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View Full Version : sunday plays,props,weather,colts/sd pod/lotsa stuff


GoPaul
12-26-2004, 07:15 AM
plays i ike not sure on what all im going to play and what amounts yet
all with spreads
baltimore
lions
bengals
chargers
patriots(im a patriot fan)
bills
arizona

POD is down below in my 1stquarter over plays
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having lots of free time since college basketballs off for a few days i did a bit more looking around at the nfl this weekend..im not one to like playing alot of prop bets but i was amazed to find that in my opinion there are some pretty nice 1st quarter over under lines..played 2 on saturday oak kc 1q over cant recall exact # was like 12 or 13 and den/ten 1q over 10 and won on both.what caught my eye was how low these were compared to the whole games over under..i mean oak/kc got up to 60 so it was less than 1/4th the total and only needing to have 2 tds for a 1q over win seemed like a good bet which it was..then the ten/den game had a total o/u of 50 and yet the 1q o/u was a 1/5th of that at 10..i mean worse case a td and fg and i get a push 2 tds and its a win in what figured to be a high scoring game..turned out to have 27 scored in the 1q which easily made this a winner...ive takin a look at todays games and here are the 1q lines that seem like really good over plays..im going to play these that im listing as they have a low 1q o/u % of the total o/u(hope this makes sense) base it on equal amount of points scored in each quarter to get to the game total

All 1st quarter over plays ..

Morning games

(POD)Colts/chargers 1q o/u 10 game o/u 56 based on game it should be 14(best play of all 1q overs)..just thinking it about it seems the best as well..heck this will be my biggest play of the day(POD)

cincinnati game 1q o/u 7.5 game o/u 44..should be 11

atlanta game 1q o/u 7.5..game o/u 44.5..should be 11.??

Afternoon games

Bills/49ers 1q o/u 7.5 ..game o/u 42..should be 10.5

seattle game 1q o/u 7.5 ..game o/u 43.5..should be almost 11

now this last play qualifies as a play however im cautius to play it as looking at the weather report it looks like it should start snowing an hour before kickoff and continue through the whole game

patriots jets 1q o/u 7.5 ..game o/u 42.5..should be 10.5+

just something im dong thought id share hopefully it works out maybe i just got lucky with it on the 2 saturday games well see

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lastly the prop of who scores first

Patriots -140..have scored first in there last 18+ games ..why not ride it until it losses

i follow the games that arent on tv on cbssportsline and a few minutes before kick itll let you know wholl get the ball first..leaves plenty of time to go make a bet on either of these teams below if there going to get the ball first as there more than capable of scoring on there first drive plus youll be getting +120 or +130 on your bet

Falcons+120..even with matt schaub at qb they can score against a saints d thats not very good..schaub did really well in the preseason..falcons d is still solid to stop the saints if needed

SD +130..chargers offense far better than the ravens should be a high scoring affair figure first team with the ball takes the first lead

only 3 that stood out as plays for me
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no matter what good luck to all of you on whatever or whomever you play

GoPaul
12-26-2004, 10:28 AM
suppose to be raining in san fran so that might affect the 1q over..already made a small play on it along with all the other 1q overs i like so theres nothing i can do but just in case it matters to you it might afffect it(perhaps positively ..more passing less running? who knows)...l played the teams i listed in the first post with spreads and a couple parlays listed below and added on more to the colts 1q over 10 which is easily my biggest bet of the day..gonna be gone until about 10 mins after kickoff for the morning games so ill be unable to see if atl or s.d. get the ball first for the bet so i wont be able to bet those if it hapens..will be curius to see what happens though

ml parlay
Bengals
Lions
Jaguars
Bills
Patriots

9 teamer(christmas bills payed off + if wins)
Lions-6
Bills-10.5
Cleve+7.5
Cleve/Mia under 40
Arizona+7
SanDiego+7
Bengals-5.5
Carolina+3
Ravens+4.5


good luck all