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QuickNick
07-27-2004, 04:06 PM
I got this in my email and have removed anything that would show who or where it cam from as I get other conferences I will post em. I hope this will help some.



BIG EAST
_________

Team - Boston College
Offense -5 QB-1 WR/TE-3 RB-0 OL-1
Defense- 8 DL-3 LB-2 DB-3 ST-2
Player Rating- 23

ATS record 2003 6-6 3-year record 20-15

Trends
1) Favorite in Syracuse contest is 16-4 ATS
(11/27)
2) Eagles are 2-9-1 ATS after playing Notre Dame



Coaching Trend
30-18-1 ATS vs. conference

10/23 @Notre Dame
Eagles always play the Irish tough. BC might be
coming off a loss at Pittsburgh the week before
and are 13-5 ATS off a loss.

11/6 Rutgers
Off the Notre Dame game and a bye, this looks
like a bad spot. Rutgers was the nation's best
ATS team last season and returns 16 starters
including the QB. BC will likely be playing for
the Big East Championship the following week at
West Virginia and will be a DD favorite in this
dangerous spot.

Thoughts - Coach O'Brien has an
opportunity to win a Big East title in their
final year. He better do it now, because they
will never have a chance once they enter the
ACC. 8 wins is a real possibility for the Eagles
this season and a better bowl to boot.

Team - Connecticut
Offense -8 QB- 1 WR/TE-2 RB-1 OL-4
Defense -7 DL -1 LB -3 DB-3 ST -K
Player Rating- 13

ATS record 2003 6-4-1 3-year record 22-9-1

Trends
1)13-5 ATS as away Underdog
2)13-0 ATS off a game in which they forced
3 or more turnovers.

Coaching Trend
24-33 SU, 25-13-1 ATS since joining D-1 football.

11/13 @Georgia Tech
Late season contest with ACC team should prove
profitable. This game means nothing to Yellow
Jackets in between conference games and the
Huskies are 8-1-1 ATS in November.
Look for UConn to be rested and ready as a Dog.

10/13 West Virginia
Huskies will get a taste of big time power
football against the Mountaineers in this
Wednesday night ESPN match-up.

Thoughts - How does a team with just
five years in D-1 football get seven home games?
Veteran team has 15 starters retuning including
QB. First year in Big East could be a big splash,
as the Huskies just might grab a bowl bid in
their first year in the league.

Team - Pittsburgh
Offense -3 QB-0 WR/TE-1 RB-0 OL-2
Defense -7 DL-3 LB-2 DB-2 ST-K
Player Rating - 13

ATS record 2003 5-7 3-year record 16-18

Trends
1)Panthers are 13-4 ATS off a Big East
win by 10 or more points SU.
2)Pittsburgh is 2-10 ATS when playing
Notre Dame most recently.

Coaching Trend
Coach Harris's teams are 11-22 ATS off a SU loss.

11/25 West Virginia Presuming everything follows
form Pittsburgh will be a short dog in this Backyard
Brawl. West Virginia could be playing for a BCS
bowl and the Panthers would like nothing better then
to ruin it for them. Presuming everything follows form
Pittsburgh will be a short dog in this Backyard
Brawl. West Virginia could be playing for a BCS
bowl and the Panthers would like nothing better
then to ruin it for them.


11/23 @Notre Dame
Aforementioned Notre Dame game is always a
problem for the Panthers. Pittsburgh has had
little success in road finales with a 3-6 ATS
mark in the last nine attempts.

Thoughts - Year after year we keep
hearing what a great job Coach Harris is doing
for Pittsburgh. Now entering his 8th season, his
record stands at 55-64. Hardly the stuff they
name stadiums after. A softer non-conference
will help the win total, but with just three
starters back on offense, the oft-mentioned
genius of Harris will have to shine brighter
then ever for this team to achieve seven wins.

Team - Rutgers
Offense -9 QB-1 WR/TE-3 RB-2 OL-3
Defense -6 DL-3 LB-1 DB-2 ST-P
Player Rating -5

ATS Record 2003 10-1-1 3-year record 20-13-1

Trends
1)Rutgers is 19-7-1 ATS vs. non-conference
since 1997.
2)Scarlet Knights are 4-15-1 ATS after a
bye. (10/2 & 11/20)

Coaching Trend
Now in his 4th season, Coach Schiano is 9-5
ATS as HD.

10/23 @Pittsburgh
This experienced squad should come into this
contest with a winning record. Pittsburgh will
be off an emotional contest with BC and may
overlook an opponent that they have had success
against in the past. You will be receiving
potentially 7-9 points, use them wisely.

10/2 @Syracuse
As noted above, this is not a good situation
for Rutgers. S. Knights stand at 4-13 ATS vs.
Orangemen and have a long history of failure in
northern New York State.

Thoughts - Rutgers was the bookmaker's
worse nightmare as they were the best in that
nation against the spread. These things don't
happen year after year. With a manageable schedule
, Rutgers could have a winning season this year.
FYI - Did you realize that Rutgers is -65 in
turnover margin over the last 6 years?

Team- Syracuse
Offense -5 QB-0 WR/TE-1 RB-1 OL-3
Defense -6 DL-1 LB-2 DB-3 ST-B
Player Rating -16

ATS Record 2003 7-5 3-year record 19-16

Trends
1)'Cuse are 15-5 ATS in September in last
20 contests.
2)Orangemen are 1-11 ATS as RD of 7 or less
points.

Coaching Trend
Pasqualoni is 7-19 ATS as an away underdog in 13
years as coach.

10/2 Rutgers - Orangemen
will have revenge on their minds and should be
ready of a loss the previous week at Virginia.
'Cuse 13-4 vs. Rutgers.

10/21 @W.Virginia With
this being the Mountaineers only HG in October,
look for a big effort from them, which will spell
doom for the Orangemen. The favorite is 12-3-1 in
this series, look for the Orangemen to be squeezed
in this Thursday night blow-out.

Thoughts - Unless the fortunes of
this program turnaround quickly this could be the
last year for workaholic Coach Pasqualoni. The
last 5 seasons have them just 4 games over .500.
Expectations are higher for this program with its
proud history. The talent level is way down which
is saying something considering that no one will
confuse this conference with the SEC.

Team- Temple
Offense -7 QB-1 WR/TE-3 RB-0 OL-3
Defense -9 DL-3 LB-3 DB-3 ST- P
Player Rating -10

ATS Record 2003 7-4 3-year record 17-16

Trends
1)Owls are 6-0 ATS when visiting West
Virginia.
2)Temple is 4-12 ATS vs. MAC teams.
(9/25 & 10/2)

Coaching Trend
7-14 ATS as a Home Underdog during coach Wallace's
tenure.

11/20 Boston College In what will be their last home
game and last game as a Big East member, expect the
Owls to give a hoot and cover the number.
In what will be their last home game and last game
as a Big East member, expect the Owls to give a
hoot and cover the number.

Humbling Experience - 10/2 @Toledo The Rockets
will continue to be an explosive team to play
against. With this being Toledo's home opener
and a 19-11 ATS home record, this looks like
another MAC winner against what was a good
conference.

Thoughts - Temple was asked to
leave the Big East and is doing so with hardly
a whimper. With several starters back for Coach
Wallace, their just is not much in the way of
quality. A better season is on tap for the Owls
who were 1-11 last year. A couple more victories
should be expected before Temple undertakes
independent status in 2005.


Team - West Virginia
Offense - 8 QB-1 WR/TE-2 RB-0 OL-5
Defense - 6 DL-3 LB-2 DB-1 ST-K
Player Rating - 29

ATS Record 2003 6-6 3-year record 19-15

Trends
1)Favorite in Syracuse game is 9-2 ATS (10/21)

2)Mountaineers are 4-10-1 vs. Maryland and
have been outscored 155-51 L3Y.

Coaching Trend
Rodriguez is 14-7 ATS in conference games.

10/21 Syracuse
In what will be their only October home game, expect
West Virginia to bring their A-game for this ESPN
Thursday night contest.

Humbling Experience - 10/2 @Virginia Tech
West Virginia should be 4-0 coming into this
contest. Blacksburg is tough place to play and
with revenge against a familiar opponent this is
the Mountaineers only stumbling block to being
undefeated going into their last game at
Pittsburgh.

Thoughts - We are not claiming that
West Virginia is the best team in the country.
They do have a tremendous opportunity to be in a
BCS and possibly the Orange Bowl for the
Championship. Only two difficult games in which
they maybe slight Dogs, they will have a chance
to run the table in a weak conference. Because of
the offensive potential, the defense is the area
that will need to be shored up for this to be a
legitimate run.

Florida Shark
07-27-2004, 08:25 PM
Thanks Quick! Good info! :thumbs:

silkypicks
07-31-2004, 08:10 AM
thanx for the ifo quick
:thumbs:

QuickNick
08-05-2004, 08:44 AM
Your very welcome guys!!!

************************************************** *

Conference - Big TEN(11)

After a year in which this conference sent 8
representatives to Bowl games, regression is at
hand. The biggest problem is that six of the top
seven teams in the final Big 10 (11) standings are
breaking in new QB's. The rest of the teams have
experienced quarterbacks that even their coaches
are not crazy about, except for Purdue. With the
lack of a strong QB to lead some potential teams,
look for the conference championship to once again
be played again in later November, between the
usual suspects of Michigan and Ohio State.

Team - Illinois
Offense -8 QB-1 WR/TE-2 RB-1 OL-4
Defense- 6 DL-2 LB-1 DB-2 ST-P

Player Rating- 3

ATS record 2003 1-10 3-year record 15-20

Trends
1)Visitor in Northwestern game is 12-4 ATS (11/20)
2)Illini 4-16 ATS as HD off a SU loss.


Trend
13-28-1 off a SU loss in Turner's seven seasons.

Best Profit Potential- 11/6 Indiana
The only team that could be worse then the
Floundering Illini is Indiana. The rumors will be
flying that this is Turner's last home should be
in full force at this point and the team rallies
around their coach to win for the Turner.

10/23 @Minnesota
With so many to choose from we'll try this one.
The Gophers have the quality to just run it done
your throat for four quarters. Do you think a team
gets demoralized after 15 straight runs? With just
a 3-7 ATS record against Minny, this looks as good
as any.


Didn't this team just have a 10-1 record and play
in the Sugar Bowl in 2001? What happened? If you
watched the Uninspired Illini you noticed one
thing. NO TALENT! This lack of speed and every
other quality a winning team needs. No way to turn
this around as quickly as it went south. Search
for a new coach will start probably as soon as
they complete a 3-8 season.

Team - Indiana
Offense -10 QB- 1 WR/TE-2 RB-2 OL-5
Defense -9 DL -4 LB -2 DB-3 ST -B
Player Rating- 2

ATS record 2003 3-8 3-year record 11-20-2

Trends
1)Home team in Minnesota series is 8-2 ATS.(10/30)
2)Hoosiers 3-12 ATS in November road games (11/6
& 11/20)

Trend
5-11 ATS vs. Big 10(11)

10/30 Minnesota
With the Gophers off a thrashing of the Illini and
the Paul Bunyon axe rivalry game on tap with the
Badgers, this is probably a good sandwich spot
for Indiana.

10/2 Michigan
This might be UGLY. Hoosiers are 2-15 ATS in 2nd
of two straight home games. Visitor is 8-2 ATS in
this series and Indiana is 11-23 ATS as a Home
Dog. Any questions?


Coach DiNardo trots out his 3rd addition of
Hoosiers football. With the most starters
returning (19) of any Big Ten (11) team and for
the first time in three year having all 85
allowable players on scholarship will help. The
problem is the talent is not the quality necessary
to compete in this conference. The Hoosiers may
play better, just not produce at the winner's pay
window. We will say to keep an eye on them from a
bettor's view, because that experience may be of
value as DD Dogs.

Team - Iowa
Offense -2 QB-0 WR/TE-0 RB-0 OL-2
Defense -7 DL-2 LB-3 DB-2 ST-P
Player Rating - 14

ATS record 2003 10-3 3-year record 26-10-2

Trends
1)17-3 ATS in home games over the last three
seasons.
2)The visitor in the Iowa State rivalry is 13-4
ATS (9/11)

Trend
Coach Ferentz is 16-4 ATS as a home favorite in
his five seasons.

11/20 Wisconsin
Under Co. Ferentz, his teams always close things
out on a positive note. Hawkeyes are 5-0 ATS in
home finales under the coach and 11-1 ATS dating
back 12 years. Iowa is 9-2-1 SU and 8-4 ATS
against the Badgers at Iowa City since 1978.

10/16 Ohio State
Buckeyes bring out the worst in Iowa. 0-7 SU and
1-6 ATS, the Hawkeyes can not match Ohio State for
speed and quickness. One other note, unlike most
teams, Iowa is 1-6 ATS after a bye most recently.


Iowa under Coach Ferentz has been the gambler's
best friend. With a 34-14-2 ATS record over his
last four seasons, Iowa has been a Play On team
nearly every week. This year more then ever, Iowa
will have to rely on defense and fundamentals to
get past the first part of the season. A winning
record and a bowl game are expected, and if
offense comes early, this might be another
surprise season for the Hawkeyes.

Team - Michigan
Offense -7 QB-0 WR/TE-3 RB-1 OL-3
Defense -6 DL-1 LB-2 DB-3 ST-B
Player Rating -27

ATS Record 2003 9-3 3-year record 19-18-1

Trends
1)Michigan 11-2 ATS when playing in 2nd straight
home game (10/2 & 11/13)
2)Wolverines are 13-26 ATS as a favorite between
3.5 - 10 points.

Trend
Now in his 10th season, Coach Carr is a friendly
13-21-1 ATS away favorite.

9/25 Iowa
Michigan should be starting the Big Ten (11)
season 3-0 and have not lost a conference opener
in 22 years. Iowa will still be breaking in nine
new starters on offense, as well as playing 2nd of
two straight road games. Michigan has improved as
a DD home favorite over the last four years with
a 13-5 ATS mark. This contest should suit the
Maize and Blue just fine.

11/20 @Ohio State
This great rivalry has not been kind to the
Wolverines at the "Horseshoe" since 82'. Michigan
is just 2-7-1 ATS when visiting Columbus and we
anticipate more of the same.


The concern for Michigan is the lines on both
sides of the ball. Talent is seldom the problem,
but cohesiveness certainly can be. With
multi-talented WR's and DB's abound, this
Wolverine bunch will once again compete for the
Rose Bowl and possibly double digit wins.

Team- Michigan State
Offense -6 QB-0 WR/TE-3 RB-1 OL-2
Defense -7 DL-1 LB-2 DB-4 ST-B
Rating -4

ATS Record 2003 6-6 3-year record 15-22


1)Spartans are 17-5 ATS after a road win.
2Mich. State is 4-12 ATS as HF the last three
years.

Trend
2nd year as coach.

11/6 Ohio State
Spartans are 7-3-1 ATS coming into the season as
a HD. Off a likely loss to in-state rival
Michigan, the Spartans are seldom fazed with a
12-6 ATS mark in their next contest. Ohio State
conservative style is more apparent on the road
and will keep the underdog Spartans in the game
and allow us to grab the cash.

11/20 @Penn State
Over the last 10 years only one game has been
decided by less then 5 points. Spartans will be
off three difficult games, @Michigan, Ohio State
and Wisconsin which will leave little in the tank
for emotion. The home team is 9-2 ATS in this
series, thus no reason to believe that this will
be any different.


Coach Smith is off a successful first year at
State with an 8-5 record. Having to now replace
meaningful material on both sides of the ball,
will be a difficult task. With roadies at Iowa,
Michigan and Penn State this could be a tough
trip. He has won at every stop he has made along
the coaching trail, but this year looks like a
6-5 or 5-6 campaign.

Team- Minnesota
Offense -7 QB-0 WR/TE-2 RB-1 OL-4
Defense -6 DL-2 LB-2 DB-2 ST- B
Player Rating -13

ATS Record 2003 7-5 3-year record 16-19

Trends
1)Minny is 10-1 ATS off first loss of the season.
2)The Home team in the Northwestern match-up 0-9
ATS (9/25)

Trend
8-3 ATS is Mason's record as an away favorite.
(Possible-10/30)

10/23 Ilinois
Golden Gophers have drilled the Illini by 21 or
more points in 4 of the last 5 years. With
Minnesota's ability to run the ball and off a
state of Michigan road daily double, anticipate
another blow-out at the Metrodome.

10/9 @Michigan
With a 0-11 SU record vs. the Wolverines since
1992, a trip to Ann Arbor is not what the Gophers
need. In what will be a demanding stretch of games
having to play 4 of 5 on the road, look for the
beginning of this journey to be the toughest.


Over the years, many have said you can not win at
Minnesota. Coach Mason has proven that wrong with
four winning seasons out of his last five. Posting
their first double digit win total since 1905
raises expectations even in land of 10,000 lakes.
Minnesota will continue to run the ball with great
efficiency, with the play of a new QB and improved
defense determining what bowl game they will
attend.


Team- Northwestern
Offense - 9 QB-1 WR/TE-2 RB-1 OL-5
Defense - 9 DL-4 LB-2 DB-3 ST-

Player Rating - 4

ATS Record 2003 8-4 3-year record 19-17

Trends
1)Northwestern is 25-8 ATS when revenging a loss
of 14+ points. (9/25, 10/2 & 10/30)
2)Wildcats are mild cats the week before playing
in-state brethren Illinois with a 0-6 SU & ATS
(11/13)

Trend
Nothing much other then 5-2 away underdog.

9/18 Kansas
Teams will be similar, with Northwestern having a
big advantage at QB. Look for the Wildcats too be
powerful on both sides of the ball for Kansas a
raise their record to 12-3 SU & ATS the week
before Big Ten (11) opener.

10/30 Purdue
Purdue gives these 'Cats fits, since their last
victory was 1996. Boilermakers have defensive
issues, but All-Conference QB Orton will have
plenty of offensive weapons this day. Purdue is
15-4 SU and 13-5-1 ATS when playing these 'Cats.


On paper this looks to be the finest Evanston
squad since the 2000 season. With total of NINE
starters back on each side of the ball, potential
is their for breakout year. Difficult road
schedule could hamper what looks good on paper.
With trips to TCU and four troublesome Big 10
road games, matching last year's .500 season
would be an achievement

Team - Ohio State
Offense -5 QB-0 WR/TE-1 RB-1 OL-2
Defense -4 DL-1 LB-1 DB-2 ST-K
Player Rating -20

ATS Record 2003 4-7-1 3-year record 18-20-1


1)Buckeyes own Hawkeyes with 10-1-1 SU & 10-2 ATS
when visiting Iowa City. (10/16)
2)Ohio State 6-14 ATS after SU home victory.

Trend
Conservative Tressel is 3-8 ATS as Away Favorite
at Columbus.

10/16 @Iowa
As history states, Ohio State implores their will
on Iowa. With just Indiana to follow, the Buckeyes
use superior talent to whip Iowa again.

9/18 @N.C. State
Ohio State was VERY lucky to come away with a
victory against the Wolfpack last season at home.
You can be sure that Amato will have his underdog
squad ready to peel of some Buckeye leaves in
this game.

This will be a very interesting year to follow
Ohio State. With only 9 starters back, Coach
Tressel will have to find answers. His team will
definitely be in contention for Big Ten (11) title
and will likely be a Play On the 2nd half of the
season.

Team- Penn State
Offense -6 QB-1 WR/TE-1 RB-1 OL-3
Defense -7 DL-4 LB-1 DB-2 ST-B
Player Rating- 5

ATS Record 2003 3-9 3-year record 18-18

1)Home team in Michigan State series is 9-2 ATS
(11/20)
2)1-36 ATS when they lose at home.

Trend
Surprisingly 62-64-3 ATS as a home favorite

11/20 Michigan State
This peculiar series has the home team not only
winning but dominating. The average score over
the last decade is 43-22 for the home team.
Nittany Lions take care of business.

10/30 @Ohio State
Paterno has been kicked in the rear at the
"Horseshoe", having been outscored 30-7 since
1993, which makes them 0-5 SU and against the
number. Nothing here suggests anything different
then the norm. Penn State drops another.


We could write a novel on the need for head coach
for this tired program. It is easy to look back
clearly now, but how do you think would fair in
the Big East with more natural rivalries? Likely
improvement is coming this season, but well below
normal expectations at State College. Even more
"Joe Must Go" banners will be seen at home games
this year.

Team - Purdue
Offense - 8 QB-1 WR/TE-3 RB-2 OL-3
Defense - 3 DL-1 LB-0 DB-2 ST-0
Player Rating - 14

ATS Record 2003 8-3-1 3-year record 21-15-1


1)Visitor in Northwestern get together is 10-2 ATS
(10/30)
2)Purdue struggles as a RD of 7 or less points
with a 3-11 ATS mark

Trend
Tiller has two trends of note: 24-11-2 as HF and
3-11-1 as AD.

10/16 Wisconsin After
a rare three game road trip, the Boilers will be
ready for some Badger as home cookin'. HC Tiller
is 20-6-1 ATS in home games at Purdue.

11/6 @Iowa
Boilermakers end their road campaign with a
formidable trip to Iowa City. Iowa has revenge
and you have the knowledge that Purdue is 1-8 ATS
in the 2nd of back to back road games.


This year will hearken back to the early years of
Coach Tiller's tenure. With a great defense having
graduated all but three starters, the experienced
and productive offense will have to carry the
load. This squad has serious Play On potential as
an underdog because of their ability to score.
Final record will be bowl material, but we like
the backdoor potential in several games.

Team - Wisconsin
Offense -9 QB-0 WR/TE-2 RB-2 OL-5
Defense -8 DL-3 LB-2 DB-3 ST-B
Player Rating -19

ATS Record 2003 6-7 3-year record 19-19

1)Wisky is 22-5 as conference dogs of 6 or more
under Alverez.
2)Solid passing teams present trouble for Badgers.
5-14 ATS when facing teams that average 250 PYPG. (Potential 10/16)

Trend
Despite quality record at Madison, only 30-32 as
HF.

11/6 Minnesota
Wisconsin has early final game this year, that
will not pose a problem for the Badgers since they
are 11-2 in home finales. Count on Wisconsin to
secure the Paul Bunyon axe and grab the cover as
well.

11/20 @Iowa
Badgers will labor in Iowa as many teams do.
Wisconsin's 2-9-1 SU record suggests more trouble
again this year. Play Against the Badgers in their
last regular season game.

This in our opinion is the thorniest team to
figure in this conference. Superior depth on both
sides of the ball suggests good things are in
store for Barry's boys. What concerns us is the
potential quality of these returning starters.
only two of these lineman as
potential as 1st or 2nd team All-Conference
material. We suggest to wait and see on this
team who could be 8-3 or 5-6.

QuickNick
08-05-2004, 09:01 AM
Conference - Big 12

The Big 12 North is in upheaval as have a
legitiate shot to win ths division. What makes
this exciting is the fact that all are flawed
and beatable on any given Saturday. The two
most entertaining teams to watch, will be
Nebraska and Colorado. The Cornhuskers look to
a 21st century offensive approach in Lincoln and
the Coach Barnett attempts to prove he can coach
and still maintain control of his football
program. The status quo appears in order for the
South division, as both Oklahoma and Texas look
to be a cut above the rest. With quality contests
every week once the conference season convenes,
look for meaningful games throughout the 2004
campaign.


NORTH Division

Team - Colorado
Offense -7 QB-1 WR/TE-1 RB-2 OL-3
Defense- 6 DL-2 LB-2 DB-2 ST-K
IMPACT Player Rating- 1

ATS record 2003 5-7 3-year record 21-18

Trends
1)Colorado is 8-2 ATS as a Home Dog.(Possible -10/30)
2)7-19 ATS in non-conference action in last seven
years. (First 3 games)

Trend
Embattled Barnett is 16-4 ATS the last four games
of the season in Boulder.

10/13 Kansas State
This game will be a +/- 3 point spread in Boulder.
Coach Barnett maybe a lot of things, but he is a
survivor and a great late season leader. Buffaloes
are 6-2 ATS & SU before their last game of the
season. If they make it to this point with without
further controversy this is a cover for the Buffs.


9/18 North Texas
Colorado should be a DD favorite in this match-up
against the best from the Sun Belt. The Mean Green
is the wrong team for the Buffs to be playing.
With 17 starters back including an experienced QB,
N. Texas matches the strengths of Colorado. HC
Barnett has a long history dating back to
Northwestern of being a terrible favorite over a
TD. Colorado is 1-7 ATS in home openers and 1-9
against the number before a bye.

Gary, Gary, Gary, my oh my,
what have you done. Plenty of talent still exists
in Boulder despite all the trouble. Confidence
will be a huge issue against a very difficult
schedule. What would help this team immensely is
a 3-0 start, of which they are capable. We really
believe that for Barnett to keep his job anything
less then 7-4 will not get it done. We don't see
that occurring.

Team - Iowa State
Offense -7 QB- 1 WR/TE-1 RB-1 OL-4
Defense -7 DL -3 LB -2 DB-2 ST -P
Player Rating- 2

ATS record 2003 1-10 3-year record 16-19

Trends
1)Visitor in the Colleges of Corn series is 13-4 ATS. (9/11)
2)Since middle of 2002 season, the Cyclones are
2-15 ATS.

Trend
Intense McCarney is 11-27-1 ATS as an away underdog.

10/30 Kansas After
playing on the road at Baylor, Iowa State returns
home to another winnable game. With enough veteran
talent on hand and Kansas searching for a QB, this
contest presents a very favorable occasion for the
Cyclones. The home team is 10-2-1 ATS in this
series since 91'.

11/20 @Kansas State
Kansas State loves to run up the scoreboard
whenever the situation presents itself. In all
likelihood, the Wildcats will be in contention for
the Big 12 North title and could use a big game
in what will be their last game of the regular
season.

Expectations are never too
high in Ames since McCarney was awarded a big
contract with a 36-57 career mark at Iowa State.
In fairness he did produce three straight winning
seasons and three bowl games. Can a team as inept
as Iowa State was last year, bounce back and have
a winning season this 2004? With three winnable
road games and 14 returning starters the answer is
a definitive maybe.

Team - Kansas
Offense -8 QB-0 WR/TE-4 RB-1 OL-3
Defense -7 DL-1 LB-3 DB-3 ST-K
Player Rating -3

ATS record 2003 5-7 3-year record 11-22

Trends
1)Visitor is Oklahoma series is 6-1 ATS. (Nothing else of note for Kansas.)
2)KU is 2-12 ATS as a HD the last three years.

Trend
4-10 ATS off a SU loss.

Any November game.
Inspite of having back to back home games with
Colorado and Texas, the Jayhawks are 3-16 and 2-10
SU respectively against these two foes. Their last
game is against North Division contender and hated
rival Missouri of which Kansas is 1-11 ATS. Oh
yea, Kansas is 8-30 ATS in November over the last
eleven years.

Coach Mangino did a
wonderful job in bring this team together last
year and had a clutch victory over Iowa State to
secure a bowl game for the first time in eight
long seasons. Kansas returns 15 starters, but
without Whittemore at QB no such luck is expected.
All three non-conference games could be struggles.
The Big 12 road schedule offers no breaks either,
with trips to Lincoln, Norman, Ames and Columbia.
IMPACT SPORTS PICKS is seeing three wins and a
bundle of opportunities to Play Against the 2004
Jayhawks.

Team - Kansas State
Offense -6 QB-0 WR/TE-2 RB-1 OL-3
Defense -4 DL-1 LB-1 DB-2 ST-K
Player Rating -9

ATS Record 2003 6-7 3-year record 22-14

Trends
1)22-9 ATS off a SU loss over the last 11 years.
2)1-9 ATS before Nebraska (10/16 @Oklahoma)

Trend
The favorite players best friend, Coach Snyder who
is 46-22-2 ATS as HF.

10/9 @ Kansas The
circumstances have not mattered over the last
decade, K-State is 10-0 SU & ATS vs. in-state
rival Kansas.

10/2 @Texas A&M Don't
be fooled in this contest. K-State plays the usual
patsies to start the season. First road test will
be in always tough College Station and with little
experience on offense this spells TROUBLE. Coach
Franchione's teams always make meaningful
improvement in his 2nd season. Wildcats get
corralled in Aggieland.

Coach Snyder will field a
respectable team the year after being the Big 12
champions. From a wagering perspective we
recommend a wait and see attitude, unless K-State
is off a loss and is playing as a home favorite,
since history suggests that is a profitable
occasion.

Team- Missouri
Offense -4 QB-1 WR/TE-2 RB-0 OL-1
Defense -9 DL-4 LB-2 DB-3 ST-P
Player Rating -10

ATS Record 2003 8-4 3-year record 19-15

Trends
1)Misso. is 11-3 ATS when favored by 10.5 to 21
points.
2)Tigers have lost 11 straight to K-State and are
3-8 ATS. (11/6)

Trend
Prickly Pinkel is 6-2 ATS at home when favored.

Best Profit Potential - 9/18 Ball State After
playing two weak non-conference foes, the offense
should be starting to come together and the
Cardinals will have no answer for QB Smith.

10/16 @Texas Missouri
should come into this Big 12 contest 5-0.
Longhorns will most likely be off another loss vs.
Oklahoma and would enjoy nothing better then
ruining someone else's season. Tigers leave Austin
with first defeat convincingly.

We are not really sure
how Missouri is such a popular choice to win the
Big 12 North. With just 4 offensive starters back
and one lineman, this school is not a perennial
power that reloads every year. The best thing
going for Tigers is the schedule that falls their
way. A 9-2 season is a possibility if things go
the Tigers way, yet so is 6-5 season. Caution
Will Robinson, caution.

Team- Nebraska
Offense -6 QB-0 WR/TE-2 RB-1 OL-3
Defense -6 DL-2 LB-1 DB-3 ST- K
Player Rating -16

ATS Record 2003 8-5 3-year record 20-18-1

Trends
1)28-11 ATS off a road victory.
2)Nebraska is 4-11 ATS in final road games. (11/13)

Trend
New Coach

10/2 Kansas Like many
teams, the Cornhuskers always beat the Jayhawks
and are 16-4 ATS against them.

11/13 @Oklahoma The new
offense will be improved by this point of the
season. Unfortunately, the Huskers will not have
seen a defense this fast and athletic all year.
Nebraska makes mistakes and the Sooners capitalize
in big victory.

This is our number one
team to avoid this year. No team has more question
marks then Nebraska. Talent exists in some
positions particularly on defense. With the
upperclassmen on defense now utilizing their
third different defense in three years, confusion
is bound to prevail. STAY AWAY!

SOUTH Division

Team - Baylor
Offense - 7 QB-1 WR/TE-1 RB-1 OL-4
Defense - 7 DL-3 LB-1 DB-3 ST-B
Player Rating - 1

ATS Record 2003 7-4 3-year record 16-16

Trends
1)11-2 ATS as underdogs of more then 13 points
2)9-30-1 ATS in Big 12 action since 1999.

Trend
HC Morriss produced a 7-4 ATS record in his first
season at Waco.

10/23 Iowa State Likely
only chance for a conference victory and might be
slight favorite as well. The Bears will realize
this and deliver a victory.

11/6 @Texas Tech If you
can't score, you can not win in Lubbock. The Bears are 0-8 SU and
1-7 ATS vs. the Red Raiders and the favorite is
8-1 ATS. Major Blow-out potential.

Success will have to come
in baby steps in Waco. Attempting to be more
competitive (5 losses by 17 or more points) would
definitely qualify as improvement. The record is
unlikely to improve, but a similar ATS record is
possible.

Team - Oklahoma
Offense -10 QB-1 WR/TE-2 RB-2 OL-5
Defense -7 DL-3 LB-1 DB-3 ST-B
Player Rating -42

ATS Record 2003 7-7 3-year record 22-19

Trends
1)16-3 ATS when they win SU with revenge (
Possibly 10/16)
2)Sooners 3-9 ATS the week before Red River
Rivalry with Texas (10/2)

Trend
6-1 ATS after SU loss

10/13 Nebraska After
two tough road contests the last home game will
bring a focused effort from the Sooners who still
should be in the National Championship hunt. This
game will probably a must win for Oklahoma, as they
take advantage of a new styled Nebraska offense.

11/6 @Texas A&M This
will be a very difficult contest for the Sooners.
The Aggies have played Oklahoma tough for years in
College Station and with Coach Franchione being
in the role of a HD, this spells trouble for
Stoops bunch. Home team has covered 9 of 10, look
for more of the same.

This will be a critical
year for Coach Stoops and the program he has built
Last year Oklahoma allowed the highest yards per
rush and the highest pass completion percentage
since Stoops arrived in Norman. More top
assistances continue to leave for other better
opportunities. When does the well start to run
dry? With the Big 12 down a little this year, a
strong season is expected, but certainly a couple
of rough spots exist. Has Oklahoma lost the sense
of invincibility?

Team- Oklahoma State
Offense -7 QB-0 WR/TE-2 RB-1 OL-4
Defense -8 DL-2 LB-3 DB-3 ST- P
Player Rating 10

ATS Record 2003 6-6 3-year record 18-16

Trends
1)The dog is 8-3 ATS in the Missouri series (10/23)
2)The Cowboys are 4-10 ATS as RD of 7.5 - 14
points.

Trend
HC Miles is 3-7 ATS as an away underdog.

9/11 Tulsa The
Cowboys are 12-2 ATS vs. the Golden Hurricanes in
their last 14 meetings.

11/9 @Colorado Okie.
State should be either 4-0 or 3-1 coming into this
contest. The Buffaloes will be a 3-point favorite
or dog and with the Cowboys a poor 5-13-1 ATS as
a conference road team, well support Colorado in
the spot.

After a great season for
Oklahoma State reality will come calling this year.
Quality returns on the O-Line, yet the three big
playmakers are gone on offense. Defense was
average and looks to be more of the same. Early
season should be a breeze, with the games between
Texas A&M and Texas Tech determining their bowl
fate.

Team - Texas
Offense - 7 QB-1 WR/TE-1 RB-2 OL-3
Defense - 7 DL-2 LB-3 DB-2 ST-B
Player Rating - 16

ATS Record 2003 8-5 3-year record 20-19

Trends
1)Longhorns are 29-13 ATS in November since 1992.
2)Texas is 0-6 ATS as 10 + points favorites off
consecutive SU & ATS wins.

Trend
Mack Brown's team is 11-2 ATS the next game after
a loss.

11/13 Kansas The
Longhorns will be looking to improve their BCS
status and will need to beat a bad team like the
Jayhawks. Big numbers in November do not scare
Texas this time of year.

10/9 Oklahoma This
series has turned into the movie "Groundhog Day".
The same thing keeps happening over and over again.
Unless Coach Brown can produce a game plan that
forces his team to play "outside the box" and
allow his team to play with confidence in big
games, history will repeat itself.

The write-up for Texas is
pretty much the same every year since Coach Mack
hit Austin. Lose to Oklahoma and some other game
and post a great record with incredible talent
that is finesse oriented. This is a team that is
in need with some real down home kick ass bad boys.
Maybe that would change the dynamics of this squad
and lead them to where they should be. Basic
problem is too many athletes, not enough football
players.

Team - Texas A&M
Offense -8 QB-1 WR/TE-2 RB-2 OL-3
Defense -8 DL-3 LB-2 DB-3 ST-B
Player Rating -7

ATS Record 2003 2-10 3-year record 11-24

Trends
1)The host in the Oklahoma contest is 9-1 ATS
(11/6)
2)Aggies are 3-15 ATS as Road Dog.

Trend
0-5 ATS as away dog as Aggies coach.

9/18 Clemson Tigers
appear to be over-rated this year, which plays
right into the hands of the Aggies. HC Franchione
has made marked improvement in his second year.
Good home game to start to turn this program
around.

11/13 Texas Tech After
big emotional Oklahoma contest expect flat spot
in final home game. Could win this contest, just
look to Play Against A&M after prior week.

Many an Alabama fan were
delighted with Texas A&M struggles last year. Look
for a Texas size improvement from the Aggies this
season. Coach Franchione may not win any
personality contests, but this guy can coach.
Third place a real possibility for the fans from
Aggieland.

Team - Texas Tech
Offense -6 QB-0 WR/TE-1 RB-1 OL-4
Defense -9 DL-3 LB-3 DB-3 ST-B
Player Rating -8

ATS Record 2003 9-4 3-year record 23-14-1

Trends
1)Texas Tech is 14-1 ATS coming off a home loss.
22-9 ATS off back-to-back wins vs. team under
.500

Trend
13-5-1 ATS as a home favorite

11/6 Baylor This
match-up is a perfect example of a high scoring
team punishing a bad football team. Piling up
points is no problem for Coach Leach.

10/2 @Oklahoma The
match-up is the exact opposite as the one
mentioned above. Defensive pressure ruins this
offensive juggernaut and forces mistakes and
turnovers. Risk taking defense can't hold-up when
forced into there situations. Sooners pound Red
Raiders.

At this point in his
career the cast appears to be set. This coach
will make bettors money. Not afraid to keep
throwing the ball under any circumstances and an
exceptional home favorite. The defense has nine
returning starters, which means they might stop
someone every now and again. High entertainment
value and another bowl game on tap for the Red
Raiders.

Rammajamma32
08-05-2004, 09:47 AM
Quick this stuff is great! I bow down before you.

joepa66
08-09-2004, 10:24 AM
Nick,

Looks like you are already geared up for another fantastic season. Great info brother and good luck. Look forward to your posts troughout the season.:thumbs:

QuickNick
08-20-2004, 04:38 PM
thx guys and BOL this NCAA Season!!!!

**********************************

Conference USA



This will yet again be another conference that
features change, yet has the look of stability
for the future. Founding members Cincinnati and
Louisville are heading east, so to speak, along
with S. Florida to join the Big East. TCU moves
on as well and Army mercifully returns to independent status. The funny thing is this could
well be the most exciting season in league
history with 5 to 7 contenders for the league
title. With 8 of 11 last year starting QB's
returning, fireworks are possible for this league
whatever night they end up playing on. With the
exception of ECU, every team has 6 or more
offensive starters returning. Going into the
final 2004 campaign this conference has an old
school WAC feel to it. Underdog plays aplenty,
look to be your best opportunity to cash on C-USA
football this year.


Team - Army
Offense -10 QB-1 WR/TE-2 RB-2 OL-5
Defense- 8 DL-3 LB-1 DB-4 ST-K
Player Rating- 0

ATS record 2003 4-9 3-year record 15-20

Trends
1) Cadets are 11-2 ATS as a RD of 21.5 or more
(Possible 9/16 & 10/16)
2) Army is 3-15 ATS in final 'true' away game.
(11/13)

Coaching Trend
New (old) Coach Ross

Profit Potential- 10/30 @East Carolina
The Pirates nearly matched Army for ineptness last
year with a 1-11 of their own. ECU only has 4
starters back on offense from a group that only
produced 17 PPG. This is not a great opportunity,
but it is certainly the best of the bunch.

9/18 @Houston Last year
the Cougars showed a capacity to score a large
number of points against average to weak
competition. With 7 offensive starters returning
including QB Kolb, an avalanche of points maybe
falling on Army.

The Army deployed an older
thought process in bringing back an old general
to hopefully turn the program around. The first
priority is to win any game to break the current
15-game losing skid. Once that is accomplished,
the next thing that is of urgency is to beat the
Navy. The Black Knights should be more competitive
under old warhorse Ross, who will without question
focus on the fact, that the Army has been a
mind-boggling -50 in turnover ratio over the last
3 seasons.

Team - Cincinnati
Offense -9 QB- 1 WR/TE-3 RB-1 OL-4
Defense -8 DL -2 LB -3 DB-3 ST -B
Player Rating- 14

ATS record 2003 4-7 3-year record 19-18

Trends
1)Cincy is 9-2 ATS after a bye week. (10/23 & 11/20)
2)Bearcats are 0-7 ATS as a road fav. vs. opponent with revenge. (Poss. 9/25)

Coaching Trend
New Coach

Profit Potential - 9/4 @Ohio State With
the conservative nature of Coach Tressel and the
distain the Buckeyes will likely have, opportunity
knocks for the Bearcats. Nearly beating Ohio State
at home two years ago, another focused effort with
a new coach receiving top notch points should
produce a cover in Columbus.

9/11 Miami-O As stated
above, Cincy treats Miami-O with the same cavalier
attitude that they will face the week prior. The
Bearcats will probably play without much emotion
after the Ohio State game which presents a chance
for the Redhawks. The Dog is 7-3 ATS in the battle
for the " Victory Bell"

The philosophy for this
team will be to put points on the board. Schedule
will be difficult, yet this team could surprise
with enough C-USA talent to go around. Really
looks like a Play On team as a HD or a 7+ RD.

Team - East Carolina
Offense -4 QB-1 WR/TE-1 RB-1 OL-1
Defense -6 DL-1 LB-2 DB-3 ST-B
Player Rating -3

ATS record 2003 6-6 3-year record 14-21

Trends
1)Pirates are 9-3 ATS when playing Memphis.
(11/20)
2)4-18 ATS as a passive home dog.

Coaching Trend
2nd year HC Thompson 1-5 ATS as home dog.

Profit Potential - 9/25 Cincinnati The
Pirates should be in good position to steal a
victory against the Bearcats at home. History has
shown that the home team is 11-2 ATS in this
series.

Experience - 9/4 @West Virginia The
last two years, ECU has allowed 4.6 and 4.8 YRPG
against their opponents. Facing a team the likes
of the Mountaineers will be an uphill challenge.
Last year's score was 48-7; expect more of the
same in Morgantown.


We aretrying to figure out why this school fired former
Coach Lewis. The alumni of this institution of
higher learning have significantly overvalued
where Greenville is on the collegiate landscape.
Do not really foresee anything more then marginal
improvement. Thank Goodness for Army.

Team - Houston
Offense -7 QB-1 WR/TE-3 RB-1 OL-2
Defense -9 DL-4 LB-2 DB-3 ST-B
Player Rating -8

ATS Record 2003 7-5-1 3-year record 15-18-1

Trends
1)Cougars are 15-7 vs. poor offensive teams that
aver. 4.5 YPP.
2)Houston is 2-9 ATS coming off a loss of 6 or
more points.

Coaching Trend
2nd Year


Profit Potential - 9/18 Army After
receiving a beating in Norman, the Cougs play
their home opener. This offensive minded team
should easily break through this light Army
brigade with ease.

10/7 @S. Mississippi
On just four days rest, Houston travels from
Memphis to Hattiesburg for an ESPN C-USA match-up.
Golden Eagles are always tough at home as
favorites. Cougars do not look forward to resting
well either, with a 2-9 ATS record before a bye.

Last season Houston went
to just their 3rd Bowl game in the last fifteen
years. The defense was and probably will still be
a problem. This team will compete for the C-USA
title, with a likely fade in the month of
November.

Team- Louisville
Offense -8 QB-1 WR/TE-3 RB-1 OL-3
Defense -8 DL-3 LB-2 DB-3 ST-P
Player Rating -19

ATS Record 2003 5-8 3-year record 19-19

Trends
1)The 'Ville is 10-1 ATS vs. the ACC since 1988.
(9/25)
2)Cardinals are 6-17 ATS off a conference loss.

Coaching Trend
Coach Petrino is in his 2nd year.

Profit Potential - 11/27 Cincinnati The
Cardinals will be in position to win the C-USA
title and will need a victory to cement the deal. The favorite is 6-1 ATS in this spot, thus Louisville completes another successful season before moving to the Big East.

Experience - 10/2 East Carolina Off
a three game road trip and the Miami-Fl. up next,
this appears to be a sleep walking sandwich
contest. The Cardinals should be a 16-20 point
favorite in this game and will likely deliver the
minimum effort required to secure a victory
against an over-matched opponent.

Without a doubt, the most
unusual schedule in D-1 this year. After home
opener, three straight roadies followed by a home
game on Oct.2. The next Saturday game the Cardinal
play is November 20. That's right four games
during the week and two byes thrown in. The
season ticker holders can not be happy, but that
is a lot more Papa John's pizza to be sold during
the week. A crazy schedule suggests to stay away
from wagering on this squad and pick your spots
accordingly.

Team- Memphis
Offense -11 QB-1 WR/TE-4 RB-1 OL-5
Defense -5 DL-1 LB-1 DB-3 ST- B
Player Rating -17

ATS Record 2003 6-6 3-year record 15-17-1

Trends
1)12-2 ATS vs. team's off back to back victories.
2)Tigers are 2-13 ATS against S.Miss. (11/12)

Coaching Trend
C. West 5-8 ATS as a Home favorite.

Profit Potential - 10/23 @Cincinnati For
the first time in over a decade expectations are
running high in Memphis. Based on schedule, no
reason to believe that the Tigers should not be
5-1 coming into this contest. Bearcats will still
a nice gullible foe before the real season starts
for Memphis. Tigers cover manageable number.

Humbling Experience - 11/12 S. Miss. This
game comes right after MONSTER home match-up with
Louisville. The Golden Eagles are used to the
glare of the primetime lights. Don't be surprised
by an upset in Memphis this Friday night, as
Elvis leaves the building early in this one.

This will be the most
interesting year in Tiger football in some time.
When a team rises up after a long slumber,
expectations can do nutty things to a team's
psyche. Do the Tigers of Coach West answer the
bell and go on and win the C-USA title or does
the weight of being a supposed proven commodity
become too much to handle? (ex. Auburn 2003) The
first game of the year at Mississippi will tell
tales for all of us to learn from.

Team - Southern Mississippi
Offense - 9 QB-1 WR/TE-2 RB-2 OL-4
Defense - 4 DL-2 LB-2 DB-0 ST-B
Player Rating - 11

ATS Record 2003 8-5 3-year record 14-21-1

Trends
1)S. Miss. is 29-9 ATS coming off a game as a RD. (9/18)
2)1-11-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back roadies
(10/2 & 11/20)

Coaching Trend
Starting his 14th season, Coach Bower is 30-17 ATS
as a home favorite.

Profit Potential - 11/12 Memphis The
Memphis Tigers are in the unfamiliar role of the
hunted for the first time in well over a decade.
That role may not suit them well particularly when
the pressure mounts in the late season. Bower's
bunch has covered 11 of 12 against Memphis and
has outscored them 25-8 in their last ten meetings.

Experience - 11/20 at TCU The Horned
Frogs are rolling down the stretch with a 17-3 SU
record their last four games of the year over the
last 5 seasons. S. Miss. spoiled TCU's perfect
season last year, thus we expect a BIG payback in
this one.

This is a bewildering
team to figure. With just 4 returning starters on
defense and ALL fresh faces in the secondary,
this could be trouble with this many returning
QB's, plus the Cal. Bears visit Hattiesburg.
Offensively this should be a competent squad,
but you have to wonder because this team has not
averaged 4 YPC in over six years. Probably a
contender that will lose a surprise game or two
and gain one back with an unexpected victory.

Team - South Florida
Offense -8 QB-1 WR/TE-2 RB-0 OL-5
Defense -6 DL-4 LB-1 DB-1 ST-B
Player Rating -2

ATS Record 2003 4-5 3-year record 17-8-1

Trends
1)7-3 ATS as a home favorite.
2)4-5 ATS as an away Underdog.

Coaching Trend
7-0 ATS off a SU loss since the Bulls have
had lined contests.

10/16 Army The spread
offense that S. Florida runs will cause confusion
against a weak secondary of the Cadets. A few long
plays will put this game to bed in Tampa.

11/22 @Louisville
The air attack of the Bulls might not play as well
against athletes that can stay with the WR's.
Cardinals have better football players and will
knock the Bulls of their feet in this Friday Night
special.

Things certainly move
quickly at S. Florida. Since joining the
D-1 ranks in 2002, the Bulls are poised to play
in the Big East next year. IMPACT SPORTS PICKS
usually prefers teams with lots of returning
linemen on both sides of the ball and the Bulls
have ALL of them back. With Tennessee Tech and
the Army on the schedule, another 7-4 season is a
reasonable accomplishment. Remember to keep an eye
on this team off a loss for wagering purposes.

Team- Texas Christian
Offense -8 QB-1 WR/TE-2 RB-1 OL-4
Defense -5 DL-1 LB-2 DB-2 ST- P
Player Rating - 23

ATS Record 2003 6-7 3-year record 17-19

Trends
1)10-1 ATS as non-conference dogs. (9/18)
2)0-8 ATS away against team off back-to-back
victories.

Coaching Trend
C. Patterson is 27-11, yet only 15-17-1 ATS at
TCU

Profit Potential - 10/23 Houston Last
year proved that the Horned Frogs can win in a
variety of different ways. Expect meaningful
improvement in the defensive backfield with Coach
Patterson's background. That improvement will
show up here, as TCU owns the Cougars with a 12-3
ATS record.

9/11 SMU TCU will be a
large favorite in this contest in what should be
a pride game because both teams have players from
the same recruiting area. With TCU playing a Big
Ten(11) opponent and having a road trip to Texas
Tech the following week, a focused effort make not
be their for the Horned Frogs. The visitor is
16-6 ATS in this big city shoot-out.

It was truly a magical
year for the Horned Frog followers. Ultimately
what did them in was a poor pass defense. This
year's team will likely not be as good as last
year's group, yet the schedule favors another
solid season. If they would somehow manage to e
scape at Lubbock in September, an 8-0 start is
possible. Strictly a tough wagering proposition
from week to week. TCU will join its 3rd
conference next season since 1995.

Team - Tulane
Offense - 8 QB-0 WR/TE-3 RB-0 OL-5
Defense - 8 DL-3 LB-2 DB-3 ST-B
Player Rating - 8

ATS Record 2003 6-5 3-year record 18-16

Trends
1)12-3 ATS in first away of the year (9/4)
2)4-13 ATS off a loss of 3.5 - 10 points.

Coaching Trend
HC Scelfo now in 6th season has not distinguished
himself in any manner.

9/25 S. Miss.
This game will be the 3rd straight home game for the
Green Wave. The only item holding this team from
really being a major surprise is the QB position.
If they receive adequate QB play the O-Linemen
will move the opposition. The home team in this
series is 7-2 ATS and the Green Wave love a week
off with a 15-5 ATS mark before a break.

10/16 @Memphis The trip
from New Orleans to Memphis has not been kind to
the Green Wave. With a 2-8 SU and 1-8-1 ATS mark
in the last 10 visits, expect the Tigers to
flatten the Wave and make them Green with envy.

With 17 starters returning, you would believe optimism
would be running high in Bayou country. Unfortunately,
the talent is pretty ordinary even by C-USA standards.
Ordinary team with ordinary coach produces you
guessed it, 6-5 or 5-6 season.

Team - UAB
Offense -8 QB-1 WR/TE-4 RB-1 OL-2
Defense -10 DL-3 LB-3 DB-4 ST-B
Player Rating -7

ATS Record 2003 5-7 3-year record 16-17-1

Trends
1)9-3 ATS as a home underdog.
2)The Blazers are 4-11 ATS as favorites the last
3 years.

Coaching Trend
C. Watson is 10-3-1 ATS as a barking home dog.

9/25 Memphis
After likely a pretty solid beating by Florida State
the week before, a refocused bunch of Blazers
attire themselves in their favorite underdog role.
The Tigers will be on the 2nd consecutive road
game and are 0-4 ATS and SU against UAB. The dog
is 6-1 ATS in this match-up, thus we suggest
enjoying the valuable points.

11/6 S. Florida or 11/13 Houston
Take your pick in this one or
depending on the results, maybe both. With both
teams favoring the pass and UAB poor history of
being a home favorite, favorable situations are
at hand for the visitors coming to Birmingham in
early November.

The word that comes to
mind is 'quirky' when this programs name comes up.
C. Brown's teams run off a series of nice
victories then dump for a few weeks. If this team
can keep QB Hackney healthy and the defensive
front performs to normal UAB standards
(4.4 YPR 2003) this team will be playing
meaningful games this November.

Chicken
08-22-2004, 09:08 AM
Very Nice info Nick! Thanks for sharing it with us. Pinnacle has posted Cincy+17 at Ohio St, and West Virginia -28.5 v East Carolina. The posts above suggest Taking Cincy and WV.

I was just wondering, in light of the spreads, if you like either of these picks. I know its early, but I was hoping for your opinion.

Thanks again for the info and best of luck this season!

QuickNick
08-27-2004, 06:22 PM
Chicken, I am sorry it took me so long to answer your question, with tracking MLB lines and the NFL getting started the only time I get to come in here is if I am posting some INFO about the NCAA. I have not looked at either game as of yet, so I can't give an opinion, but, just prior to the games I will be making my posted plays, so stay tuned and BOL this year!!!!

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Here is an article I got in my email about the top 20 teams in the NCAA Football.

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2004 College Top 20 Football Preview

1. OKLAHOMA - The Sooners opened last season a perfect
12-0, and were being lauded as one of the best College
teams ever, before losing both the Big 12 and National
Championship games. This year's club returns Heisman
Trophy winner, QB Jason White to lead an offense that
averaged 42.9 PPG in 2003. This is the most
disciplined and talented team that coach Stoops has
had at Oklahoma.

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2. GEORGIA - Very talented and underrated, are these
Bulldogs. The return of QB David Greene, WR Fred
Gibson and DT David Pollack, along with fourteen other
starters, means that coach Richt will field his best
team yet. Georgia will host both Tennessee and LSU,
and play Florida at a neutral site, in what could well
be, a perfect season.

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3. USC - Trojans finished the 2003 campaign 12-1, and
a very profitable, 11-2 vs the pointspread. Even with
the ineligibility of All-American star receiver, Mike
Williams, the return of junior quarterback Matt
Leinart and six defensive starters, makes coach Pete
Carroll's team the class of the PAC 10 again.

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4. FLORIDA STATE - Make no mistake about it, the
Seminoles are loaded on both sides of the ball this
season. They will need to halt a five-game losing
streak to the Miami Hurricanes in Week One, to have a
shot at running the table. We think they can.

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5. TEXAS - Another solid, well-balanced team for coach
Mack Brown, with the return of eight starters on each
side of the ball. Longhorns will most likely lose
their 5th-straight to Oklahoma, in their Oct. 9
showdown, and finish the regular season at 10-1.

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6. LSU - No less than 15 starters return from the 2003
BCS Championship team, that will again be led by its
defense. Only our predicted loss at Georgia, keeps the
Tigers from a higher rating.

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7. MIAMI, FL - Over the last four-year span, the
Hurricanes have gone a stellar 46-4, and will again be
a formidable opponent. There is however, some question
at the key quarterback position, which is why we have
them losing the home-opener to Florida State.

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8. CALIFORNIA - The Bears have steadily improved under
coach Jeff Tedford, and will return 7 starters on
offense, along with 9 on the defense. Can't see them
winning the Oct. 9 revenge game at USC, but they will
play only four other teams that finished the 2003
season with winning records.

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9. UTAH - Why not? All-Everything, All-America QB
candidate, Alex Smith, leads the Utes with 15
returning starters. Winners of the Mountain West title
and the Liberty Bowl in 2003, this club figures to be
every bit as good. Another 10-win season, is the call
here.

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10. MICHIGAN - The only concern on this Wolverine
team, is replacing four-year starter John Navarre at
quarterback. The talent is there, but will it be up to
the test of road games at Notre Dame, Ohio State and
Purdue? We think, yes.

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11. KANSAS STATE - Need to replace QB, Ell Roberson.
The remainder of this club is solid.

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12. AUBURN - Well-balanced club. Better than 2003,
minus all the BCS and media PreSeason hype.

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13. OREGON - Big and talented team, that will play at
California, but has no USC on the schedule.

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14. TENNESSEE - Inexperiencd team, but the talent is
here to develop quickly, under coach Phil Fullmer.

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15. MISSOURI - It's all about QB Brad Smith, and a
favorable schedule, that includes Kansas State at
home.

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16. WEST VIRGINIA - QB Rasheed Marshall and fourteen
other starters return for the Mountaineers, playing in
the weak Big East Conference.

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17. MEMPHIS - Non-BCS school, with the talent to go
undefeated in Conference USA.

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18. OHIO STATE - Only 9 starters returning for the
Fiesta Bowl champs, but quality replacements are
there. Coach Tressel will have his team prepared to
compete.

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19. FLORIDA - Gators continue to improve, but must
play both Florida State and Tennessee on the road, and
Georgia in Jacksonville.

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20. VIRGINIA - Coach Al Groh's club returns 16
starters, but have road games at Florida State and
Virginia Tech.

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Not much of an opinion on the bottom 10 teams!!!!