Stanley
05-17-2004, 06:38 PM
Outright plays (1.5pts):
Davis Love to win 12/1 e.w. @ Bet365, Stan James, Sportingbet, Sporting Odds and BetInternet
Assuming that his niggling back injury has cleared, Love looks to be far better value at 12/1 than Mickelson at 7/1. He has finished in the top-5 in three of his last five visits and started this season in similar form to last season's career-best year. His performances have since tailed off a little with his injury concerns, but these should be clear by now. There are few players his equal in this field.
Stewart Cink to win 40/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds, UKBetting and Totalbet
Surprised to see Cink at such a high price after he won on his penultimate start. His record around Colonial is not really worthy of laying - he has played in each of the last seven Colonials, having a worst finish of 41st (1998) and a best finish of 2nd (2000). He has been in very good form this season and he does represent value at these odds, particularly if coming off the pace again in the final round.
Stephen Ames to win 50/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds and BetInternet
Ames completes a trio of selections who tend to frustrate punters for more than reward them. But again, the odds are high enough to argue that there is value here. His course form is fairly average, making his last two cuts here, but he has never approached this event in this type of form. After a promising start to the year, he has moved up a level in the past two months to finish no worse than 13th in his last five starts and each of these has been against very strong fields. There is comparatively little value in the top-5 markets (8/1), so will just have to hope that he finally breaks his Tour duck. But at these odds, just another place finish would return a decent profit.
Davis Love to win 12/1 e.w. @ Bet365, Stan James, Sportingbet, Sporting Odds and BetInternet
Assuming that his niggling back injury has cleared, Love looks to be far better value at 12/1 than Mickelson at 7/1. He has finished in the top-5 in three of his last five visits and started this season in similar form to last season's career-best year. His performances have since tailed off a little with his injury concerns, but these should be clear by now. There are few players his equal in this field.
Stewart Cink to win 40/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds, UKBetting and Totalbet
Surprised to see Cink at such a high price after he won on his penultimate start. His record around Colonial is not really worthy of laying - he has played in each of the last seven Colonials, having a worst finish of 41st (1998) and a best finish of 2nd (2000). He has been in very good form this season and he does represent value at these odds, particularly if coming off the pace again in the final round.
Stephen Ames to win 50/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds and BetInternet
Ames completes a trio of selections who tend to frustrate punters for more than reward them. But again, the odds are high enough to argue that there is value here. His course form is fairly average, making his last two cuts here, but he has never approached this event in this type of form. After a promising start to the year, he has moved up a level in the past two months to finish no worse than 13th in his last five starts and each of these has been against very strong fields. There is comparatively little value in the top-5 markets (8/1), so will just have to hope that he finally breaks his Tour duck. But at these odds, just another place finish would return a decent profit.