Stifler's Mom
11-28-2004, 11:49 AM
Finally added up my record. Don't laugh too much.
YTD 72-83-4 (-62.49 units)
These are the 6 games that fit into my "system" today. Try to pick the SU winner and play em, and disregard the spread, unless it's more than -7.
Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115)
I'm sure this is a big public play, but IMO the Eagles remain very undervalued. Eli Manning has a long way to go in the NFL, and now he has to face a defense that is not afraid to put pressure on him and in incliment weather. Eagles should win this one, so i'll lay the 7 pts.
Cincinnati Bengals -6 (-105)
Cincy is clearly a better team than Cleveland, especially when Kelly Holcombe is taking the snaps for Cleveland. Wasn't this guy supposed to be the future for Cleveland last year taking over for the now out of the NFL Tim Couch? Guess not since he looked awful and Butch Davis couldn't decide if Holcombe or Couch sucked more, so they brought in Garcia who has kept Cleveland in ballgames this year. As Garcia goes, the Cleveland offense goes....and Garcia will be going nowhere today, since he's not playing.
Cincy was the first team to hold Pittsburgh in check last week and almost pull of a win, and there's no reason Cleveland should beat Cincy today. Laying the 6.
Houston Texans +1 (-105)
I guess they are a dog because McNair is playing now for Tennessee? Whatever, Houston has beaten better teams than Tennessee, and IMO Tennessee remain overvalued from when they were good. Line should be Houston -3 here. Houston should get the job done today too at home.
Buffalo Bills +5
Bills have a better team than Seattle. Only thing that concerns me is that Buffalo hasn't played especially well on the road this year, but since the first 3 games, Seattle hasn't played well anywhere. Surging Buffalo should win this one SU behind another strong performace from Willis McGahee and their special teams against sinking Seattle, so +5 is a gift as far as I'm concerned.
Arizona Cardinals +3
Another team that is night and day between home and away. I don't much like going against the AFC with an NFC team, but I think this is a good spot to do it. Arizona is pretty mean in the desert, and the Jets, well I still think they are a bit overrated....especially now with Quincy Carter at QB. Arizona should win SU, so I'll take the FG.
Miami Dolphins pk
A battle of the 2 worst records in the NFL, although I don't think it's a battle of the 2 worst TEAMS. Miami is head and shoulders above SF IMO and if they played in the NFC, I believe they would be at least 4-6 or 5-5. Miami's defense should be able to shut down SF and their offense should be able to score at least enough to win against a SF defense that turned to shit once Julian Peterson got hurt.
2 units each
Now Denver, Pittsburgh and Atlanta would also be teams I am thinking will win SU, but the spreads are too high to fit the system.
I would take New England, but Baltimore has won its last 5 ATS, and they're the kind of team that will go against my system with their good defense when they're a dog, as they did in Philly a few weeks ago as a +7 dog. I'm not convinced New England will blow Baltimore out, so i skipped that game.
Could not determine a winner between Jacksonville/Minnesota, Tampa Bay/Carolina, or San Diego/Kansas City, so they're no plays as well.
That should cover my humble opinion on all the games today, lol
BOL everyone :thumbs:
YTD 72-83-4 (-62.49 units)
These are the 6 games that fit into my "system" today. Try to pick the SU winner and play em, and disregard the spread, unless it's more than -7.
Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115)
I'm sure this is a big public play, but IMO the Eagles remain very undervalued. Eli Manning has a long way to go in the NFL, and now he has to face a defense that is not afraid to put pressure on him and in incliment weather. Eagles should win this one, so i'll lay the 7 pts.
Cincinnati Bengals -6 (-105)
Cincy is clearly a better team than Cleveland, especially when Kelly Holcombe is taking the snaps for Cleveland. Wasn't this guy supposed to be the future for Cleveland last year taking over for the now out of the NFL Tim Couch? Guess not since he looked awful and Butch Davis couldn't decide if Holcombe or Couch sucked more, so they brought in Garcia who has kept Cleveland in ballgames this year. As Garcia goes, the Cleveland offense goes....and Garcia will be going nowhere today, since he's not playing.
Cincy was the first team to hold Pittsburgh in check last week and almost pull of a win, and there's no reason Cleveland should beat Cincy today. Laying the 6.
Houston Texans +1 (-105)
I guess they are a dog because McNair is playing now for Tennessee? Whatever, Houston has beaten better teams than Tennessee, and IMO Tennessee remain overvalued from when they were good. Line should be Houston -3 here. Houston should get the job done today too at home.
Buffalo Bills +5
Bills have a better team than Seattle. Only thing that concerns me is that Buffalo hasn't played especially well on the road this year, but since the first 3 games, Seattle hasn't played well anywhere. Surging Buffalo should win this one SU behind another strong performace from Willis McGahee and their special teams against sinking Seattle, so +5 is a gift as far as I'm concerned.
Arizona Cardinals +3
Another team that is night and day between home and away. I don't much like going against the AFC with an NFC team, but I think this is a good spot to do it. Arizona is pretty mean in the desert, and the Jets, well I still think they are a bit overrated....especially now with Quincy Carter at QB. Arizona should win SU, so I'll take the FG.
Miami Dolphins pk
A battle of the 2 worst records in the NFL, although I don't think it's a battle of the 2 worst TEAMS. Miami is head and shoulders above SF IMO and if they played in the NFC, I believe they would be at least 4-6 or 5-5. Miami's defense should be able to shut down SF and their offense should be able to score at least enough to win against a SF defense that turned to shit once Julian Peterson got hurt.
2 units each
Now Denver, Pittsburgh and Atlanta would also be teams I am thinking will win SU, but the spreads are too high to fit the system.
I would take New England, but Baltimore has won its last 5 ATS, and they're the kind of team that will go against my system with their good defense when they're a dog, as they did in Philly a few weeks ago as a +7 dog. I'm not convinced New England will blow Baltimore out, so i skipped that game.
Could not determine a winner between Jacksonville/Minnesota, Tampa Bay/Carolina, or San Diego/Kansas City, so they're no plays as well.
That should cover my humble opinion on all the games today, lol
BOL everyone :thumbs: