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beermantm
03-22-2005, 11:54 AM
Detr +1.5 at Clev........... Clev (4-0) ------- Clev -3.0 Clev -6.0 Clev -4.0 Clev -5.0


Indi +5.0 at NJ.............. Indi (5-2) ------- Indi +1.0 Indi +2.5 Indi -1.0 Indi +4.0 Indi +1.0 NJ -7.5 NJ -8.0


Phoe -10.5 at Atl............. Phoe (3-1) ------- Phoe -17.0 Phoe -14.0 Atl +8.5 Phoe -14.5


LALk +1.0 at Utah............ Utah (6-1) ------- Utah -5.0 Utah -3.0 Utah -6.5 LALk -1.0 Utah -4.0 Utah -1.5 Utah -5.0


Wash +8.5 at Denv.............. Denv (3-0) ------- Denv -13.0 Denv -16.0 Denv -9.0


Miami -1.5 at Hous.............. Miami (3-2) ------- Miami -5.0 Miami -11.5 Hous -2.5 Miami -3.5 Hous -3.0


Milw +6.5 at Seat............... Seat (2-0) ------- Seat -10.5 Seat -10.0


Port +10.0 at Sacr.............. Sacr (4-0) ------- Sacr -14.0 Sacr -11.5 Sacr -13.5 Sacr -14.0


Detr at Clev 178.5.............. Over (1-0) ---- Over (192.5)


Indi at NJ 176.5............... Over (1-0) ---- Over (186.0)

LALk at Utah 189.0................ Over (4-2) ---- Under (184.0) Under (181.0) Over (189.5) Over (190.0) Over (194.5) Over (190.5)


Wash at Denv 205.5................ Under (6-1) ---- Under (202.0) Under (202.0) Under (200.0) Over (208.5) Under (199.0) Under (200.5) Under (202.5)


Miami at Hous 192.0.............. Over (3-1) ---- Over (196.5) Over (194.5) Under (189.5) Over (195.0)


Milw at Seat 196.5............... Under (5-3) ---- Under (194.0) Under (193.0) Under (193.0) Under (193.0) Over (200.5) Over (198.0) Under (195.5) Over (198.0)


Port at Sacr 197.0.............. Over (6-4) ---- Over (201.0) Over (200.0) Under (187.5) Under (195.5) Under (195.5) Over (198.0) Over (200.5) Over (197.5) Under (191.5) Over (199.5)

sixersfan
03-22-2005, 02:41 PM
GL Beerman:yeah:

beermantm
03-22-2005, 06:13 PM
sixersfan

Thanks brother.:gulp:

beermantm
03-22-2005, 10:41 PM
Detr +1.5 at Clev........... Clev (4-0)WIN

Indi +5.0 at NJ.............. Indi (5-2) Loss

Phoe -10.5 at Atl............. Phoe (3-1)WIN

LALk +1.0 at Utah............ Utah (6-1)WIN

Wash +8.5 at Denv.............. Denv (3-0) WIN

Miami -1.5 at Hous.............. Miami (3-2)Loss

Milw +6.5 at Seat............... Seat (2-0) WIN

Port +10.0 at Sacr.............. Sacr (4-0) Win

Detr at Clev 178.5.............. Over (1-0) Loss

Indi at NJ 176.5............... Over (1-0) WIN

LALk at Utah 189.0................ Over (4-2)WIN

Wash at Denv 205.5................ Under (6-1) Loss

Miami at Hous 192.0.............. Over (3-1)Loss

Milw at Seat 196.5............... Under (5-3) WIN

Port at Sacr 197.0.............. Over (6-4)WIN

beermantm
03-23-2005, 12:36 AM
10-5-0 tonight.......better.

ibaskin
03-23-2005, 12:40 AM
Nice beerman! :prtytme:

Huego
03-23-2005, 12:43 AM
beerman, are your 5-0 picks hitting at a better rate than your 4-2 picks or are they all basically hitting at the same rate?

beermantm
03-23-2005, 01:13 AM
beerman, are your 5-0 picks hitting at a better rate than your 4-2 picks or are they all basically hitting at the same rate?

Well if you have an hour I can explain why you don't want to play just the 5-0 plays but I will check for you over the course of the last two weeks if you wish.

In the last two week the 5-0 consensus plays are hitting at exactly 50% minus -.5 units.........
totals..............15-11-0 57.7%+2.9 units

For the year they are 102-49-5 67.5% +48.1 units
Totals are 150-84-1 64.1% +57.6 units

Here is the reason I don't recomend just playing those plays.......

last two weeks for all formulas is 49-43-2 53.3% +1.7units
totals.............47-40-1 54% +3.0 units

for all year.....493-307-21 61.6% +155.3 units
totals........... 459-349-9 56.6% +71.1


Now all that is factored in as one unit per play but in the second example your adjustments on your bets would have moved up roughly 7 times.

If you just played the 5-0 your bet adjustments would have only moved up 4 times and just look at the units your missing out on then.

If you start with a $1000 your new bankroll with 5-0 plays for the year is $4500

If you start with a 1000 and play them all........your bankroll would be arround $15k pluss any totals profit which went off for another 71 units or 3 increases in bankroll so maybe the more accurate number would be closer to $45k.


Not a bad hobby if you keep your numbers up.:gulp:

Huego
03-23-2005, 02:04 AM
ya I totally agree with you on playing all the games, not just the 5-0 games. I was just wondering if they are hitting on a higher rate.

Seems like your system is working wonderfully, keep up the good work and good luck on the rest of the season!

beermantm
03-23-2005, 03:57 AM
ya I totally agree with you on playing all the games, not just the 5-0 games. I was just wondering if they are hitting on a higher rate.

Seems like your system is working wonderfully, keep up the good work and good luck on the rest of the season!

Thank you but my posts are to help with two things that I firmly believe in(and people are probably tired of me saying it) but proper money management and playing more games is the key to making the most money. If you don't like my plays that are posted I say change them because I make last minute adjustments for myself you should also do the same. If the plays help put you on some more winners then that is really what they are there for. I have been set on a cruise control this year and have found myself disintrested in sports betting but Things are starting to come back and I'll start cracking down on some of the missed plays......I think a change here and there in the system plays that I post and just playing the rest could yield some impressive results. The problem is what if I can't post them all the time. It can really f up the over all results so use them to pick your own games.:thumbs: