!

St Louis (M Morris)@Pittsburgh (J Fogg) (7:05 p.m. EST)
Run Production: St Louis 3.28; Pittsburgh 3.01
St Louis M Morris no IP!

Chicago Cubs (M Prior)@Cincinnati (B Claussen) (7:10 p.m. EST)
Run Production: Chicago Cubs 3.97; Cincinnati 4.03
Cincinnati B Claussen no IP!

Atlanta (J Thomson)@Houston (B Backe) (8:05 p.m. EST)
Run Production: Atlanta 3.41; Houston 4.07
Line: Atlanta -109; Houston +101
Predicted Line: Atlanta +6618; Houston -6618
Side ROI: Atlanta -97.14%; Houston 97.06%
Total: OVER 9 (-103)/UNDER 9 (-107)
Predicted Total: 12.9

Atlanta's J Thomson (13 IP/2 G):
o xERA: 13.77
o WHIP: 1.46
o BFG: 28
o Hit Rate: 0%
o Dominance: 6.23
o Control Rate: 2.77
o HR Rate: 10.38
o CMD Rate: 2.2
o Dominations: 2 (100.0%)
o Disasters: 0 (0.0%)
o Starts: 2

Houston's B Backe (11.33 IP/2 G):
o xERA: 2.94
o WHIP: 1.24
o BFG: 23
o Hit Rate: 32%
o Dominance: 7.15
o Control Rate: 2.38
o HR Rate: 0.00
o CMD Rate: 3.0
o Dominations: 1 (50.0%)
o Disasters: 1 (50.0%)
o Starts: 2

Atlanta's bullpen (21.64 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 18.62
o WHIP: 1.94
o BFG: 10
o Hit Rate: -22%
o Dominance: 7.07
o Control Rate: 6.65
o HR Rate: 14.14
o CMD Rate: 1.1

Houston's bullpen (26.62 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 2.95
o WHIP: 1.20
o BFG: 11
o Hit Rate: 35%
o Dominance: 11.16
o Control Rate: 2.70
o HR Rate: 0.34
o CMD Rate: 4.1


San Francisco (J Williams)@San Diego (B Lawrence) (10:05 p.m. EST)
Run Production: San Francisco 5.46; San Diego 3.26
Line: San Francisco +129; San Diego -137
Predicted Line: San Francisco +890; San Diego -890
Side ROI: San Francisco -76.87%; San Diego 55.86%
Total: OVER 8 (-117)/UNDER 8 (+107)
Predicted Total: 16.0

San Francisco's J Williams (7 IP/1 G):
o xERA: 19.44
o WHIP: 0.86
o BFG: 26
o Hit Rate: -211%
o Dominance: 6.43
o Control Rate: 1.29
o HR Rate: 19.29
o CMD Rate: 5.0
o Dominations: 1 (100.0%)
o Disasters: 0 (0.0%)
o Starts: 1

San Diego's B Lawrence (9.66 IP/2 G):
o xERA: 7.49
o WHIP: 1.97
o BFG: 23
o Hit Rate: 41%
o Dominance: 5.59
o Control Rate: 2.80
o HR Rate: 0.93
o CMD Rate: 2.0
o Dominations: 1 (50.0%)
o Disasters: 1 (50.0%)
o Starts: 2

San Francisco's bullpen (31.57 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 13.69
o WHIP: 1.55
o BFG: 14
o Hit Rate: -3%
o Dominance: 5.13
o Control Rate: 4.28
o HR Rate: 10.26
o CMD Rate: 1.2

San Diego's bullpen (27.96 IP/10 G):
o xERA: 2.43
o WHIP: 1.18
o BFG: 11
o Hit Rate: 25%
o Dominance: 7.08
o Control Rate: 4.18
o HR Rate: 0.32
o CMD Rate: 1.7

Spencer
04-19-2005, 09:58 AM
Think my head's going to explode after scrolling thru all that...with ya on TX, GL man!

DJTranks
04-19-2005, 10:11 AM
GL RJP!!!

bookiekilla
04-19-2005, 11:58 AM
GL!!

rjp
04-19-2005, 04:28 PM
WIN Texas -114 (Blanton/Astacio) ROI 35%
WIN Kansas City +109 (Elarton/Bautista) ROI 78%
LOSS NY Yankees -270 (Nomo/Johnson) ROI 16%

WIN Oakland/Texas UNDER 10 (+107) (Blanton/Astacio)
WIN Detroit/Baltimore OVER 10.5 (-105) (Robertson/Ponson)

ToP
04-19-2005, 04:30 PM
:yeah:

rjp
04-19-2005, 06:25 PM
Big favorite early buys for tomorrow:

Minnesota -292 (Lima/Santana) ROI 28%
Anaheim -149 (Westbrook/Colon) ROI 43%
Florida -187 (Heilman/Beckett) ROI 51%

eye_forsee
04-19-2005, 06:29 PM
beckett -187? last week that exact game happened...and heilman won by tossing a 1 hitter

rjp
04-19-2005, 11:07 PM
Today: 4-1 (+2.99 units) :yeah:

Hey, last week was last week. Don't live in the past. :thumbs:

Spencer
04-19-2005, 11:09 PM
:gulp:

chickenmilk
04-19-2005, 11:11 PM
Interesting stuff rjp...

beancounter
04-20-2005, 12:57 AM
nice 311! great job man.

:bbang: