Louisville vs. Miami (Total) check it out

[bassque]

I have louisville (+15) and the under (49) in a teaser (1unit)
Also I have louisville (+9), the under(43), and Houston Astros (ML)in a parlay (1unit)

I really like Louisville and their D to hold miami under the total. Lousiville has only allowed 28 points in 4 games with TWO shutouts! Miami has allowed 26 points in 4 games with one shutout.
I like my chances of this teaser covering
I added these 2 plays plus houston astros (ML)in a parlay, I like the value the moneyline adds to the parlay. Figure if the teaser hits and the par doesn't I'm even for today, if both hit I take a good amount. If both loose I only loose 2 units.

What's everyones thoughts on this? Thanks

[BoKnows]

Bassque I am loving the birds tonite! In regards to the under, I am not so sure about that one, but I think 50 should be safe unless there more than a few turnovers. As you mentioned both these teams have better than average defenses! Berlin flat out blows...now that I have said that he will try and prove me and all h is critics wrong tonite..I see him playing up to par and betting it that way!! Not much of a baseball gambler, but I would think that the Astros would bounce back tonite and pull out a W! GL!!

[bassque]

Thanks for the opinion Bo, muchly appreciated.
Just looking for a tight game, not many TD's, D's holding offense to field goals. I agree that berlin sucks.
I may keep the teaser and throw the houston over in the parlay instead of louisville under, haven't decided, just throwing some options around til gametime.

[Daws1089]

do you mean louisville +15???? why would utake them -15???

[bassque]

oops, fixed
thanks Daws1089!