NFL Week 9 Information Thread

[BillyBarooooooo]

407 NEW YORK JETS 3
1:00 PM
408 BUFFALO 36½

409 PHILADELPHIA 2 1½/1/1½/1 RB Westbrook ?
1:00 PM
410 PITTSBURGH 43 44

411 WASHINGTON 39 38/37½
1:00 PM
412 DETROIT 4 3½

413 DALLAS 1½ 1
1:00 PM
414 CINCINNATI 43½ 44/43½

415 OAKLAND 41½
1:00 PM
416 CAROLINA 6 6½/7

417 ARIZONA 34½
1:00 PM
418 MIAMI 3

419 KANSAS CITY 3
1:00 PM
420 TAMPA BAY 43½ 44/44½

421 CHICAGO 36 35½
4:05 PM
422 NEW YORK GIANTS 9 9½/9

423 SEATTLE 6cir 6½cir/7cir
4:05 PM
424 SAN FRANCISCO 39½cir QB Rattay ?

425 NEW ORLEANS 48 48½/49
4:05 PM
426 SAN DIEGO 6

427 NEW ENGLAND 2 2½cir RB Dillon ?
4:15 PM
428 ST. LOUIS 47 47½cir/48½cir

429 HOUSTON 42½ 41½/41/42
4:15 PM
430 DENVER 5½ 6/6½

431 CLEVELAND 35
8:35 PM
432 BALTIMORE 6

433 MINNESOTA 59½cir WR Moss ?
9:05 PM
434 INDIANAPOLIS 5½cir 6cir

[BillyBarooooooo]

Week 1
Favorites 7 Dogs 8 Push 1
Home Dogs 2-2
Home Favorites 5-6-1

Overs 7 Unders 9
Average Score 38.81

Week 2
Favorites 9 Dogs 7
Home Dogs 2-4
Home Favorites 7-3

Overs 7 unders 9
Average Score 37.81

Week 3
Favorites 7 Dogs 7
Home Dogs 0-2
Home Favs 5-2

Overs 6 Unders 8
Average Score 39

Week 4
Favorites 6 Dogs 7 Push 1
Home Dogs 4-5-1
Home Favs 1-3

Overs 6 Unders 8
Average Score 37.86

Week 5
Favorites 5 Dogs 9
Home Dogs 1-1
Home Favs 4-8

Overs 6 Unders 8
Average Score 46.07 (WOW and Unders Rolled this week)

Week 6
Favorites 7 Dogs 7
Home Dogs 1-3
Home Favs 4-6

Overs 6 Unders 8
Average Score 41.71

Week 7
Favorites 5 Dogs 8 Push 1
Home Dogs 4-0
Home Favs 4-4-1

Overs 8 Unders 6
Average Score 41.36

Week 8
Favorites 8 Dogs 6
Home Dogs 2-1
Home Favs 7-4

Overs 11 Unders 3 (Looks Like the Overs Caught up)
Average Score 43.14

YTD Week 1 thur 8
Favorites 54 Dogs 59 Push 3
Home Dogs 16-18-1
Home Favorites 37-33-2

Overs 57 Unders 59
Average Score 40.72

[BillyBarooooooo]

Week 9 Anti Trends
Week 8 8-6 +1.4
YTD 59-52-2 +1.8
Sides 32-33-2 -4.3
Totals 27-19 +6.1

Ok here we go Short and Sweet!!!


Jets over 36.5
Oakland under 41.5
Dallas -1
Washington over 37.5
Kansas City -3
Arizona +3
Pittsburgh +1
Chicago +9
San Francisco +7
New Orleans under 49
Houston under 41.5
St Louis +2
Cleveland +6
Minnesota +6






BB:thumbs:

[BillyBarooooooo]

Barooooooo System

Week 8 3-3


Sides 10-11-1
Totals 6-5
--------------
YTD 16-16-1


Oakland +7 (Error 6.5)
Arizona +3 (Error 6)
Chicago +9 (Error 5.5)
New England under 49 (Error 4.5)
Houston +6.5 (Error 6)
Cleveland +6 (Error 4)
Minnesota +6 (Error 4.5)
Minnesota under 59 (Error 5.5)




BB:thumbs:

[BillyBarooooooo]

Nugget Contest (Biggest prize pool)

Week 1 5-1
Week 2 2-3
Week 3 3-2
Week 4 2-2-4
Week 5 3-3
Week 6 3-6
Week 7 5-1
Week 8 3-3
YTD 26-21-1

Hilton Contest

Week 1 4-1
Week 2 1-4
Week 3 3-2
Week 4 3-4 (2 picks over laid if you played the top teams with most picks they won)
Week 5 3-2
Week 6 3-3
Week 7 2-3
Week 8 3-2
YTD 22-21

Stations Contest

Week 1 5-3
Week 2 2-4
Week 3 3-2
Week 4 1-3-1
Week 5 1-4
WeeK 6 4-3
Week 7 3-1-1
Week 8 5-2
YTD 24-22-2



BE BACK SATURDAY WITH UPDATES



BB:thumbs:

[BillyBarooooooo]

YO YO Monte Under System
Play any total under 39.5

Week 8 1-4-1
YTD
28-15-1


Week 9


Jets under 36.5
Washington under 37.5
Arizona under 34.5
Chicago under 36.5
Seattle under 39.5
Cleveland under 35

[BillyBarooooooo]

Week Nine's Office Pool Picks

Week 8 Record: 9-5

Season Record: 76-40

Game Predicted Winner Predicted Score
New York Jets (6-1) at Buffalo (2-5) Jets Jets 24 Bills 17
Oakland (2-6) at Carolina (1-6) Panthers Panthers 24 Raiders 17
Dallas (3-4) at Cincinnati (2-5) Bengals Bengals 27 Cowboys 24
Washington (2-5) at Detroit (4-3) Lions Lions 20 Redskins 14
Arizona (2-5) at Miami (1-7) Cardinals Cardinals 20 Dolphins 17
Philadelphia (7-0) at Pittsburgh (6-1) Eagles Eagles 27 Steelers 24
Kansas City (3-4) at Tampa Bay (2-5) Chiefs Chiefs 21 Buccaneers 17
Chicago (2-5) at New York Giants (5-2) Giants Giants 20 Bears 10
New Orleans (3-4) at San Diego (5-3) Chargers Chargers 27 Saints 24
Seattle (4-3) at San Francisco (1-6) Seahawks Seahawks 27 49ers 17
Houston (4-3) at Denver (5-3) Broncos Broncos 27 Texans 17
New England (6-1) at St. Louis (4-3) Patriots Patriots 31 Rams 28
Cleveland (3-4) at Baltimore (4-3) Ravens Ravens 23 Browns 13
Minnesota (5-2) at Indianapolis (4-3) Colts Colts 34 Vikings 28



BB:thumbs:

[BillyBarooooooo]

UNDER 30 (3-3 YTD)
Play on any team that has scored fewer than 30 pts in it's past three games.

Play on: NO PLAY

OVER 90 (2-5 YTD)
Play against any team that has scored more than 90 pts in it's past three games.

Play: Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Indianapolis

BYE WEEK (19-4 YTD)
Play on a road team that has a bye the following week

Play on: Denver, Miami, Oakland, San Diego

[BillyBarooooooo]

Anti Consensus
(Wow looks like fading this year doesnt work! This will change)

Current Season

ATS Picks 33-30-1 52.38%
O/U Picks 22-16-0 57.89%
All Picks 55-46-1 54.46%

Sides
Washington 31%
Chicago 33%
New Orleans 35%
Cleveland 37%
Arizona 39%
St. Louis 31%
Bufallo 25%
Tampa Bay 22%
San Francisco 19%
Minnesota 24%

Totals
Oakland over 39%
Philadelphia under 39%
New Orleans under 37%
Jets under 36%
Chicago under 32%
Houston under 32%
Kansas City under 32%
Seattle under 27%
Minnesota under 29%







BB:thumbs:

[BillyBarooooooo]

SUNDAY NIGHT MONDAY NIGHT
WEEK 1 FAV OVER DOG UNDER
WEEK 2 DOG UNDER FAV UNDER
*WEEK 3 FAV OVER DOG OVER BOTH OVERS
WEEK 4 FAV UNDER DOG OVER
WEEK 5 FAV UNDER DOG OVER
*WEEK 6 FAV OVER FAV OVER BOTH
WEEK 7 NO GAME DOG UNDER
WEEK 8 FAV OVER FAV OVER

[BillyBarooooooo]

HOW CAN YOU WORK FOR CBS AND BE THIS BAD????

Harmons Forcast Week 9
Week 8 Results 4-22-2 (YES THAT IS RIGHT)
Sides 2-10-2
Totals 2-12

YTD Week 2 thru 8
42-53-12 sides
44-63-3 totals



Week 9 - Sunday, Nov. 7, 2004
*Baltimore 21 Cleveland 14 - Browns QB Jeff Garcia threw for a score and ran for one in Cleveland's 20-3 victory over the Ravens on Opening Day. Since then Baltimore's running game -- though not much else -- has improved dramatically.
*Carolina 13 Oakland 10 - Neither of these offenses may do much here, since they're both best through the air, while both defenses are at their best against the pass. They've met twice, most recently in 2000, and each has won big.
Dallas 26 *Cincinnati 18 - The only thing that can keep the Bengals close is their secondary, but why would the Cowboys throw when they can open big holes in the league's weakest defensive line? Dallas beat Cincy last, four years ago.
*Denver 29 Houston 16 - Against teams with slacker defenses, the pass-dependent Texans have looked good, but they may get beaten up by the Broncos -- a club they've never faced -- who will shut them down while running all over them.
*Detroit 19 Washington 13 - Who knows how the Lions will play from week to week? Their offense, which finally came to life two weeks ago against the Giants, could be stifled by the Redskins, whom they last met -- and defeated -- in '00.
Kansas City 20 *Tampa Bay 12 - Not as easy a pick as it appears, hinging on whether the Buccaneers can keep the now red-hot Chiefs' backfield in check, and whether T.B. has benefited from a bye week. They haven't butted heads since '99.
*Miami 14 Arizona 13 - The Dolphins will need some help from their Bengals-like defensive line to stop the Cardinals, and whether Miami can score is yet another question. The Dolphins are 8 for 8 against Arizona/Phoenix/St. Louis.
New England 22 *St. Louis 18 - Though they can exploit the Patriots' defensive weaknesses -- especially through the air -- the Rams are giving up way too many yards to pull off an upset. Their last meeting was N.E.'s Super Bowl win in '02.
*N.Y. Giants 30 Chicago 14 - If they hope to keep up with the Eagles, the Giants' defense needs to step up and knock down teams like the Bears while the offense is running them ragged. N.Y. was the series' last winner, four years ago.
N.Y. Jets 18 *Buffalo 13 - The Jets overcame the Bills' late charge four weeks ago to edge them 16-14 on Doug Brien's last-minute field goal. In another defensive battle, N.Y. should sweep Buffalo for the second time in three years.
Philadelphia 24 *Pittsburgh 22 - An impossible pick: The Eagles' third straight AFC North opponent (after the Browns and Ravens) is obviously the best. Philly needed OT to beat the Steelers in '00, and they're just as evenly matched this time.
*San Diego 29 New Orleans 19 - At home, against a defense that stops nothing, the up-and-down Chargers will get past the down-and-up Saints, though they'll give up lots of passing yards. N.O. beat S.D. the last time they met, four years ago.
Seattle 23 *San Francisco 16 - In Week Three, when the Seahawks were looking Super, they dealt the 49ers their first shutout in 456 games, 34-0. Seattle fell flat after that, and its fourth straight series win will be much more interesting.
week 9 - Monday, Nov. 8, 2004
Minnesota 32 *Indianapolis 28 - Impossible pick No. 2: Yeah, the Vikings measure their air game in acres, not yards, and the Colts are helpless against the pass, but we can't shake the feeling that anybody can beat Minnesota at any time.
Bye Week - Atlanta, Green Bay, Jacksonville, Tennessee. * - Home Team



BB:thumbs:

[BillyBarooooooo]

Going back from week 2 thru week 8
Monday night winner when playing the following week are
1-4 with 2 byes
Monday night losers when playing the following week are
6-1

This week

Miami Lost Playing JETS Play Miami -3
JETS Won Play Miami Play Buffalo +3

[mikemac]

GL BILLY!

[BillyBarooooooo]

Thanks Mike!


Office pool will be up tomorrow and Contest Plays will be up on Saturday.


BOL to everyone this week!!!!



BB:thumbs:

[yomonte]

Billy, I think Den is the only road team with a bye next week.Not at home so don't have my papers with me.

GL

PS, I might have read that trend wrong.OH WELL LOL

[yomonte]

Rut Row, I was wrong. Me being wrong is not a news flash LOL

I got Oak as the only road team that has a bye wk 10. Other trends that support Oak to cover and one actually to win SU

Although the line is 7 on Oak/Car, opening lines at *** that are 6.5, the Dog has always covered. Opening lines reflect best what the books really feel the line should be before money changes hands. I do not use the ESPN or MNF games in any of my formulas LOL.

Oak +7

Any team that lost by 20 + the week before and is an away dog the next week has won SU .

Oak ML

And of course the road team with a bye the next week has a great track record.

Oak +7

Two other teams that lost by 20 + and are away dogs are Ariz and Min. There has only been one in weeks that this has happened and I don't feel all three will win SU. I do feel one will and that is Oak and/or Min. I'm thinking of taking all three just to be safe in case two hit this. Oak ML and side I have already posted.

GL

[BillyBarooooooo]

HERE THEY ARE THE CONTEST POOLS SELECTIONS

Nugget
1) Pitt
2) St louis
3) Cinn
4) Kan
5) Was

Hilton
1) Kan
2) Pitt
3) St louis
4) San Diego
5) Buff

Station
1) Pitt
2) Kan
3) St louis
3) San Diego
4) Seattle
5) Indy

Nugget Contest (Biggest prize pool)

Week 1 5-1
Week 2 2-3
Week 3 3-2
Week 4 2-2-4
Week 5 3-3
Week 6 3-6
Week 7 5-1
Week 8 3-3
YTD 26-21-1

Hilton Contest

Week 1 4-1
Week 2 1-4
Week 3 3-2
Week 4 3-4 (2 picks over laid if you played the top teams with most picks they won)
Week 5 3-2
Week 6 3-3
Week 7 2-3
Week 8 3-2
YTD 22-21

Stations Contest

Week 1 5-3
Week 2 2-4
Week 3 3-2
Week 4 1-3-1
Week 5 1-4
WeeK 6 4-3
Week 7 3-1-1
Week 8 5-2
YTD 24-22-2

[The War Dogs]

[QUOTE]Originally posted by BillyBarooooooo
[B]HOW CAN YOU WORK FOR CBS AND BE THIS BAD????

Harmons Forcast Week 9
Week 8 Results 4-22-2 (YES THAT IS RIGHT)
Sides 2-10-2
Totals 2-12

YTD Week 2 thru 8
42-53-12 sides
44-63-3 totals



Hell, look at Dan Rather. It's the same thing almost. They post his ATS record as 5-9 last week and 53-60-3 for the year on sides. I'm waiting for..."and on a personal note, I would just like to say, I'm sorry."

[BillyBarooooooo]

True True War Dog!!!



HEY DOES ANYONE KEEP TRACK OF EACH WEEK

GAME WITH THE HIGHEST SPREAD HOW IT FAIRS

GAME WITH THE HIGHEST TOTAL HOW IT FAIRS


SINCE WEEK 1


I Can go back and look just don't have the time


Thanks

BB:thumbs:

[Rah-stah Man]

Hey Billy,

Really good stuff, bro. I know many of us appreciate it.
:thumbs:
I believe I got this from you or yomonte, The East/West Coast trend.
So far it looks like a good fade.
I disagree with the first game since I'll more than likely be takng the Az ML ,but I do like the Panthers to cover against the Raiders.
Any info or thoughts on this weeks plays? Is this a new trend?
Thanks and gl today.


East/West Coast Time Trend

Week 1
Arizona at St. Louis, 1:00 pm MST to CST -StLouis -11 [LOST]
Oakland at Pittsburgh, 1:00 pm True play but lost PST to EST -Pitt -4 [LOST]
Seattle at New Orleans, 1:00 pm PST to CST -NO +2 [LOST]

Week 2
San Francisco at New Orleans, 1:00 pm PST to CST -NO 7.5 [LOST]

Week 3
Arizona at Atlanta, 1:00 pm MST in to EST ***this should be the next play Atl -10 [LOST]

Week 4
None

Week 5
Oakland at Indianapolis, 1:00 pm PST to CST Ind -9 [LOST]

Week 6
San Diego at Atlanta, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST Atl -4.5 [LOST]
Seattle at New England, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST NE -4 [WON]

Week 7
San Diego at Carolina, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST Car -3 [LOST]

Week 8
Arizona at Buffalo, 1:00 pm MST to EST Buff -3 [WON]

Week 9
Arizona at Miami, 1:00 pm MST to EST Miami -3
Oakland at Carolina, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST Car -7

Week 10
Seattle at St. Louis, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST

Week 11
Arizona at Carolina, 1:00 pm MST to EST
San Francisco at Tampa Bay, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST

Week 12
San Diego at Kansas City, 1:00 pm PST to CST

Week 13
Arizona at Detroit, 1:00 pm MST to CST
San Francisco at St. Louis, 1:00 pm PST to CST

Week 14
Seattle at Minnesota, 1:00 pm PST to CST
Oakland at Atlanta, 1:00 pm True play PST to EST

Week 15
Seattle at N.Y. Jets, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST
San Diego at Cleveland, 1:00 pm True Play PST to EST

Week 16
San Diego at Indianapolis, 1:00 pm PST to CST

Week 17
No Play

[yomonte]

Originally posted by BillyBarooooooo
True True War Dog!!!



HEY DOES ANYONE KEEP TRACK OF EACH WEEK

GAME WITH THE HIGHEST SPREAD HOW IT FAIRS

GAME WITH THE HIGHEST TOTAL HOW IT FAIRS


SINCE WEEK 1


I Can go back and look just don't have the time


Thanks

BB:thumbs:

Damn Billy, I thought this was your personal info thread. Now that you ask, I got a couple of things. Mind you these are opening lines and ESPN and MNF are left out.

Lines of 10+ are 4-1-1 for the dog
9.5 is split
9 is 3-1 for the fav
7.5 is3-1 for the dog
7 is 6-2 for the dog
6.5 is 5-0 for the dog
4 is 7-0 for the fav

6.5 to 7.5 is 14-3 for the dog. Oak opened at 6.5 which is 5-0 for the dog

Oak +7

Teams that went into OT the game before are 6-3. Atleast one team has covered in their next game. In week five 6 teams were playing after an OT game and went 5-1 for the cover. The dog in this situation has always covered. Last OT game was Philly and Clev. Philly did not cover.

Clev +6

[retired ref]

billy
highest over and lowest under for the year is
9-8
been tracking that for over 5 years
it usually winds up at about 58% at the end of the year!

retired ref

[DJTranks]

Thanks for the info BB!!

[BillyBarooooooo]

retired ref

Thanks for taking the time to read and answer my post.


This total looks crazy under. Setting it at 58 I really think this game goes over. I know public loves overs and everyone is fading the public but public got killed yesterday and the way things are looking money is coming in on the under. Now everyone is saying public was on Baltimore and the over. So a good rule of thumb is to fade them on MONDAY! So take Minn and the under. I just don't know. I could see Indy winning this one bye 10. 35 to 24 Indy and the over. I don't know need to due some more research. Books want you to take Minnesota and the 7.5. And that hook is getting alot of peoples attention......


HMMM What to do What to do. Not to mention I'm on tilt from last night game!!!!

BB:thumbs:

[BillyBarooooooo]

SUNDAY NIGHT MONDAY NIGHT
WEEK 1 FAV OVER DOG UNDER
WEEK 2 DOG UNDER FAV UNDER
*WEEK 3 FAV OVER DOG OVER BOTH OVERS
WEEK 4 FAV UNDER DOG OVER
WEEK 5 FAV UNDER DOG OVER
*WEEK 6 FAV OVER FAV OVER BOTH
WEEK 7 NO GAME DOG UNDER
WEEK 8 FAV OVER FAV OVER
Week 9 FAV OVER

Sunday Night
7 Fav 1 Dog
5 overs 3 Unders

Monday Night
5 Dogs 3 Favs
5 Overs 3 Unders

[beermantm]

How do you figure it though Billy when only 31% is on MIN??

If they are begging nobody is giving.

[Florida Shark]

Great info as always! Thanks.

[BillyBarooooooo]

Originally posted by beermantm
How do you figure it though Billy when only 31% is on MIN??

If they are begging nobody is giving.


I DID!:thumbs:

The hook scared me off them.....


Thanks Beerman


BB:thumbs: