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View Full Version : Denver (7.5) Is that to much???


smallmafia
10-25-2004, 01:49 PM
To my gifted Piason's,

The one thing that always scares me is the 3.5 and 7.5 lines. At covers.com 86% are on Denver. It doesn't look like the line will move back down to 7. Line has now moved 2 points from 5.5 from the opening lines. Would you buy a point or a half-point to bring this line down to win? Or do you ballz up and hit it for what it's worth.

The DON has spoken
MAF

degenerate 4 life
10-25-2004, 02:03 PM
Denver is a trap play tonight. I am rooting for pts pts and more pts and I am going with the over

RSxxxxx
10-25-2004, 02:10 PM
i would buy the half point, always better no matter what game youre playing. though many big sites (like pinnaclesports.com) still have it at -7

rjp
10-25-2004, 03:12 PM
7 is a key number, so for the man to move first on and then off of that number they're trying hard as hell to balance the action. Key is when he does that he opens himself up to be middled. The man doesn't like to be middled, and this is a MNF game, so you can be sure he's positive that this is a Denver blowout or a Cincinnati win. I don't see Cincinnati winning this game, so I'd take Denver and lay the points or stay away.

GL

Q-Unit
10-25-2004, 03:18 PM
i bought the hook, hopefully it pays off...GL guys.

hey Don you waitin on your avatar too?

CANESBIGGDOGG
10-25-2004, 03:34 PM
Me too

El Hacko
10-25-2004, 03:50 PM
Godfather...Mine was listed at 7.0 but bought it own to 6.0 for tonights game. I'll always buy down the hook at 7-14-21 etc...or take a full point in hopes of winning outright.

Cinci is in trouble yet again this year. Thier season is :lost: if they lose this so I'm on the Broncs

GL tonight:thumbs:

smallmafia
10-25-2004, 04:52 PM
I feel the same as you guys. I usually have a rule that if a game moves more then a point and a half I stay away. But I think there's good value in buying a ppoint to get it below 7.

Q - Heck ya man, hope to get mine soon. I see dudes running around here with a few less then me that have it. But good things come to those who wait, right.

The DON has spoken
MAF

BoKnows
10-25-2004, 04:54 PM
Originally posted by degenerate 4 life
Denver is a trap play tonight. I am rooting for pts pts and more pts and I am going with the over

Explain your theory on how this is a trap???Thanks

Dawgs33
10-25-2004, 05:07 PM
When the lines came out early last week, 2 games jumped out at me as the lines being off. Philly -6.5 & Denver -5. For those of you who listened, I warned many of those who were loading up on Philly to be careful. While I am a Browns fan and still played on Philly I just thought the Browns at home would surprise some people and keep it close. But this game I'm on Denver -7. Cincy Def is terrible & Of is shaky at best. Being at home on Monday night might keep it close for a while, but look for Denver to pull away in the 2 half. I just wish I would have played it sooner when it was -5, but -7 is better the -7.5 it is at currently.

degenerate 4 life
10-26-2004, 06:25 AM
A trap- Something that appears to be good but really isn't. 80% of the public were on Denver but didn't realize there MNF results are very bad. I beleive that they were like 5 and 20, or something like that. If you had the Bengals there was no pt during the game where you were worried.

DJTranks
10-26-2004, 08:20 AM
This had nothing to do with a "trap" play, give me a break. and what are you talking about Dever 5 and 20 MNF? Try 10-10 - so many think they know vegas lines and these "traps" when they dont.

You know how many games the public win when they are all on the same side - a lot!

If you had Cinci great job.

smallmafia
10-26-2004, 08:36 AM
YA, What DJ said!!!!! :gulp:

DJ, what up with the avatar game man. I see dudes running around with less then me in post that got them. Just cause I'm a Mets fan don't mean you guys have to hate on me... lol

The DON has spoken
MAF

degenerate 4 life
10-26-2004, 08:37 AM
Noone is hating on you I think your picks are good but I said yesterday at 3 pm it was a trap play. DJ I am going to get your denver info in two seconds.

DJTranks
10-26-2004, 08:39 AM
Don -

LOL!! I am still a Yankee fan, but when NCAA Basketball hits I will change it to CUSE!

Degenerate - no need to pull up any info - they are 10-10 in MNF lol!

degenerate 4 life
10-26-2004, 08:58 AM
Denver Broncos (5-1, 1st place in AFC West)
Denver is 22-28-1 all-time on "Monday Night Football," including 1-1 record last season after losing both MNF contests in 2002. The Broncos have appeared on MNF in all but two years (1983, 1991) dating back to the 1978 season. They have been on MNF at least once in every season since 1992, the second-longest streak among NFL teams. Only the Dolphins (since 1991) have had a longer streak of MNF appearances. This is the Broncos' only appearance on "Monday Night Football" this season.

DJ not that great as of recent though

DJTranks
10-26-2004, 09:58 AM
Thats odd, the stat I got was from ESPN unless it was just against Cinci??

I thought they had a better record against them though... Well either way we know its almist around .500 for them.

ryanvick
10-26-2004, 11:32 AM
at covers... how do you find the % of the public on a play...
thanks

smallmafia
10-26-2004, 12:31 PM
ryanvick,

Go to matchups and on the right hand side there is a poll which asks you who you think will win. Once you've selected the team, it will post a pie graph showing the public's pick.

The DON has spoken
MAF