NFL Week 10 Information Thread

[BillyBarooooooo]

Tuesdays Early Lines

209 BALTIMORE PK 1/1½/2
1:00 PM Matchup Preview
210 NEW YORK JETS 34½ 34/33½ Qb Carter to Start

211 PITTSBURGH 5 4½/4cir Rb Staley?
1:00 PM Matchup Preview
212 CLEVELAND 42½ 42/41½cir/42cir

213 HOUSTON 53½
1:00 PM Matchup Preview
214 INDIANAPOLIS 9½/9

215 CHICAGO Rb Jones?
1:00 PM
216 TENNESSEE Qb McNair?

217 TAMPA BAY 40 41/40½
1:00 PM Matchup Preview
218 ATLANTA 3½

219 DETROIT 34½
1:00 PM Matchup Preview
220 JACKSONVILLE 4 3½/3 Qb Garrard to Start

221 SEATTLE 48 48½/49/50...PK
1:00 PM Matchup Preview
222 ST. LOUIS 1 1½/1...50

223 KANSAS CITY 3½cir 4½cir Rb Holmes?
1:00 PM Matchup Preview
224 NEW ORLEANS 58½cir

225 CINCINNATI 38 37
4:05 PM
226 WASHINGTON 3

227 MINNESOTA 50cir WrMoss?
4:15 PM Matchup Preview
228 GREEN BAY 4½cir 4cir

229 NEW YORK GIANTS 3 2½/2/2½/2
4:15 PM Matchup Preview
230 ARIZONA 37 37½/38

231 CAROLINA 41 41½
4:15 PM Matchup Preview
232 SAN FRANCISCO 1 Pk

233 BUFFALO 37½
8:35 PM Matchup Preview
234 NEW ENGLAND 9 8½/8

235 PHILADELPHIA 5½ 6/6½
9:05 PM Matchup Preview
236 DALLAS 41 41½/41/41½/42

[BillyBarooooooo]

Week 1
Favorites 7 Dogs 8 Push 1
Home Dogs 2-2
Home Favorites 5-6-1

Overs 7 Unders 9
Average Score 38.81

Week 2
Favorites 9 Dogs 7
Home Dogs 2-4
Home Favorites 7-3

Overs 7 unders 9
Average Score 37.81

Week 3
Favorites 7 Dogs 7
Home Dogs 0-2
Home Favs 5-2

Overs 6 Unders 8
Average Score 39

Week 4
Favorites 6 Dogs 7 Push 1
Home Dogs 4-5-1
Home Favs 1-3

Overs 6 Unders 8
Average Score 37.86

Week 5
Favorites 5 Dogs 9
Home Dogs 1-1
Home Favs 4-8

Overs 6 Unders 8
Average Score 46.07 (WOW and Unders Rolled this week)

Week 6
Favorites 7 Dogs 7
Home Dogs 1-3
Home Favs 4-6

Overs 6 Unders 8
Average Score 41.71

Week 7
Favorites 5 Dogs 8 Push 1
Home Dogs 4-0
Home Favs 4-4-1

Overs 8 Unders 6
Average Score 41.36

Week 8
Favorites 8 Dogs 6
Home Dogs 2-1
Home Favs 7-4

Overs 11 Unders 3 (Looks Like the Overs Caught up)
Average Score 43.14

Week 9
Favorites 4 Dogs 10
Home Dogs 4-1
Home Favs 3-6

Overs 11 Unders 3
Average Score 49.36

YTD Week 1 thur 9
Favorites 58 Dogs 69 Push 3
Home Dogs 20-19-1
Home Favorites 40-39-2

Overs 68 Unders 62
Average Score 41.68

Week 1 38.81
Week 2 37.81
Week 3 39.00
Week 4 37.86
Week 5 46.07
Week 6 41.71
Week 7 41.36
Week 8 43.14
Week 9 49.36
--------------------
Average 41.68

[BillyBarooooooo]

Week 10 Anti Trends
Week 9 5-9
YTD 64-61-2
Sides 36-38-2
Totals 28-23

Short and to the point

Atlanta -3.5
Clevleand +4
Houston over 53.5
Jacksonville -3
New Orleans +4.5
Baltimore over 33.5
Chicago take the points
Seattle over 50
Washington over 37
Arizona +2
Greenbay -4
San Francisco PK
Buffalo +8
Dallas +6.5


BB
:thumbs:

[BillyBarooooooo]

Barooooooo System

Week 9 4-3-1


Sides 14-13-1
Totals 6-6-1
--------------
YTD 20-19-2


Houston +9 (Error 6)
Chicago What ever the line the wont be the favorite and it will be a error
Seattle pk (Error 4.5)
Seattle under 50 (Error 5)
Buffalo +7.5 (Error 4)


BB:thumbs:

[BillyBarooooooo]

YO YO Monte Under System
Play any total under 39.5

Week 9 2-4
YTD
30-19-1


Week 10

JETS 34
Cincinnati 37
New York Giants 38
Buffalo 37.5

[BillyBarooooooo]

Week Ten's Office Pool Picks

Last Week's Record: 7-7
Season Record: 83-47



Tampa Bay (3-5) at Atlanta (6-2) Falcons Falcons 20 Bucs 14

Pittsburgh (7-1) at Cleveland (3-5) Steelers Steelers 24 Browns 20

Houston (4-4) at Indianapolis (5-3) Colts Colts 31 Texans 21

Detroit (4-4) at Jacksonville (5-3) Jaguars Jaguars 20 Lions 10

Kansas City (3-5) at New Orleans (3-5) Chiefs Chiefs 34 Saints 28

Baltimore (5-3) at New York Jets (6-2) Ravens Ravens 23 Jets 10

Seattle (5-3) at St. Louis (4-4) Seahawks Seahawks 27 Rams 24

Chicago (3-5) at Tennessee (3-5) Titans Titans 17 Bears 10

Cincinnati (3-5) at Washington (3-5) Redskins Redskins 21 Bengals 20

New York Giants (5-3) at Arizona (3-5) Cardinals Cardinals 24 Giants 17

Minnesota (5-3) at Green Bay (4-4) Packers Packers 34 Vikings 31

Carolina (1-7) at San Francisco (1-7) Panthers Panthers 24 49ers
21

Buffalo (3-5) at New England (7-1) Patriots Patriots 20 Bills 17

Philadelphia (7-1) at Dallas (3-5) Eagles Eagles 27 Cowboys 17



BB:thumbs:

[BillyBarooooooo]

UNDER 30 (3-3 YTD)
Play on any team that has scored fewer than 30 pts in it's past three games.

Play on: NO PLAY

OVER 90 (4-6 YTD)
Play against any team that has scored more than 90 pts in it's past three games.

Play: Houston, New Orleans, Minnesota,

BYE WEEK (22-5 82% 2004 END RESULTS )
Play on a road team that has a bye the following week

Play on: No More Bye weeks!!

[BillyBarooooooo]

Anti Consensus
(Wow looks like fading this year doesnt work! PUBLIC HOT ON TOTALS. Does this surprise anyone with all the overs the last two weeks. 22-6 overs vs unders)

Current Season


Record Percent Units Ranking
ATS Picks 36-35-1 50.70% -1250
O/U Picks 28-16-0 63.64% +5200
All Picks 64-51-1 55.65% +3950

Side
Cleveland 31%
Arizona 30%

Totals (GUESS WHAT! Every total but 3 games are in the Consensus this week as a play. Oh would it surprise you that they are all overs too!!!!!!)

Cinn, Balt and Houston only games that are not 40% or better! The rest everyone is on the over. Keep a eye on Houston cause that is right on the border......

[BillyBarooooooo]

SUNDAY NIGHT MONDAY NIGHT
WEEK 1 FAV OVER DOG UNDER
WEEK 2 DOG UNDER FAV UNDER
*WEEK 3 FAV OVER DOG OVER BOTH OVERS
WEEK 4 FAV UNDER DOG OVER
WEEK 5 FAV UNDER DOG OVER
*WEEK 6 FAV OVER FAV OVER BOTH
WEEK 7 NO GAME DOG UNDER
WEEK 8 FAV OVER FAV OVER
WEEK 9 FAV OVER DOG OVER
WEEK 10

Sunday Night
7 Fav 1 Dog
5 overs 3 Unders

Monday Night
6 Dogs 3 Favs
6 Overs 3 Unders

[BillyBarooooooo]

Hilton Plays
Cleveland
Greenbay
Houston
Seattle
Tampa Bay

Station Plays
Tampa Bay
Cleveland
Greenbay
Houston
Buffalo

No Nugget plays yet

Nugget Contest (Biggest prize pool)

Week 1 5-1
Week 2 2-3
Week 3 3-2
Week 4 2-2-4
Week 5 3-3
Week 6 3-6
Week 7 5-1
Week 8 3-3
Week 9 2-3
YTD 28-24-1

Hilton Contest

Week 1 4-1
Week 2 1-4
Week 3 3-2
Week 4 3-4 (2 picks over laid if you played the top teams with most picks they won)
Week 5 3-2
Week 6 3-3
Week 7 2-3
Week 8 3-2
Week 9 3-2
YTD 25-23

Stations Contest

Week 1 5-3
Week 2 2-4
Week 3 3-2
Week 4 1-3-1
Week 5 1-4
WeeK 6 4-3
Week 7 3-1-1
Week 8 5-2
Week 9 3-3
YTD 27-25-2

[BillyBarooooooo]

HOW CAN YOU WORK FOR CBS AND BE THIS BAD????

Harmons Forcast Week 10
Week 9 Rsults 7-21
Sides 5-9
Totals 2-12
Week 8 Results 4-22-2 (YES THAT IS RIGHT)
Sides 2-10-2
Totals 2-12

YTD Week 2 thru 9
93-137-15
47-62-12 sides
46-75-3 totals

Week 10 - Sunday, Nov. 14, 2004

*Atlanta 24 Tampa Bay 20 - The Falcons' defensive rankings dropped sharply after they were trounced in K.C. three weeks ago, and they'll be challenged by the Buccaneers. Atlanta ended a six-game T.B. series winning streak last year.

*Green Bay 27 Minnesota 24 - They didn't do as badly as we expected without Randy Moss against the Colts, but the Vikings face the resurgent Packers in the wrong place at the wrong time. They've each won one for the past three seasons.

*Indianapolis 30 Houston 21 - Like everybody else, the Texans can move the ball through the air on the Colts, but Indy will overwhelm Houston's D. The Colts have taken all four games in the series, though by progressively smaller margins.

*Jacksonville 22 Detroit 16 - The offense of the Jaguars -- their passing in particular -- has improved steadily, while the Lions' remains among the league's weakest. The clubs have met only twice, most recently in 1998; each has won once.

Kansas City 28 *New Orleans 14 - Could be a long game for the Saints, because the Chiefs are equally productive on the ground or putting the ball up, and N.O. is helpless against either tactic. K.C. beat the Saints last, seven years ago.

*New England 29 Buffalo 13 - In Week Four, Patriots QB Tom Brady threw for two TD's and the N.E. defense sacked Bills QB Drew Bledsoe seven times on the way to a 31-17 win. Buffalo's plodding, predictable offense simply isn't a threat.

N.Y. Giants 21 *Arizona 15 - The Giants don't have the tightest defensive line, and the Cardinals should run straight at it, but N.Y. won't sell them short after what happened to Seattle three weeks ago. Arizona was a 21-7 winner in '02.

*N.Y. Jets 17 Baltimore 13 - If we were the Jets' Quincy Carter, now filling in for the injured Chad Pennington, this isn't the defense we'd want to start against. The Ravens got their second win in three games with N.Y. four years ago.

Pittsburgh 28 *Cleveland 16 - Passing for one TD and running for another, Steelers "replacement" QB Ben Roethlisberger led them past the Browns 34-23 five weeks ago. Having knocked off N.E. and Philly, Pittsburgh can't relax in Cleveland.

*St. Louis 25 Seattle 23 - Since blowing a 17-point fourth-quarter lead over the Rams and losing in OT, 33-27, last month, the Seahawks haven't looked the same. St. Louis's defense continues to struggle, however, so this is a tossup.

*San Francisco 19 Carolina 14 - The Panthers must know West Coast offenses by now, facing their fourth West Coast opponent in a row. The 49ers, who last met Carolina in '01, will want to go to the air, where the Panthers' D is at its best.

*Tennessee 23 Chicago 17 - By beating the Bengals two weeks ago, the Titans stayed alive and motivated -- just like the Bears did against the Giants last week. Chicago won in Tennessee six years ago, the last time the teams faced off.

*Washington 18 Cincinnati 7 - The Bengals looked great against the Cowboys' D, but they won't against the Redskins -- whose ground game as well can keep Cincy on its collective heels, where it's been all season. They haven't met since '91.
Week 10 - Monday, Nov. 15, 2004

Philadelphia 24 *Dallas 15 - Who's now doubting themselves? The Eagles, newly humbled by the Steelers. Who's just plain desperate? The Cowboys, having lost four of their last five. Philly has won seven of the series' last eight games.

Bye Week - Denver, Miami, Oakland, San Diego. * - Home Team



BB:thumbs:

[BillyBarooooooo]

Going back from week 2 thru week 8
Monday night winner when playing the following week are
1-5 with 2 byes
Monday night losers when playing the following week are
6-2

This week

Minnesota was the first team to cover and not win.

hmmm will go with the team that won and fade them and play the team that lost
This weeks play
Play Minnesota +4 against GB
Fade Indy -9 Play Houston +9.

Play at your own risk


__________________

[BillyBarooooooo]

Rah-stah Man, Good stuff! I'm guessing you play the road team??? Make sure I'm on the same page and graded the two games below correct. This weeks play would be Seattle?

Thanks Again For you time and your contributions!!!!

BB


East/West Coast Time Trend

Week 1
Arizona at St. Louis, 1:00 pm MST to CST -StLouis -11 [LOST]
Oakland at Pittsburgh, 1:00 pm True play but lost PST to EST -Pitt -4 [LOST]
Seattle at New Orleans, 1:00 pm PST to CST -NO +2 [LOST]

Week 2
San Francisco at New Orleans, 1:00 pm PST to CST -NO 7.5 [LOST]

Week 3
Arizona at Atlanta, 1:00 pm MST in to EST ***this should be the next play Atl -10 [LOST]

Week 4
None

Week 5
Oakland at Indianapolis, 1:00 pm PST to CST Ind -9 [LOST]

Week 6
San Diego at Atlanta, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST Atl -4.5 [LOST]
Seattle at New England, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST NE -4 [WON]

Week 7
San Diego at Carolina, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST Car -3 [LOST]

Week 8
Arizona at Buffalo, 1:00 pm MST to EST Buff -3 [WON]

Week 9
Arizona at Miami, 1:00 pm MST to EST Miami -3 [LOST]
Oakland at Carolina, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST Car -7 [LOST]

Week 10
Seattle at St. Louis, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST St. Louis -1

Week 11
Arizona at Carolina, 1:00 pm MST to EST
San Francisco at Tampa Bay, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST

Week 12
San Diego at Kansas City, 1:00 pm PST to CST

Week 13
Arizona at Detroit, 1:00 pm MST to CST
San Francisco at St. Louis, 1:00 pm PST to CST

Week 14
Seattle at Minnesota, 1:00 pm PST to CST
Oakland at Atlanta, 1:00 pm True play PST to EST

Week 15
Seattle at N.Y. Jets, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST
San Diego at Cleveland, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST

Week 16
San Diego at Indianapolis, 1:00 pm PST to CST

Week 17
No Play

[BillyBarooooooo]

YO YO if you happen to read this add your system again this week! Thanks to everyone who is adding to this thread! It's everyone's goal to put a little green in your pocket each week.


THANKS AGAIN


BB:thumbs:

[mikemac]

Great info as ussual billy...thanks and gl this week!:thumbs:

[Eagles2005SB]

good stuff ... leaning towards Minnesota already, that info does me right!!

[yomonte]

Billy, I ain't got much this week. And am not betting much either. The under 39.5 is not working for ESPN and MNF games. The over is like 5-1 on these games. Thinking real seriously of taking the over on Buff/NE. Since I only have 4 wagers that fit anything I have, I'll probably take all the unders and the over on the ESPN game. There have only been two weeks that this has not worked and if you take out the ESPN game and MNF the bad two weeks was juice. Please do not quote me on this and I'll check. If I find this to be correct, I'll bet the unders again and the over on ESPN game this week.

Fav's with reduced juice are 0-4 on the year. No play this week.
Favs last two weeks of -115 or more are 6-1

Wash -125
Atl -115

Please remember, these are opening lines and not changes through the week.

Teams that won by two TD's or more and had a bye the next week, lost and went over. This is 100%. They were also all home favs when they lost after the bye. GB beat wash by 14+ before their bye week and are a home fav playing Min.

Min +4
Min/GB ov 50

Also fits Billy's MNF info

Sorry for the edit

[BillyBarooooooo]

Two games where they each scored under 10 points last week

Detroit/Jacksonville 34.5
Philadelphia/Dallas 42


Will be interesting to see if they go over this week. Usually teams that score under 10 bounce back the next week. Might even have to jump on the dogs since they should each put up 14-17 points each!!!!

[MAJOR]

Billy hope ya don't mind i thought i'd post this one in your thread as well

Y.T.D. NFL SPREAD WINNERS

S.D. 7-1-1 (77,8%)
PIT 6-2-0 (75%)
BAL 6-2-0 (75%)
N.E. 5-3-0 (62.5%)
PHI 5-3-0
JACK 5-3-0
MIN 5-3-0
NYG 5-3-0
ARI 5-3-0
BUF - 5-3-0
NJY 4-3-1- (50%)
IND 4-3-1
SEA 4-4-0
DET 4-4-0
G.B. 4-4-0
HOU 4-4-0
CHI 4-4-0
CLE 4-4-0
S.F. 4-4-0
ATL 3-5-0 (37.5%)
DAL 3-5-0
K.C. 3-5-0
T.B. 3-3-2- (37.5%)
TEN 3-5-0
WAS 3-5-0
CAR 3-5-0
DEN 3-4-2 (33.3%)
OAK - 3-6 (33.3%)
ST.L 2-5-1 (25%)
CIN 2-6-0
N.O. 2-6-0
MIA 2-7-0 (22.2%)

[BillyBarooooooo]

No not at all Major this is good stuff.


These teams will start to fall ATS wise in the next few weeks.
S.D. 7-1-1 (77,8%)
PIT 6-2-0 (75%)
BAL 6-2-0 (75%)
N.E. 5-3-0 (62.5%)



I remeber last year, my buddy came up to me and said " I'm playing these three teams this week they are the best ATS in the NFL" He got wacked that week!!!!!

DUMB ASS!!!!


BB:thumbs:

[BillyBarooooooo]

Everything is updated!!!

Feel free to add anything!



BB:thumbs:

[Florida Shark]

Damn, what else is there to add? Great info as usual!

[yomonte]

Ultimate Handicapping Challenge

24 plays on TB, none on Atl. 5 on the over, none on the under. I have noticed that in situations like this, they lose on their play.
play: Atl

Only one other game that has a real big margin

21 on GB, 2 on Min.
play: Min

Alot of folks like Ariz ov NYG this week. 70%
NE 83%
KC 71%


This is a test and I will keep a record of it effective immediately. I can't go back and get past consensus.

GL and remember, this is a test.