Stanley
05-25-2004, 07:23 AM
Outright plays (1.5pts):
Fredrik Jacobson to win 20/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes
Jacobson's price is steadily falling across all the books and, on paper, deservedly so. He was in 2nd place when withdrew after the 1st round of last tournament, the Wachovia Championship, to be with his wife who was giving birth to their son. Prior to that, he had finished in the top-20 in four of his last five starts and these were among much stronger fields than this week. Plus he finished 3rd last year on this course. He will win on this Tour and this event looks to be likely starting point.
Kirk Triplett to win 25/1 e.w. @ SkyBet and Victor Chandler
A little uncomfortable backing Triplett at this price as he is far from a proven winner, but this is such a weak field and he is very consistent at the moment. He has seven top-15 finishes from eleven starts this year and consistently ranks highly in the greens in regulation stats each week. He is also far better on easier courses and the TPC at Southwind is certainly one of these. He has finished in the top-15 in six of his last nine starts here, so consistency is one reason to back him each-way this week.
Brian Bateman to finish in the top-five 10/1 @ SkyBet
Consistency is certainly a good enough reason to back Bateman at the moment. His final round 71 on Sunday was the first time in his last three events that he has not shot a round in the 60s. In all three events, he has finished in the top-15 and now ranks 40th on the Money List and in the top-10 in the All-Around Ranking stat category. After three successive, though successful, trips to Q-School, it looks as though his will earn his Tour Card during the regular season this year. In this form and with two years' course experience, he should be shorter than 10/1 to finish in the top-5 and he should certainly restart his run of rounds in the 60s around this course.
Fredrik Jacobson to win 20/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes
Jacobson's price is steadily falling across all the books and, on paper, deservedly so. He was in 2nd place when withdrew after the 1st round of last tournament, the Wachovia Championship, to be with his wife who was giving birth to their son. Prior to that, he had finished in the top-20 in four of his last five starts and these were among much stronger fields than this week. Plus he finished 3rd last year on this course. He will win on this Tour and this event looks to be likely starting point.
Kirk Triplett to win 25/1 e.w. @ SkyBet and Victor Chandler
A little uncomfortable backing Triplett at this price as he is far from a proven winner, but this is such a weak field and he is very consistent at the moment. He has seven top-15 finishes from eleven starts this year and consistently ranks highly in the greens in regulation stats each week. He is also far better on easier courses and the TPC at Southwind is certainly one of these. He has finished in the top-15 in six of his last nine starts here, so consistency is one reason to back him each-way this week.
Brian Bateman to finish in the top-five 10/1 @ SkyBet
Consistency is certainly a good enough reason to back Bateman at the moment. His final round 71 on Sunday was the first time in his last three events that he has not shot a round in the 60s. In all three events, he has finished in the top-15 and now ranks 40th on the Money List and in the top-10 in the All-Around Ranking stat category. After three successive, though successful, trips to Q-School, it looks as though his will earn his Tour Card during the regular season this year. In this form and with two years' course experience, he should be shorter than 10/1 to finish in the top-5 and he should certainly restart his run of rounds in the 60s around this course.