26-5-1 +27055/July 5th play(s)

[MR MJ]

Nailed the Marlins on July 4th with a late nail biter....so I am backing the opponent again vs TB.

Heres the play!

TB Brazeltn vs Balt Carera -140 GAME 1 on July 5th

Im laying 1.4 dimes on Baltimore Carera (-140) to win 1 dime.

My analysis is in the fade TB thread I made about a week ago.....so you know why I am taking them.

GL!!

26-5-1(7-2-1 in MLB,15-3 in NBA and 4-0 in NHL)
+27055

[DJTranks]

GL !

[yomonte]

Thanx man. Glad you had a winner on the 4th. I think Balt takes both tomorrow. TB should win Tues if Balt sweeps the dbl hdr.

[MR MJ]

Thanx DJ and Yomonte.....Baltimores offense will be tough to deal with.

Game 2.....I may just leave alone.....we will see.

[coreyschucky]

Good Luck today!!!!

[silkypicks]

gl
i like the O's and over both games
:thumbs: :yeah:

[The War Dogs]

Good luck, planning to hit that one, with Cabrera on the mound, myself.

[Big Pimpin]

Be careful on this as the O's always seem to lose versus T.Bay

[Personafied]

I believe Tampa will win the first and Baltimore gets the second according to these pitching matchups.

[Personafied]

But good luck!!! I'm not on either game. But I think the first pitcher for tampa is better than the second.

[Personafied]

Wow, after I wrote that I look at past meetings and I noticed that they alternate wins and losses 10 in a row....the last win was by baltimore therefore tampa should win first then baltimore second.


6/6/2004 Sun TB 4 BAL 5 BAL -185 9.5 U R Bell R Lopez
6/4/2004 Fri TB 8 BAL 7 TB -145 9 O V Zambrano E Bedard
4/22/2004 Thu TB 6 BAL 7 BAL -165 10 O D Moss K Ainsworth
4/21/2004 Wed TB 7 BAL 3 TB -165 9 O P Abbott M Riley
4/20/2004 Tue TB 1 BAL 9 BAL -190 9.5 O M Hendrickson S Ponson
4/11/2004 Sun BAL 1 TB 10 TB -115 10 O E Dubose V Zambrano
4/10/2004 Sat BAL 11 TB 3 BAL -110 10 O E Bedard J Gonzalez
4/9/2004 Fri BAL 3 TB 4 TB 120 10 U S Ponson M Hendrickson
8/21/2003 Thu TB 4 BAL 5 BAL -160 9.5 U C Gaudin Ja Johnson

[Personafied]

but then again you can look at each team has alternated first game of a series wins... and the last team to win the first game was tampa therefore Baltimore should win the first game.

[chickenmilk]

GL Bro on the first one... I think the kid from TB could derail your pick if he has a good game.

[DJTranks]

I still think TB is a solid team and will continue to do well!!

[MR MJ]

Since June 29th....TB is .500 the last 6 games(happened to be the day I made the fade TB thread)

so....they arent winning like they did when they won 16 of 18.


Lost 2 of 3 to Tor and won 2 of 3 vs Florida.

If I do lose this Game 1....I will lay double in Game 2.

If I win....I leave it alone.

[MR MJ]

Tampa is now 3-4 since I started the "fade the Drays" thread...and 2-2 since I started betting against them(I said they would go 6-11 starting with Florida last week)

I knew they would start to blunder after that 16 wins out of 18 games.And we got one more game tonight to maybe put them 3-5 (2-3 in the angle)since I started the "Fade the Drays" thread.....

Nice pitching by both teams.The offense showed up after the 5th for both teams and luckily....the O's had a litle more then TB did.

4-2 O's win!!

Hope we all had the O's!!

27-5-1(8-2-1 in MLB,15-3 in NBA and 4-0 in NHL)
+28055 units

:thumbs: :thumbs: :thumbs:

[Sports-Gambling(Dan)]

Nice Hit Lock...

:thumbs:

[MR MJ]

thanks Sports Gambling Dan!!

Gonna lay off Game 2....

might take Yanks RL though.....hmmm


:thumbs:

[adam]

:thumbs:

[Stifler's Mom]

Nice job and glad we could almost all pull in some dough on the Orioles today! :thumbs:

TB is 2-2 since you started officially going against them, but if you had flat bet, that would be -1.6 units (Florida lost at -200 and -160, and won at -175, and now Baltimore won today at -128).

Tampa better start losing more games to pull that number into the + side! :yeah:

[yomonte]

Originally posted by MR. LOCK



Lost 2 of 3 to Tor .



If your talking about TB, TB took 2 of 3 in every meeting against Tor. I might be wrong but thats what I have. If Tor did take 2 of 3, please let me know so I can change my stats. I also have Balt winning GM 2. GL

[MR MJ]

but I already stated I am not betting them EVERY game

and the way I bet them.....I double up against them if I lose....

so far as OFFCIAL BETS I MADE:

Florida on Fri--lost 1.85 dimes
Florida on Sat---lost 3.2 dimes(doubled up)
Florida on Sun----laid 8.75 dimes...PAID 5 dimes
Balt on Mon----laid 1.4 dimes......PAID 1 dime


so I lost 5.05 dimes so far..but won 6 dimes.

So I am up .95 dimes.

I know its not smart...but I knew I coild make money betting against them.

[MR MJ]

yomonte=

TB lost 2 of 3 last week to Tor.....the day I started the "fade the Drays" thread.

[MR MJ]

Here goes another play!!

I am taking The Padres Lawrence +105 vs the Astros Clemens

Padres are on fire after that slump they were in....and now a sneaky line that looks to good (Clemens -125)....Padres are adapting to small ball in their park..while Houston offense needs the long ball to get it done on most nights.

Im wagering 0.95 dimes to win 1 dime on Lawrence +105 Padres vs Hou Clemens.

GL!!

27-5-1(8-2-1 in MLB,15-3 in NBA and 4-0 in NHL)
+28055

[Baseballer]

Could there be a possible All-Star jinx. Tom Glavine an allstar gets blasted on the road. Is this Clemens turn to get beat on the road.....against the Padres 7 win home streak. :thumbs:

[beancounter]

thanks mr. lock.

may tail you on this one....feel like I missed some good possible wins today as I was out all day and only bet a few, and don't want to chase "what could have been", but if you don't play you can't win, right?

good luck.

:yeah:

[MR MJ]

WiAlot of big favs won today.....and people love betting big name pitchers with low lines.

If this line was -140 or higher....Im not touching it....but this line has gone down a bit....so I am on it.


GL all!

[MR MJ]

I was saying to you guys earlier....that low Clemens line looked too good....and it was....FOOLS GOLD.....and I was saying too many favorites won earlier in the day.....that was my reason...along with a 7 game win streak by SD.

They got out of many jams and played nice D.....wonderful win tonight!!

Padres 2-1 Final

Lets nail another one soon guys!!

28-5-1(9-2-1 in MLB,15-3 in NBA and 4-0 in NHL)
+29055

WOO HOO!!

:thumbs: :thumbs: :thumbs:

[Sports-Gambling(Dan)]

Again...

Nice Hit LOCK !!!

:thumbs:

[MR MJ]

thank you Sports Gambling Dan.

I tried telling everyone this game was a low line setup....

Lets get em again the next time around!!

[beancounter]

nice hit mr. lock, tailed you so thanks for the winner.

let's get some more this week.