Thursdays MINN/LA Game 4 Selection

[TopNotchPlays]

2-2 WTD
+6000

The Lakers have won EVERY single matchup on their Home Hardwood in this year's Playoffs - A PERFECT 7-0! They've also won 9 Straight while posting a 19-2 record in their last 21 this season. Note too that LA has won 12 STRAIGHT GAME 4'S!!!! The T'Wolves are a dreary 2-4 SU and a horrid 1-5 ATS as visitors in this years Postseason Play. Add to those numbers the fact that MVP Garnett can't find any rhythm and Cassell isn't even at 90%. But their "hole" gets deeper yet, as Minny is a dismal 1-6 IN GAME 4'S!!!
Don't expect any miracles in California tonight. Lay the lumber with the Lakers at Home to take a COMMANDING 3-1 SERIES LEAD, WITH LITTLE TO NO PROBLEM!!!!

LAKERS -7.5 over Minny (5 Dimes)

Best of Luck to everyone tonight....no matter who you play!!

[madcowz]

Glad to see you taking the Lakers as well! Good Luck! :thumbs:

[beancounter]

nice analysis top...I think you are the minority today with LA.

i agree except that Min is 1-1 SU this year in game 4's (yes the one win was against denver, which they bearly won (they were probably favored in that one, not sure, but it was AT Denver) and the loss was AT sacramento after that emotional hard fought OT victory.

I think LA can win by 8, but I also think that MIN knows if they lose this game, the series is over so I would hope they would play that way. LA wins probably, but back door cover may be in order as MIN plays really hard.

I am torn....may just play the over/under to keep me interested.

thanks for your hard work in this site.

anyway, just my 2 cents, as always, good luck

[TopNotchPlays]

beancounter - Yes, Minn is 1-1 THIS year in Game 4's, but just 1-6 all-time. As they say, look at history to understand the future...lol

Thanks brother, and GL to you tonight as well, whatever you decide to play on this one.

Let's bust the Man's balls!!! :thumbs:

[beancounter]

sounds good...let's get da man.:yeah:

[TopNotchPlays]

ADD:

MINNESOTA +2.5 (1ST Q) (1 Dime) WIN

Minn 24
Lakers 23

Look for Minny to come out fired up simply because they "feel" the "must win" syndrome...and Lakers are typically flat to open games. By the 4th Q these roles will reverse and Minn will go flat as the Lakers explode for another Win/Cover.


I'm outta here...wife just got home from DQ and then we're gonna watch Gothica. GL everyone!!!!!

[TopNotchPlays]

Well, I'm sure a FT somewhere near the end cost me the Cover, but at least 1st Q Play came through.

3-3 WTD
+1500

I'm on my way to the lake to spend the weekend jetskiing, fishing and drinking...going to drop the 1.5 Dimes on Indiana + the points 1st Q and if that hits I'll drop the 3 Dimes on Sunday night when I get home, trying for another decent paycheck.

Hope everyone makes some money this weekend...have fun!!!!!