blix177
10-08-2004, 02:32 PM
This is my first post on this forum, been reading here and leeching off your ideas for a while now. So I guess I will give you guys some of my research.
Points YPG Rush Pass
75 At BYU 19.6 339 64.4 274.6
78 UNLV 19.8 337.4 167.8 169.6
-0.2 1.6 -103.4 105
BYU played
8 At Boise State L28-27
15 Vs. USC L42-10
33 At Colorado St. W31-21
36 At Stanford L37-10
50 Vs. Notre Dame W20-17
UNLV Played
18 At Tennessee L42-17
29 Vs. Air Force L27-10
30 Vs. Nevada W48-13
95 At Wisconsin L18-3
106 Vs. Utah State L31-21
First off the number next to each team represents their offense ranking, 1 being the best 117 being the worst. I got it from this link (http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/statistics?stat=team&pos=off&group=80&year=2004&sort=ypg).
At first look by the number it seem that BYU wont cover the 10 point spread. Having been out score scored by UNLV by .2 points per game, averaging 1.6 yards more then UNLV.
Now for the game by game break down. If you remove the Nevada game from UNLV played list UNLV have been slaughtered, by more then 10 points per game for the last 4 games. Now why would you remove the nevada game from the list? Because that game Nevada gave up 5 turn overs, and I believe that to be a fluke in their game play.
For BYU I believe they did pretty while against that list of oppenents. Coming in within 1 point with Boise St, which they should have won, if thier FG guy didn't break under the stress. And having won Notre Dame and Colorado State.
As for this game I am on BYU, but going with a really small play because I see much better games on Sat.
Here is a list of some of the teams I like this sat:
Minnesota
Ohio
UAB
Eastern Michigan <--- My favorite
Tennessee
Texas Tech
Texas A&M
Kansas
La Lafayette
UTEP
Nevada
Points YPG Rush Pass
75 At BYU 19.6 339 64.4 274.6
78 UNLV 19.8 337.4 167.8 169.6
-0.2 1.6 -103.4 105
BYU played
8 At Boise State L28-27
15 Vs. USC L42-10
33 At Colorado St. W31-21
36 At Stanford L37-10
50 Vs. Notre Dame W20-17
UNLV Played
18 At Tennessee L42-17
29 Vs. Air Force L27-10
30 Vs. Nevada W48-13
95 At Wisconsin L18-3
106 Vs. Utah State L31-21
First off the number next to each team represents their offense ranking, 1 being the best 117 being the worst. I got it from this link (http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/statistics?stat=team&pos=off&group=80&year=2004&sort=ypg).
At first look by the number it seem that BYU wont cover the 10 point spread. Having been out score scored by UNLV by .2 points per game, averaging 1.6 yards more then UNLV.
Now for the game by game break down. If you remove the Nevada game from UNLV played list UNLV have been slaughtered, by more then 10 points per game for the last 4 games. Now why would you remove the nevada game from the list? Because that game Nevada gave up 5 turn overs, and I believe that to be a fluke in their game play.
For BYU I believe they did pretty while against that list of oppenents. Coming in within 1 point with Boise St, which they should have won, if thier FG guy didn't break under the stress. And having won Notre Dame and Colorado State.
As for this game I am on BYU, but going with a really small play because I see much better games on Sat.
Here is a list of some of the teams I like this sat:
Minnesota
Ohio
UAB
Eastern Michigan <--- My favorite
Tennessee
Texas Tech
Texas A&M
Kansas
La Lafayette
UTEP
Nevada