Minnesota (8-8-0) at Green Bay(10-6-0) Propositions and Plays

[OZZE2000]

Minnesota (8-8-0) at Green Bay(10-6-0)


Sunday, January 09, 2005 4:30:00 PM EDT
Field - Grass of Lambeau Field
Green Bay -6.5 52.5


Current weather 27°F
Cloudy Feels Like
19°F
UV Index: 0 Low
Dew Point: 23°F
Humidity: 83%
Visibility: 5.0 miles
Pressure: 29.96 inches and steady
Wind: From the South Southwest at 7 mph

Trends

Minnesota (8-8)... (7-9ATS)... (4-4 ATS AWAY) (8-8 OU) (5-3 OU AWAY)
Green Bay (10-6). (7-8-1ATS). (2-6ATS HOME) (7-9 OU) (5-3 OU HOME)

Minnesota
Vikings are second in the league in passing at 282.3 yards per game.

Green Bay
Packers have the third-rated passing attack in the league at 277.6 yards per game.
Green Bay are second last in the league in forcing turnovers with 0.9 per game.

Minnesota
Minnesota are 6-2-0 ATS in their last 8 games against Green Bay
Minnesota are 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 away games
Minnesota are 2-5-0 OU in their last 7 games
Minnesota are 5-2-0 OU in their last 7 away
Minnesota are 1-5-0 SU in their last 6 games
Minnesota are 4-1-0 ATS in their last 5 away games against Green Bay
Minnesota are 5-0-0 OU in their last 5 games against Green Bay
Minnesota are 4-1-0 OU in their last 5 games away against Green Bay

Green Bay
Green Bay are 2-6-0 ATS in their last 8 games against Minnesota
Green Bay are 2-7-0 ATS in their last 9 home games
Green Bay are 1-4-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against Minnesota
Green Bay are 5-1-0 OU in their last 6 games
Green Bay are 5-1-0 OU in their last 6 at home
Green Bay are 5-0-0 OU in their last 5 games against Minnesota
Green Bay are 4-1-0 OU in their last 5 games at home against Minnesota

Hope that offers some insight. Personally I liked the way they Vikings played last time out against the Pack, but that last game against a pitiful Redskins squad with no Portis among others only set the stage in this one. Moss is a quitter and could really care less. he probably already has vacation plans. That bonus money for making the playoffs will come in handy.

Preferred Plays

Packers1Q -0.5

1Packers
1stHalf -3.5

Packers(GreenBay) -270 -6.5
Under 52.5
Props for the Vikings vs Packers Wild Card Game

Will Either Team Score in the First 6 1/2 Minutes of the Game
yes (Vikings/Packers)
No (Vikings/Packers) +110

Will Either Team Score in the Last 2 minutes of 1st Half
No (Vikings/Packers) +210

Vikings vs Packers - Team to Score First
Packers -145

Vikings vs Packers - First Score of the Game will be
Any Other Score +165

Vikings vs Packers - Total Field Goals MADE by Both Teams
Field Goals Made Over 3 (-130)

Vikings vs Packers - Longest Made Field Goal of the Game
Longest FG Over 42 (-115)

Vikings vs Packers - Shortest Made Field Goal of the Game
Shortest FG Over 26 (-120)

Vikings vs Packers - Longest Touchdown of the Game
Longest TD Over 47.5 (-115)

Vikings vs Packers - Total Sacks by Both Teams
Total Sacks Over 4 (-105)

Daunte Culpepper (Vikings) Total Completions - Must Play
Completions Over 24 (-110)

Daunte Culpepper (Vikings) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play
Rushing Yards Over 26.5 (-145)

Vikings - Total Rushing Yards vs the Packers
Rushing Yards Under 118.5 (+105)

Nate Burleson (Vikings) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play
Receiving Yards Over 64.5 (-140)

Brett Favre (Packers) Longest Completion - Must Play
Longest Completion Over 41.5 (-130)

Ahman Green (Packers) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play
Rushing Yards Over 96.5 (-115)

Ahman Green (Packers) Longest Rush from Scrimmage
Longest Rush Over 18.5 (-115)

Javon Walker (Packers) Total Receptions - Must Play
Receptions Over 5 (-140)

J Walker (Packers) Longest Reception - No Recept Under Wins
Longest Reception Over 26 (-115)

Donald Driver (Packers) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play
Receiving Yards Over 75.5 (-130)

Ryan Longwell (Packers) Total Points - Must Play
Total Points Over 8 (-115)

Most Passing Yards & Combine Passing Yards - Both Must Play
Daunte Culpepper (Vikings) -25.5 (-110)

Worth Looking at

Packers - Total Points
Packers Points Over 29 (-130)

Vikings - Total Points
Vikings Points Under 23 (+105)

Randy Moss (Vikings) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play
Receiving Yards Under 97 (-115)

R Moss (Vikings) Longest Reception - No Recept Under Wins
Longest Reception Over 33.5 (-115)

R Moss (Vikings) Will he Score a Touchdown in the 1st Half
Yes (Must Play) Even

Nate Burleson (Vikings) Will he Score a Touchdown - Must Play
Yes -120

A Green (Packers) Will he Score a Touchdown in the 1st Half
Yes (Must Play) Even

Good luck to you

[OZZE2000]

What a ball game. This game is the type of game that proves all the historical numbers wrong. This why they play the game. This is how trends don't give a realistic outcome. You cant trend, heart and attitude. I was one that was on the packers though I did manage to cash in on a play on the VIKINGS moneyline. I just love the dogs and some are worth taking chances on. I think they refer to them as "just in case" plays. After doing so well on the COLTS game across the board.

3-1 in Preferred Plays
10-2 In Propsitions

I just decided to not only play my preferred plays but all of the ones I listed. I ended up being glad I did. This one got off to an ugly start that set the stage for how my plays here would turn out. I clearly picked the Packers to win this game so all my subsequent plays were made with that in mind. I thought MOSS would be a distraction and play without emotion, but he came in fired up and the VIKINGS set the tone early. Here is how my plays went and a brief summary.

Packers1Q -0.5
MINNESOTA 17-3

1Packers
1stHalf -3.5

MINNESOTA 24-10
Packers(GreenBay) -6.5
Under 52.5

0-4 Preferred Plays

Props for the Vikings vs Packers Wild Card Game

Will Either Team Score in the First 6 1/2 Minutes of the Game
yes (Vikings/Packers)
No (Vikings/Packers) +110
YES MOE WILLIAMS 68 YD PASS FROM DAUNTE CULPEPPER (MORTEN ANDERSEN KICK)Drive Info: 1:40, 3 plays, 76 yds
( I considered weather and thought there would be at least 1 3 and out on both sides and the scoring drive would be a long one. It was long but only took 3 plays and a little over than a minute and a half, PACK went 3 and out though)

Will Either Team Score in the Last 2 minutes of 1st Half
No (Vikings/Packers) +210
( I usually play this more times than not because +money )

Vikings vs Packers - Team to Score First
Packers -145
Vikings MOE WILLIAMS TD
( Was thinking PACKERS at home a long FG )

Vikings vs Packers - First Score of the Game will be
Any Other Score +165
No TD WILLIAMS
( Thinking PACKERS at home long FG )

Vikings vs Packers - Total Field Goals MADE by Both Teams
Field Goals Made Over 3 (-130)
2 ( both missed 1, damn kickers, all they do i s damn kick )

Vikings vs Packers - Longest Made Field Goal of the Game
Longest FG Over 42 (-115)
43 yards LONGWELL

Vikings vs Packers - Shortest Made Field Goal of the Game
Shortest FG Over 26 (-120)
32 yards ANDERSON

Vikings vs Packers - Longest Touchdown of the Game
Longest TD Over 47.5 (-115)
WILLIAMS 68 yards ( Thought it would be MOSS, but MOE pays 2 )

Vikings vs Packers - Total Sacks by Both Teams
Total Sacks Over 4 (-105)
6 sacks (MN 4-GB 2)
( Figured weather would play a part in this take sack dont force throws )

Daunte Culpepper (Vikings) Total Completions - Must Play
Completions Over 24 (-110)
19 completions ( Thought VIKINGS would be behind playing catch-up)

Daunte Culpepper (Vikings) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play
Rushing Yards Over 26.5 (-145)
54 yards ( Easy play, new he would run )

Vikings - Total Rushing Yards vs the Packers
Rushing Yards Under 118.5 (+105)
123 yards ( CULPEPPER had 54 didnt think he would run that damn much)

Nate Burleson (Vikings) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play
Receiving Yards Over 64.5 (-140)
60 yards ( Thought he would pick up MOSS slack if VIKINGS had to throw )

Brett Favre (Packers) Longest Completion - Must Play
Longest Completion Over 41.5 (-130)
28 FRANKS ( Ferguson out, Walker hurt, Favre throwing to wrong shirts )

Ahman Green (Packers) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play
Rushing Yards Over 96.5 (-115)
80 yards ( 20 carries, figured he would get at least 25 )

Ahman Green (Packers) Longest Rush from Scrimmage
Longest Rush Over 18.5 (-115)
12 yards ( Was thinking 1 for about 20 )

Javon Walker (Packers) Total Receptions - Must Play
Receptions Over 5 (-140)
2 ( got hurt wasnt a factor )

J Walker (Packers) Longest Reception - No Recept Under Wins
Longest Reception Over 26 (-115)
21 yards ( Got hurt wasnt a factor, Um excuse me, its playoff time )

Donald Driver (Packers) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play
Receiving Yards Over 75.5 (-130)
78 yards ( Knew he would take up Ferguson slack )

Ryan Longwell (Packers) Total Points - Must Play
Total Points Over 8 (-115)
5 points ( 1 FG 2 XP)
( Thought PACKERS would be on winning side hence more points )

Most Passing Yards & Combine Passing Yards - Both Must Play
Daunte Culpepper (Vikings) -25.5 (-110)
CULPEPPER 261 - FAVRE 201

Worth Looking at

Packers - Total Points
Packers Points Over 29 (-130)
17 ( I thought the score would be 27 )

Vikings - Total Points
Vikings Points Under 23 (+105)
31 ( to 17 )

Randy Moss (Vikings) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play
Receiving Yards Under 97 (-115)
70 yards ( About right but didnt think or count on 2 TDS )

R Moss (Vikings) Longest Reception - No Recept Under Wins
Longest Reception Over 33.5 (-115)
34 yards
( Thought he was good for 1 long one I cant go across middle but I can get deep )

R Moss (Vikings) Will he Score a Touchdown in the 1st Half
Yes (Must Play) Even
1Q RANDY MOSS 20 YD PASS FROM DAUNTE CULPEPPER (MORTEN ANDERSEN KICK) Drive Info: 1:55, 4 plays, 55 yds

Nate Burleson (Vikings) Will he Score a Touchdown - Must Play
Yes -120
2Q NATE BURLESON 19 YD PASS FROM DAUNTE CULPEPPER (MORTEN ANDERSEN KICK) Drive Info: :41, 2 plays, 28 yds

A Green (Packers) Will he Score a Touchdown in the 1st Half
Yes (Must Play) Even
No ( He did not score in the game but had an opportunity if FAVRE didnt complete a pass after running to the 4 when he could have just fell, dove, or slid for the first down. Looked to me like he did not want to get hit and then Longwell misses a chip-shot)

12-16 Propositions