Be careful out there, someone is gonna get hurt

[Horfin]

I watched a lot this weekend and there is something everyone needs to realize. THere are two types of games when the public is all over one side:

A. The game where the line moves


B. The game where the line doesn't move.


Why is this important.

The Philly/Cleveland game is a prime example. THe line started at Phil -7 and ended at Phi -7. However the public was smashing the shit out of the line and the line never moved. This would indicated that a ton of money was coming in on cleveland (if it wasn't the line would have moved a point or a point and a half).

The Den/Cin is a different game. You have the public pounding the shit out of Denver and the line is moving. The line started at -6.5 and is at -7.5. This means very little money is coming in on Cincinnati.

Just because the public is all over one team, it does not mean to play against it. When the public is all over one team and the line doesn't move indicates a play against the public.

Just Be Careful

Horf!N

[BillyBarooooooo]

7 is a key number in line movements. Hell everyone was pounding TB and it didn't move off it's mark! Tonights game is sitting at 7. I don't think will see that many 7.5. Unless it lands on 7 tonight, everyone who has the dog will be talking how they got 7.5......


BOL tonight


BB:thumbs:

[rjp]

Yeah, key numbers play a huge role!! Denver rolls though. :yeah:

[BillyBarooooooo]

Yeah RJP! I heard they are not even going to play this game tonight. THey are just going to give the win to denver and pay everyone just for shits and giggles....

BOL to you if the do play this game....

BB:thumbs:

[Horfin]

Originally posted by BillyBarooooooo
7 is a key number in line movements. Hell everyone was pounding TB and it didn't move off it's mark! Tonights game is sitting at 7. I don't think will see that many 7.5. Unless it lands on 7 tonight, everyone who has the dog will be talking how they got 7.5......


BOL tonight


BB:thumbs:

Billy:

7 is a key number and you make a good point, it is unlikely to move from 7. I saw a few people post saying they saw it at 7.5 that is why I said what I said. I did not check my book before the post, to double check. However, I did check it now and it is resting at -7 (-105) and +7 (-115). Which would indicte to me that money is coming in on Cincinnati. This pisses me off becuase I thought it was going to move so I got it this morning at -7 (-115).

rjp,

I love denver this game. However, I loved St Louis last week and they bearily managed the 7 point cover.

Horf!n