Stifler's Mom
03-11-2005, 06:12 PM
YTD 202-192-5 (-9.45 units)
Since All Star Game 37-26-2 (+21.18 units)
Indiana Pacers -1.5 (-105)
Orlando Magic pk (-105)
Milwaukee Bucks +3
Houston Rockets +6
Utah Jazz pk (+100)
LA Clippers +5 (-105)
Chicago Bulls +7.5 (-105)
2 units each
Was going to play every side, but I was forced to eliminate Atlanta +9.5 due to the fact that they are in the middle of a road trip, have played their last 2 road games tough, and are due to get blown out....although I wasn't laying -9.5 with the Barneys
Eliminated Charlotte +9 because the line is goofy. Philly stinks since trading half their team for Webber, and the line scares me cause it makes no sense for them to be -9 against anyone right now, even Charlotte.
I like Detroit -2, but so does about 85% of the public....so I'll pass.
I do realize Indiana is also a big public play, but that's ok with me because IMO this line is way too low due to Golden St hammering a pathetic Philly squad Tues night and playing Detroit competitively Wednesday, plus being 3-3 on their current road trip. They're in the middle of a brutal road trip (a franchise record 8 games) and I think this is a great spot and line to go with Indiana. If the Pacers were -5 or so here, I'd pass...but I think there's good value in -1.5.
Minnesota actually has a losing record vs the East, and they were in a battle with Miami yesterday, and came out on the losing end. Orlando is a far better home team than road team, while the whole Minnesota team (with the exception of Garnett and maybe Szczerbiak) keeps proving they don't care and just want this season to end.
Milwaukee has been playing great since the break, and Dallas just lost last night in a late game to the Lakers of all people, who have a suck ass road record. Dallas was a pathetic road team the last few years, and even though they have improved this year, they are starting to show their true colors losing their last 3 as a visitor....plus this line is adjusted in Milwaukee's favor to cater to the public action that will be coming in on Dallas.
Utah played well against the Pacers their last time out, and actually led the game late in the 4th for a brief time after falling behind 33-7 in the first qtr. Utah getting no respect from the linesmakers or the public on their home floor tonight, so getting them at a pick em for even money looks like value to me against a Memphis squad that's in the middle of a long road swing and is due to lay an egg after playing close every time out so far.
Clippers are always undervalued. Sacramento is not the same team without Brad Miller. I think 5 points is very generous here considering I don't even know that the current Queens squad is a better team than the Clips.
Chicago is also still not getting any respect IMO from the linesmakers, despite being one of the 3 best teams in the east for quite some time now behind Miami and Detroit. These kids for Chicago are impressing and playing great ball, and I think they'll hang in this one down to the end, if not win outright.
Wow, that was a mouthful....but I thought I'd provide some insight on my plays today, lol
Since All Star Game 37-26-2 (+21.18 units)
Indiana Pacers -1.5 (-105)
Orlando Magic pk (-105)
Milwaukee Bucks +3
Houston Rockets +6
Utah Jazz pk (+100)
LA Clippers +5 (-105)
Chicago Bulls +7.5 (-105)
2 units each
Was going to play every side, but I was forced to eliminate Atlanta +9.5 due to the fact that they are in the middle of a road trip, have played their last 2 road games tough, and are due to get blown out....although I wasn't laying -9.5 with the Barneys
Eliminated Charlotte +9 because the line is goofy. Philly stinks since trading half their team for Webber, and the line scares me cause it makes no sense for them to be -9 against anyone right now, even Charlotte.
I like Detroit -2, but so does about 85% of the public....so I'll pass.
I do realize Indiana is also a big public play, but that's ok with me because IMO this line is way too low due to Golden St hammering a pathetic Philly squad Tues night and playing Detroit competitively Wednesday, plus being 3-3 on their current road trip. They're in the middle of a brutal road trip (a franchise record 8 games) and I think this is a great spot and line to go with Indiana. If the Pacers were -5 or so here, I'd pass...but I think there's good value in -1.5.
Minnesota actually has a losing record vs the East, and they were in a battle with Miami yesterday, and came out on the losing end. Orlando is a far better home team than road team, while the whole Minnesota team (with the exception of Garnett and maybe Szczerbiak) keeps proving they don't care and just want this season to end.
Milwaukee has been playing great since the break, and Dallas just lost last night in a late game to the Lakers of all people, who have a suck ass road record. Dallas was a pathetic road team the last few years, and even though they have improved this year, they are starting to show their true colors losing their last 3 as a visitor....plus this line is adjusted in Milwaukee's favor to cater to the public action that will be coming in on Dallas.
Utah played well against the Pacers their last time out, and actually led the game late in the 4th for a brief time after falling behind 33-7 in the first qtr. Utah getting no respect from the linesmakers or the public on their home floor tonight, so getting them at a pick em for even money looks like value to me against a Memphis squad that's in the middle of a long road swing and is due to lay an egg after playing close every time out so far.
Clippers are always undervalued. Sacramento is not the same team without Brad Miller. I think 5 points is very generous here considering I don't even know that the current Queens squad is a better team than the Clips.
Chicago is also still not getting any respect IMO from the linesmakers, despite being one of the 3 best teams in the east for quite some time now behind Miami and Detroit. These kids for Chicago are impressing and playing great ball, and I think they'll hang in this one down to the end, if not win outright.
Wow, that was a mouthful....but I thought I'd provide some insight on my plays today, lol