Kevin
09-12-2004, 12:48 AM
Sides 0-0
Moneylines 0-0
Totals 0-0
<b>Seattle vs. New Orleans</b>
Should be a damn good game. Seattle is going to be much improved this yr but is perenially a slow starter and can have problems on the road.
I like them to make the playoffs this yr but this isn't their game. Saints are up and coming, Aaron Brooks comes back with more experience under his belt, Joe Horn is a pro bowl calibur WR and Donte Stallworth compliments him and will benefit from double coverage on Horn at times.
Lastly, and most importantly, Deuce McCallister is one of the best RB's in football Believe it. This is the Deuces yr to bust loose and become a Marquee name.
Saints D sucks, should be a very high scoring game. I like N.O to win in a squeeker.
Taking New Orleans +2.5 and one unit on the ML +157 and one unit on over 45
<b>Arizona vs. St. Louis</b>
I dont think AZ wins su here, but lets not forget Dennis Green has them playing motivated football and they finished the yr strong last yr. The young AZ qb is no slouch and Dennis Green gets the max out of his qb's. Sure their missing Anquan Boldin, but WR's Bryant and Fitzgerald are no slouches. Does bug me a bit that Fitzgerald is so young, but 9 points is A TON in the nfl.
Rams are aging. Can Bulger go without throwing a bunch of picks? I like AZ to stay within the spread and cover the number. Especially since it's crossed that beautiful number of 10.
Taking Arizona at +10.5
<b>KC vs. Denver</b>
Loving Jake the Snake Plummer as he comes into his prime. Denver has the best home field advantage of any team in any sports (historically). The loss of their stud RB hurts, but Quentin Griffin will have a nice fat day against a KC run d that sucks and has for many moons. What I really like about this game is that the public is flocking to KC THE DOG. I dont have historical numbers on how ats records go when the public is on the dog, but I have won oodles of loot on games that fall within this parameter and it's one of my favorite variables to see when capping a game.
Taking Denver -3
<b>Baltimore vs. Cleveland</b>
Say all you want about the Ravens tough d, but defense doesnt score points. Speaking of points, their offensive line is beat up and this WILL affect their play. Offensive line issues are the most overlooked part of capping games. I wouldnt be surprised if Cleve wins this game by a touchdown. Sure, Cleveland got their asses kicked both of the last 2 games they've played baltimore, but that's in the past. Opening day.... lotsa emotion going, beat up offensive line for Balt, HUGE REVENGE factor for Cleve after being embarassed the last 2x, and a new QB in Garcia who is no slouch COULD surely produce a win here. THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A GOOD HANDICAPPER AND A BAD HANDICAPPER is the ability to decipher what SHOULD HAPPEN and what really CAN HAPPEN. Believe it! This line hasnt moved but more than a 1/2 point and the whole fucking world is on Balt. Bookies dont drive cadillacs from losing and plus Las Vegas wasn't built on winning gamblers. Gimme those tasty three points and pluck me down a bone on the moneyline to boot.
Taking Cleveland +3 and one unit on the ML at +163
Cinci vs. NYJ
I love Brad Pennington, you love Brad Pennington, we love Brad Pennington. Great qb, mediocre team. Aging RB in Curtis Martin, suspect defense, and a great set of WR's. This team can and will score, in both this game and all season long as long as Pennington is the QB. He's heady and in my opinion is one of the best young qb's to come along in a long time. The bottom line here though is that when a person says Bengals, all our minds tend to think Bungals but this aint the same team that has stunk for so many yrs. This team has a great offense and can hang in there with anybody. I feel this line should have been 3 but is inflated due to it being a NY team. I dont have a crystal ball, but I can sure make a case for the Jets winning but not covering. 4.5 leaves a pretty good sized window of opportunity for cincy to squeeze in a cover and don't be surprised if they win SU.
Taking Cinci +4.5 and one unit on the ML +197
<b>Detroit vs. Da Bears</b>
The world is on Detroit here. Last I checked this team hasnt won a game on the road in some odd 16 games or so. Mariucci is overrated as a coach and Joey Harrington is guilty of making bad decisions. As far as Im concerned, Mariucci inherited talent in SF and has yet to prove his worth as an NFL coach. Da Bears arent flashy or stellar by any means, but their da bears and they will keep this game close and are likely to win with a barrage of field goals. People are barking about Urlacher not playing in the preseason. WHO CARES. This guy isnt human. He will be ready to play.
Taking Da Bears at -3 and hoping their fg kicker ate his wheaties.
<b>Atlanta vs. SF</b>
Tim Rattay? Kevan Barlow? Who are these guys? Lemme tell you. Their players who have been behind others most of their career and will both make the best of their situation. SF isnt good this yr, but thier not half as bad as people are saying. I watched Rattay all through college and this guy can hit a receiver. Atlanta is way too overhyped because of Michael Vick. Vick is supposedly gonna be a pocket qb this yr and I personally dont think he can do it. He's gonna get smeared again this yr as he has happy feet. Happy feet are what made this guy an NFL player, take that away and he's merely avg and making decisions from a view that he's not used to. I also like getting points as a home dog in week 1 as well. SF are human, there'll be emotion flowing. I expect them t win this game straight up with some not stellar but "better than atlanta" play.
Taking SF +3 and one bone on the ML at +157
Good luck to all!
Kevin
Moneylines 0-0
Totals 0-0
<b>Seattle vs. New Orleans</b>
Should be a damn good game. Seattle is going to be much improved this yr but is perenially a slow starter and can have problems on the road.
I like them to make the playoffs this yr but this isn't their game. Saints are up and coming, Aaron Brooks comes back with more experience under his belt, Joe Horn is a pro bowl calibur WR and Donte Stallworth compliments him and will benefit from double coverage on Horn at times.
Lastly, and most importantly, Deuce McCallister is one of the best RB's in football Believe it. This is the Deuces yr to bust loose and become a Marquee name.
Saints D sucks, should be a very high scoring game. I like N.O to win in a squeeker.
Taking New Orleans +2.5 and one unit on the ML +157 and one unit on over 45
<b>Arizona vs. St. Louis</b>
I dont think AZ wins su here, but lets not forget Dennis Green has them playing motivated football and they finished the yr strong last yr. The young AZ qb is no slouch and Dennis Green gets the max out of his qb's. Sure their missing Anquan Boldin, but WR's Bryant and Fitzgerald are no slouches. Does bug me a bit that Fitzgerald is so young, but 9 points is A TON in the nfl.
Rams are aging. Can Bulger go without throwing a bunch of picks? I like AZ to stay within the spread and cover the number. Especially since it's crossed that beautiful number of 10.
Taking Arizona at +10.5
<b>KC vs. Denver</b>
Loving Jake the Snake Plummer as he comes into his prime. Denver has the best home field advantage of any team in any sports (historically). The loss of their stud RB hurts, but Quentin Griffin will have a nice fat day against a KC run d that sucks and has for many moons. What I really like about this game is that the public is flocking to KC THE DOG. I dont have historical numbers on how ats records go when the public is on the dog, but I have won oodles of loot on games that fall within this parameter and it's one of my favorite variables to see when capping a game.
Taking Denver -3
<b>Baltimore vs. Cleveland</b>
Say all you want about the Ravens tough d, but defense doesnt score points. Speaking of points, their offensive line is beat up and this WILL affect their play. Offensive line issues are the most overlooked part of capping games. I wouldnt be surprised if Cleve wins this game by a touchdown. Sure, Cleveland got their asses kicked both of the last 2 games they've played baltimore, but that's in the past. Opening day.... lotsa emotion going, beat up offensive line for Balt, HUGE REVENGE factor for Cleve after being embarassed the last 2x, and a new QB in Garcia who is no slouch COULD surely produce a win here. THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A GOOD HANDICAPPER AND A BAD HANDICAPPER is the ability to decipher what SHOULD HAPPEN and what really CAN HAPPEN. Believe it! This line hasnt moved but more than a 1/2 point and the whole fucking world is on Balt. Bookies dont drive cadillacs from losing and plus Las Vegas wasn't built on winning gamblers. Gimme those tasty three points and pluck me down a bone on the moneyline to boot.
Taking Cleveland +3 and one unit on the ML at +163
Cinci vs. NYJ
I love Brad Pennington, you love Brad Pennington, we love Brad Pennington. Great qb, mediocre team. Aging RB in Curtis Martin, suspect defense, and a great set of WR's. This team can and will score, in both this game and all season long as long as Pennington is the QB. He's heady and in my opinion is one of the best young qb's to come along in a long time. The bottom line here though is that when a person says Bengals, all our minds tend to think Bungals but this aint the same team that has stunk for so many yrs. This team has a great offense and can hang in there with anybody. I feel this line should have been 3 but is inflated due to it being a NY team. I dont have a crystal ball, but I can sure make a case for the Jets winning but not covering. 4.5 leaves a pretty good sized window of opportunity for cincy to squeeze in a cover and don't be surprised if they win SU.
Taking Cinci +4.5 and one unit on the ML +197
<b>Detroit vs. Da Bears</b>
The world is on Detroit here. Last I checked this team hasnt won a game on the road in some odd 16 games or so. Mariucci is overrated as a coach and Joey Harrington is guilty of making bad decisions. As far as Im concerned, Mariucci inherited talent in SF and has yet to prove his worth as an NFL coach. Da Bears arent flashy or stellar by any means, but their da bears and they will keep this game close and are likely to win with a barrage of field goals. People are barking about Urlacher not playing in the preseason. WHO CARES. This guy isnt human. He will be ready to play.
Taking Da Bears at -3 and hoping their fg kicker ate his wheaties.
<b>Atlanta vs. SF</b>
Tim Rattay? Kevan Barlow? Who are these guys? Lemme tell you. Their players who have been behind others most of their career and will both make the best of their situation. SF isnt good this yr, but thier not half as bad as people are saying. I watched Rattay all through college and this guy can hit a receiver. Atlanta is way too overhyped because of Michael Vick. Vick is supposedly gonna be a pocket qb this yr and I personally dont think he can do it. He's gonna get smeared again this yr as he has happy feet. Happy feet are what made this guy an NFL player, take that away and he's merely avg and making decisions from a view that he's not used to. I also like getting points as a home dog in week 1 as well. SF are human, there'll be emotion flowing. I expect them t win this game straight up with some not stellar but "better than atlanta" play.
Taking SF +3 and one bone on the ML at +157
Good luck to all!
Kevin