MNF Week 7: Denver at Bungals

[RSxxxxx]

asking yourself whats the difference between tonight's game and Philly yesterday? Public was on the Fav at over 70%.... The difference is the line moement IMO. if this were a trap game, the line wouldve opened at 7 or remained at -5.5 despite the heavy favoring of Denver.

The philly line didnt move one bit, and we all know the result of that game, which im convinced was fixed, fucking officials. Anyhow, The denver line has gone up almost 2 points since it opened, and tonight, i feel vegas will realize they made a mistake with this line. Need I remind you Denver was -2.5 at oakland last week and they won by 28!? Granted this is monday night at Cincy, but it could be thangsgiving, Christmas, or The day of Judgement, cincy is still the same team. Carson Palmer, IMO is the problem. Im sure he'll one day be a great QB, and that playing him is probably great for his development, but in order develop his skills, it looks like the team will take on a losing season.. Rudi Johnson is a great RB, and Chad Johnson, despite not getting into the endzone since week 1 is also a threat, but lets not forget that Denver is #1 in Defense in the league, and Bungals are 23rd in Offense. counter that with Denvers #5 Offense against Cincy's #13 Defense.

look for another 31-3 score or somewhere along those lines, for Denver. the man won his share of +7 dogs yesterday with Arizona +7 vs seattle, Detroit +7 vs NYG, Clev +7 vs Philly, Jets +7 vs NE, Miami +7 vs st louis. Come to think of it, he won all +7 spreads yesterday. So the man is happy, now its time for the public to be happy.

Denver -6 (3 units), Denver -6.5 (1 unit) and Denver -7 (3 units) over cincy tonight (for my record, i will count this as one 7 unit bet)

[patsfan]

I'm concered about the loss at Jax and a near loss in TB -- other than the Oakland game, Shannahan owns those guys, Denver has played poorly on the road. Just something to consider.

[bookiekilla]

GL!!!

[Stifler's Mom]

Wow, where were the Jets +7?

New England opened at -6.5 and quickly moved to -6 and stayed there until i took it about an hour before the game (at Pinnacle). After that, it could have moved though, i didn't look.

I'm sure some of the smaller books had +7, just not sure which ones.

Thing is that if the Jets went to +7, and people were taking them at that, the books pushed on NE -6 (what I had) and got hosed on Jets +6.5 and +7.

I believe this is alot of the reason bigger books don't move off a +/- 7 or +/- 3.

For example Philly opened at -6.5 and went to -7. If the books had gone to -7.5 with the money still coming in on Philly at -7, (then assuming +7.5 would have made money come in on Cleveland), that very well may have gotten middled with the game ending on an even 7 (which it nearly did) and would have lost even more than they would have had Philly covered the -7.

[cmancini]

You have some nice valid points, but look at Atlanta yesterday...#1 rush defense in the league--got smoked worse than Bob Marley. Whole different ballgame when your on the road, especially on Monday night. Both running backs will have a big game tonight. BUT, thats just my opinion. The man might keep rolling on tonight as everyone lays on Denver.

Cinci and the points.

[BoKnows]

RS Gl Bro..and I Digress. Does anyone know what makes the Cincy offense tick?????Well let me tell you it is not Chad Johnson, not Rudi Johnson, not Carson Palmer! Well you ask then who is it what makes this team go from a preseason contender to a virtual toilet dweller? Peter Warrick! Yes the same Peter Warrick taken 3rd in the draft! It was not until last year when he started playing like the player he is paid to be that Cincy started to take off! He is why CJ went to the pro bowl and Kitna for that matter. Notice he has been absent from the lineup for 3-4 weeks now and their offense is a sputtering mess! When he comes back things will change and they will be more of an offensive power! He will not be in the line up toniteGL!

[RSxxxxx]

cm, just keep in mind that atlanta is a fake, ive been calling it since their shitty win against arizona....dont know why everyone saw value in them visiting KC, but hey, im teh one to speak, on philly and indy lol

bo, youre absolutely right, warrick was a big part of the team, and him being out only helps denver. Its just too much D for cincy, and broncos should be able to move the ball easy for first downs all night


good luck guys, off to salsa classes :thumbs:

[RSxxxxx]

back and ready to kill the man tonight :gulp:

[The War Dogs]

yea, we got screwed on Philly yesterday big time. That bullshit call was just that...bullshit.

[RSxxxxx]

i would be 3000$ richer (including what i lose and wouldve gained, ref's bad call cost me that much)

anyhow, thats done with, time to get back on track

so besides my 7 units on denver, decided to try and middle again, if it werent for philly yesterday, my middles would and hsould be 3-0 past 3 weeks, so lets see, though im still hoping for a 31-0 romping, just because you never know and im not risking anything with this

Pinnacle Denver -7 -109 545$ pays 500$
Intertops Cincy +7.5 -105 500$ pays 476$


so if denver wins by 7, ill be 476$ richers, if cincy win, i lose 60$ which doesnt compare to the 7 units i have on denver. and id denver wins by 30, i make nothing on the middle, but win my 7 units from before....


Denver by 50!

[RSxxxxx]

no surprise here....

0-1 -7 units tonight blah is all i have to say