chanman
10-01-2004, 11:31 AM
YTD:
Chopstick: 2-3 (-3.3)
Regular Plays : 8-4 (+ 5.2 units)
Small Plays : 6-4 (+1.60 units)
Overall: 16-11 (68%) +3.5 units
Last week: 1-4 – 8 units
Well, after the shittest week I’ve had so far this year I hope to bounce back with some WINNERS! Only three plays for me but I might add more.. Here what I like lets go 3-0!!!!
Friday game:
Utah -10
New Mexico 48
The Utes' (4-0 S/U, 3-1 ATS) achilles heel was exposed against the Lobos last season. UNM (2-2 S/U, 3-1 ATS) went into Salt Lake as an 8-point dog and shocked the Utes for 407 rushing yards in a 47-35 upset! The Lobos lost RB Dontrelle Moore to a knee injury in last week's win over NMSU, but D.D. Cox filled in nicely, rushing for 110 yards on 25 carries and 3 TD's! New Mexico RB Dontrelle Moore (knee) is questionable. HC Rocky Long and staff must be licking their chops after watching tapes of the Utah win over Air Force. The Falcons ran 302 yards on 66 carries, and came within a couple of bad calls from pulling the upset. Urban Meyer's defense is so aggressive that they over-pursue and get caught running past the play at times. UNM owns the offensive rushing schemes to stay in this one until the end. Utah's skill players, QB Smith, RB Johnson, WR's Warren & Savoy, should eventually be the difference in this one, but the Utes will know they've been in a battle! New Mexico without Moore will hurt but they play GREAT at home and hey its on national TV. I look for a close game here boys.
The play: New Mexico + 10 for 5 units (chopstick pick)
Saturday
Miami Fl -14
GT 41.5
Miami's (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) defense has really been impressive, allowing 7.7 points per game, especially when you realize they played potentially strong offensive teams like Houston and Florida State. The offense is still shaky behind erratic QB Brock Berlin (2 TDs, 2 INTs). But the ground game is averaging 155 yards per game behind RB Tyrone Moss (222 yards, 6.9 ypc). That has made the various injuries to RB Frank Gore less of a detriment. Georgia Tech's ground game has also been very impressive, averaging 23 points and 203 yards rushing per contest behind sophomore RB Reggie Ball (7 TDs, 5 INTs). G-Tech has had two weeks to prepare after a surprising 34-13 loss at weak North Carolina as a road favorite. The Yellow Jackets moved the ball very well that game, but turnovers killed them. They had better not get sloppy against opportunistic Miami. G-Tech is 5-2 SU, 4-2 ATS its last 7 home games, but Miami is 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS its last 5 road contests. This will be a close, low scoring defensive duel, which gives the big home dog a chance to hang in there. This is also an ACC game, with Miami new to the conference this season. I still question Brock Berlin and I see a close TIGHT Defensive game.
The play : GT + 14 for 2 units
LSU 37
GA -3
The best game of the day puts LSU at Georgia. LSU (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) is coming off a 51-0 SU tune-up against Mississippi State. It is true that LSU is averaging 34 points a game. However, the bulk of that is from two massacre games. Against Auburn, LSU only managed 9 points. It is no secret that LSU's problems are offensive, particularly the QB position. LSU has resorted to the dreaded two-headed QB system. Unfortunately for LSU, neither head is completing 50% of its passes. LSU still has the great running game (188 yards per game) led by Sophomore RB Justin Vincent (4.6 yards per carry). The rushing attack is going to be severely challenged this week against Georgia (3-0 SU, 0-2 ATS). Georgia's offense has not shined, but the Defense is as advertised. Georgia is only allowing 259 yards of offense per game. Plus, Georgia now gets star LB Odell Thurman back after a 3 game suspension. Georgia's offense has not clicked at all this year. Every game, the offense disappears for a few quarters before putting up just enough to win. QB David Green and company have only managed to pass for 223 yards a game. This week, Georgia also returns Freshman star TB Danny Ware to the backfield. They will need him against LSU's defense, which has not missed a beat this season either. The Tigers are only allowing 239 yards of offense per game and 8 points. Last year, LSU got the Home win, 17-10 SU. This game will probably look the same. It is important to note that LSU is a strong 5-1 SU and ATS the past 6 Road games. Georgia is coming off the bye week and has had 2 weeks to prep for LSU's complicated defense. Defense will rule this day and another 10-9 nail-biter is not out of the question. You know LSU will be ready to play, will the Bulldogs? Sorry UGA but the bulldogs go down this weekend. I heard there could be rain also so that makes the game even closer.
The play : LSU + 3 for 2 units
BOL!!
Chopstick: 2-3 (-3.3)
Regular Plays : 8-4 (+ 5.2 units)
Small Plays : 6-4 (+1.60 units)
Overall: 16-11 (68%) +3.5 units
Last week: 1-4 – 8 units
Well, after the shittest week I’ve had so far this year I hope to bounce back with some WINNERS! Only three plays for me but I might add more.. Here what I like lets go 3-0!!!!
Friday game:
Utah -10
New Mexico 48
The Utes' (4-0 S/U, 3-1 ATS) achilles heel was exposed against the Lobos last season. UNM (2-2 S/U, 3-1 ATS) went into Salt Lake as an 8-point dog and shocked the Utes for 407 rushing yards in a 47-35 upset! The Lobos lost RB Dontrelle Moore to a knee injury in last week's win over NMSU, but D.D. Cox filled in nicely, rushing for 110 yards on 25 carries and 3 TD's! New Mexico RB Dontrelle Moore (knee) is questionable. HC Rocky Long and staff must be licking their chops after watching tapes of the Utah win over Air Force. The Falcons ran 302 yards on 66 carries, and came within a couple of bad calls from pulling the upset. Urban Meyer's defense is so aggressive that they over-pursue and get caught running past the play at times. UNM owns the offensive rushing schemes to stay in this one until the end. Utah's skill players, QB Smith, RB Johnson, WR's Warren & Savoy, should eventually be the difference in this one, but the Utes will know they've been in a battle! New Mexico without Moore will hurt but they play GREAT at home and hey its on national TV. I look for a close game here boys.
The play: New Mexico + 10 for 5 units (chopstick pick)
Saturday
Miami Fl -14
GT 41.5
Miami's (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) defense has really been impressive, allowing 7.7 points per game, especially when you realize they played potentially strong offensive teams like Houston and Florida State. The offense is still shaky behind erratic QB Brock Berlin (2 TDs, 2 INTs). But the ground game is averaging 155 yards per game behind RB Tyrone Moss (222 yards, 6.9 ypc). That has made the various injuries to RB Frank Gore less of a detriment. Georgia Tech's ground game has also been very impressive, averaging 23 points and 203 yards rushing per contest behind sophomore RB Reggie Ball (7 TDs, 5 INTs). G-Tech has had two weeks to prepare after a surprising 34-13 loss at weak North Carolina as a road favorite. The Yellow Jackets moved the ball very well that game, but turnovers killed them. They had better not get sloppy against opportunistic Miami. G-Tech is 5-2 SU, 4-2 ATS its last 7 home games, but Miami is 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS its last 5 road contests. This will be a close, low scoring defensive duel, which gives the big home dog a chance to hang in there. This is also an ACC game, with Miami new to the conference this season. I still question Brock Berlin and I see a close TIGHT Defensive game.
The play : GT + 14 for 2 units
LSU 37
GA -3
The best game of the day puts LSU at Georgia. LSU (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) is coming off a 51-0 SU tune-up against Mississippi State. It is true that LSU is averaging 34 points a game. However, the bulk of that is from two massacre games. Against Auburn, LSU only managed 9 points. It is no secret that LSU's problems are offensive, particularly the QB position. LSU has resorted to the dreaded two-headed QB system. Unfortunately for LSU, neither head is completing 50% of its passes. LSU still has the great running game (188 yards per game) led by Sophomore RB Justin Vincent (4.6 yards per carry). The rushing attack is going to be severely challenged this week against Georgia (3-0 SU, 0-2 ATS). Georgia's offense has not shined, but the Defense is as advertised. Georgia is only allowing 259 yards of offense per game. Plus, Georgia now gets star LB Odell Thurman back after a 3 game suspension. Georgia's offense has not clicked at all this year. Every game, the offense disappears for a few quarters before putting up just enough to win. QB David Green and company have only managed to pass for 223 yards a game. This week, Georgia also returns Freshman star TB Danny Ware to the backfield. They will need him against LSU's defense, which has not missed a beat this season either. The Tigers are only allowing 239 yards of offense per game and 8 points. Last year, LSU got the Home win, 17-10 SU. This game will probably look the same. It is important to note that LSU is a strong 5-1 SU and ATS the past 6 Road games. Georgia is coming off the bye week and has had 2 weeks to prep for LSU's complicated defense. Defense will rule this day and another 10-9 nail-biter is not out of the question. You know LSU will be ready to play, will the Bulldogs? Sorry UGA but the bulldogs go down this weekend. I heard there could be rain also so that makes the game even closer.
The play : LSU + 3 for 2 units
BOL!!