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Stanley
07-27-2004, 01:38 PM
Outright plays (1pt):

Michael Campbell to win 20/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
Nothing wrong with Campbell's form at Barseback. In four visits, he has recorded four top-15 finishes and has been showing the form recently that should enable that run to continue. He finished 2nd in the Scottish Open three weeks ago and was in the top-5 heading into the weekend at Royal Troon the following week. He won at least one European Tour event every year since 1999; this could be the week to continue that streak.

Ian Poulter to win 25/1 e.w. available generally
Poulter has won at least one European Tour event every year since his rookie year of 2000 and, like Campbell, is needing a win to continue that streak for another year. There are no question marks nowadays over his ability to win when in contention and back in 2001 when he led by a shot going into the final round on this course, he only lost out to Colin Montgomerie by the slenderest of margins. He missed the cut last week, but that should be of benefit as he played the previous five weeks in a row. Having been in contention in three of those weeks, he should bounce back with a strong performance around Barseback again.

Luke Donald to win 33/1 e.w. available generally
Donald is another with a good history around Barseback. He was on the leaderboard in each of the last three days last year before finishing 3rd and his familiarity with the course should present his best chance this year of winning a European Tour event and forcing himself into the Ryder Cup team. Last year he played in three events in Europe, the Open Championship, the Irish Open and this event. His finishes were mc, 23rd and 3rd. This year, his playing schedule is exactly the same and he has finished mc and 22nd. If history continues to repeat itself, this should be a profitable play.

Stanley
07-28-2004, 12:01 PM
Matchup plays (1pt unless stated):

Michael Campbell to beta Fredrik Jacobson +100 @ Centrebet
Jacobson has rather lost his form over the past month and as a result Cambo has beat him on all three occasions they have played in the same event since the U.S. Open. So will certainly take these odds on the outright selection to beta him again.
(available generally)

Nick O'Hern to beat Colin Montgomerie +104 @ Pinnacle [2pts]
Monty is a very long way from the player who won on this course in 1999 and 2001, so while his course form is impressive it should matter little this week. Since the Wales Open, O'Hern has secured five top-10 finishes from six starts; Monty has none from those six and has finished ahead of O'Hern just once since the Tour reached Europe (8 common events).
(also available at Centrebet and Nordicbet)

Nothing else appeals this week.

Stanley
08-01-2004, 11:42 AM
Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 2-1; +22.25pts

Campbell mc
Poulter 4th
Donald 1st

Very polished performance from Luke Donald who never looked like losing this tournament once he had taken the lead. As an established player on the PGA Tour, he really should be in the Ryder Cup team. Even Poulter came from 32nd after the third round to snatch a place win and ensure a very healthy return on the event.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 1-1-0; -1.00pts

Campbell/Jacobson WON by 5
O'Hern/Montgomerie LOST by 9

Small loss over the two plays that I did fancy this week. Of little after the success on the outrights.

European Tour ytd
Outrights: 15-39; +17.72pts
Matchups: 46-35; +11.22pts