First Picks NFL

[CastorTroy]

Alright guys I am constipated from all the dam food today, I have had a little turtle head poking out for about 5 hours LOL.

Anyways thats shitty, sorta like this last week on my bowl picks, so here are my NFL picks for tonight.


Like the Broncos and there running game to be big tonight over the Titans.

Broncos -4 3 Units. Won
Broncos 1st Half -3 3units Won
Broncos 1st Half Under 25 3 units Lost



Bol Merry Christmas.:prtytme:

[CastorTroy]

Adding 2nd Half Over 30.5 KC/OAK 2 Units Lost

[CastorTroy]

added Denver pk 2nd half 3 units won

[CastorTroy]

3-2 Today +4 Units

[CastorTroy]

NFL 2004-2005 Posted
3-2 +4 Units


Check this out San Diego Over Under stats.
The over for this game is 8-2 the last 10 meetings.
The over is 14-5 the last 19 for Indy vs winning teams.

This will be my Pick Of The Year.


10 Units Indy/San Diego Over 56.5 :thumbs:

[CastorTroy]

Detroit -6.5 3 Units
Detroit is 5-0 ATS the last five played in December.
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with the bears.



Pittsburgh -5.5 5 Units
Pitt is 28-14 ATS in 42 games with the total 35pts or less.
Pitt is 5-2 ATS in last seven meetings with Baltimore.

[HOMEDAWG]

need some more stats....... :gulp: This is the time of year that they work!!!!:gulp:

[CastorTroy]

NFL Sat, Dec 25, 2004
Bears say they can cover Sunday's spread
Jon Campbell

The Chicago Bears have a bone to pick with oddsmakers.

Most online sportsbooks have the injury-depleted Bears slated as 6-point underdogs for Sunday’s game against the Detroit Lions at Ford Field.

"If the consensus is that we're six points worse than Detroit, I don't think you'll find a guy in the locker room who doesn't think we're better than that, '' middle linebacker Hunter Hillenmeyer told the Chicago Sun-Times.

Bears coach Lovie Smith used the newspaper to point out Sunday’s line to his players earlier in the week to show them the lack of respect they’re getting.

"That's one of the first times he's ever done that,'' Hillenmeyer said. "He's just big on the fact that we need to earn our respect around the league.”

Respect, however, won’t come easily.

Chicago’s injury report is starting to read longer than Santa’s Christmas wish list. The Bears have lost their top two quarterbacks for the season – Rex Grossman (knee) and Craig Krenzel (knee) – and linebacker Brian Urlacher sits on the injured reserve with a hamstring injury.

On Thursday the Bears learned defensive end Adewale Ogunleye will be out for the season and might need surgery on his lower right leg. Ogunleye had five sacks and 51 tackles this season and his injury leaves Chicago so thin on the defensive line, they’re calling up Alain Kashama from the practice squad just to fill the holes.

The recent injury news doesn’t have bettors convinced enough to start throwing down their money on the Lions. Detroit opened as a 6-point chalk and the line has remained steady all week.

The Lions have managed to cover the spread in four of their last five games, even though they’ve only won twice in their last 10 outings.

The Bears have failed to cover the number in four of their last five games. Chicago managed just eight points combined in its last two games in a pair of losses to Houston and Jacksonville.

Oddsmakers have the over/under set at 36 for Sunday’s game.

[CastorTroy]

The Bears rank last in offense and have scored a combined eight points the past two games. They are going with their fourth quarterback, have offensive line injuries and below average wide receivers.
The key here is can the Lions put up enough points to cover the touchdown spread. I believe they can.
Kevin Jones has rushed for 711 yards the past six games, averaging 5.5 yards per carry. He has emerged as the Lions' best runner since Barry Sanders retired five years ago. The Bears rank 25th in run defense.
Lions quarterback Joey Harrington is playing for his job next year. He got a boost of confidence last week throwing for 361 yards and two touchdowns against the Vikings. He'll look to pad his stats against the Bears.
The Bears are 0-5 without star linebacker Brian Urlacher, who is out for the season. Their defense isn't nearly as good without him. They are playing with backups in the secondary and inexperienced linebackers. It's also Chicago's first game in a dome since Week 3.

[CastorTroy]

Adding

Cin -6 4 Units defense should cover this spread for them.

[HOMEDAWG]

BOL CT...:thumbs:

[CastorTroy]

Thanks Dawg :thumbs:



Adding Pitt 1st half -3

[CastorTroy]

:puke: Oh my goodness I know I have a ulcer the size of texas :yeah: :yeah: But hell yea , I very rarely put a grand on a game but it was my pick of the year so it only happens once. :yeah:

[CastorTroy]

NFL 2004-2005 Posted
5-4-1 +12 Units



2-2-1 Today with my POTY


Adding
Skins -3 3 Units
Patriots -2.5 3 Units

[CastorTroy]

Originally posted by HOMEDAWG
need some more stats....... :gulp: This is the time of year that they work!!!!:gulp:



And that they did. :thumbs:

[CastorTroy]

NFL 2004-2005 Posted
6-5-1 +12 Units



3-3-1 Today with my POTY


Man dam Redskins had it.


Adding Dolphins -8.5 2 Units..............:thumbs:

[Big Pimpin]

nice over hit CT.......save that cash bro....your gonna need it soon....Congrats and enjoy

[CastorTroy]

Originally posted by BIG PIMPIN
nice over hit CT.......save that cash bro....your gonna need it soon....Congrats and enjoy


Thats what my wife said Thanks BP lets hit the man tonight so daddy can get some Diapers. LOL:thumbs:

[HOMEDAWG]

GL with the FINS...I wouldn't have played it, but it's SNF.... :gulp:

[CastorTroy]

Originally posted by HOMEDAWG
GL with the FINS...I wouldn't have played it, but it's SNF.... :gulp:


Yea it was a no play but that favorites cover 85% on ESPNSNFL is a hard stat to ignore.......

[CastorTroy]

NFL 2004-2005 Posted
6-6-1 +9 Units



3-4-1 Today with my POTY.


Back with my Pick of the week MNF special.

[Bobo66]

Nice call on that Indy/SD over.....:thumbs:

[OC]

I hear ya on the Skins ... decided on game day to wrap them up in a little Rounder with Carolina and New England. Was countin' my cash when the old man threw the 39 yarder to finish it. Still money ahead but, oh, what could have been ... LOL