View Full Version : ***Udoggie's K.I.R. Thursday NCAA***
Underdog88
02-15-2007, 10:39 AM
NCAA 81-66 +$2156
ML Plays 12-15 +$1047
No plays yet...Looking into a couple games...
Zona-7 I would think Zona is ready to exact some revenge on USC, having lost away to them 80-73. IMO Zona is playing great ball now, & coming off a huge come from behind win @ Oregon. USC played UCLA close last game, & 7 looks like a lot of points. However, every home win for Zona has been by 8 or more pts...
UL Monroe+2 WTF with this line? I'll give UL Laf credit for it's last two wins (12-13 NO & 12-14 Arky st), but they have yet to beat a team with a winning record. Besides those 2 teams, the combined record of D1 teams they beat- 32-68! ULM is 10-4 in conference vs UL Laf 5-9. Unless 2 starters broke their ankles or got caught with shrooms, I don't see how ULM can be dogged...
Iona- Fading St Pete's as a fave- they shouldn't be faves over some pickup leagues I've played in...
Indiana/Cal ml- my feeling is one if not both win su....
Thoughts?
joepa66
02-15-2007, 10:44 AM
Udoggie....GL :yeah:
Looked at those two as well and love the ULM play.....
Underdog88
02-15-2007, 12:17 PM
Thanks JoePa....These sunbelt conference lines are wacky...
I'm starting to think FIU+10.5 may be worth a look. I was originally looking for faves for a ML parlay when I looked into this game. My thought is what business does a 7-8 in conference team have laying 10+ chalk? I know FIU is bad, but they beat Arky st (a 7-7 conf team), & also beat Troy (6-9 conference). Mid Tenn lost to Troy by 20 pts. Oh & they also lost su to Arky st- both of these games were at home. Mid Tenn is 2-5 su @ home last 7 games! The 2 wins were against Denver & UL Laf (combined 8-21 conference). FIU lost by 14 pts last meeting, so possible revenge (lol, now i'm reaching), but Mid Tenn has also lost 3 straight- I think I just talked myself into a spread & small ml play too...
williwonka05
02-15-2007, 12:24 PM
At first glance Oregon looked good to me .. If you look at the boxscore from the first game they played this year, Cal played very well in Eugene and shot the ball well ,and controlled the boards against THE DUCKS... Cal led by 8 at the half ....
:thumbs:
Stifler's Mom
02-15-2007, 12:43 PM
Indiana/Purdue is another one of those spots where the unranked home team is favored over the ranked road team.
I believe Purdue has only lost once at home all year, to Ohio St, although I would have to check to be sure.
Public not falling for this one like they did Marquette yesterday (52% on Indiana so far), but it still falls into that system....which has about a 60% winning rate.
I'm also thinking Cal. That line looks fishy to me....and the public is grabbing every piece of Oregon -3 that they can get. The only hesitation I have there is that Cal has screwed me every time I played them this year.
Zona looks like alot of pts too on the surface. Might be reason enough right there to play it...along with that every home win they've had has been by 8+, and that usually when these lines look big, they usually aren't. Not completely sold on that one yet though....as I don't know if i trust Arizona.
FlyersFan
02-15-2007, 12:52 PM
Udoggiedog- GL!......i really want to unload on UAZ, but their defense will keep me from laying 7 with them. When you are letting teams shoot just short of 50 percent in conference play through 13 games, that is not a good sign. Especially when USC is the leader in FG defense in the conference......
Underdog88
02-15-2007, 01:16 PM
Thanks guys...
Aside from the public loving the Ducks, I also like that they are 1-3 su the last 4 on the road....Cal has to win sooner or later, & the line is telling me that Cal has a legit shot at a su win. I'm grabbing the points though....
Cal+3
Iona+4.5
Fla Int+10.5
No/Ark st o148
UL Mon+120
2 units each
Marist ml
Iowa ml
Zona ml
UCLA ml
$300 to win $288
Fla Int+475
Iona +173
half unit each
Leaning Stanford....
williwonka05
02-15-2007, 01:19 PM
The only thing that scares me about Cal is their lack of a defensive presence in the middle. When Devon Hardin went down for the season with an injury it really opened up the middle. He was the big man in the middle for them that controlled the paint..
Will be pullin for ya UD ..GOOD LUCK TONIGHT
NittanyLions94
02-15-2007, 03:00 PM
GL UD :thumbs:
Pally da Pro
02-15-2007, 03:25 PM
GL UD!!!!!!!!!!
Underdog88
02-15-2007, 08:08 PM
Thanks Willi, NL94 & Pally:thumbs:
Indiana+100 2ndh
1 unit
Underdog88
02-15-2007, 10:06 PM
Fordham+1 2ndh
1 unit
Underdog88
02-15-2007, 10:12 PM
Ducks/Bears o143
2 units
Stifler's Mom
02-15-2007, 10:38 PM
Originally posted by Underdog88
Thanks JoePa....These sunbelt conference lines are wacky...
I'm starting to think FIU+10.5 may be worth a look. I was originally looking for faves for a ML parlay when I looked into this game. My thought is what business does a 7-8 in conference team have laying 10+ chalk? I know FIU is bad, but they beat Arky st (a 7-7 conf team), & also beat Troy (6-9 conference). Mid Tenn lost to Troy by 20 pts. Oh & they also lost su to Arky st- both of these games were at home. Mid Tenn is 2-5 su @ home last 7 games! The 2 wins were against Denver & UL Laf (combined 8-21 conference). FIU lost by 14 pts last meeting, so possible revenge (lol, now i'm reaching), but Mid Tenn has also lost 3 straight- I think I just talked myself into a spread & small ml play too...
Wow, you really had that one pegged.
:thx:
Underdog88
02-15-2007, 11:35 PM
Thanks Stif....Hopefully Cal can keep it up...
USC/Zona o77 2ndh
2 units
recovering77
02-15-2007, 11:43 PM
had i saw ur post underdog I woulda given u some insight. Louisiana Monroe is apparently unstoppable at home, so I believe the line was deflated a little bit because of that.
I stopped playing law of averages on Iona after the 3rd or 4th time. That bunch is horrible, and very unpredictable. They come out hot sometimes and winning at the half, then completely get dismantled in the second half. At other times they'll be down by 15 at the half and somehow make a game of it like tonight.
In the end though, same result, they lose. They officially joined my DNP team list a while ago.
I'm just so amazed how they tailed off this year. I believe last year they had that Steve Burt guy? That guy was amazing. Dicked me over pretty badly this one time I bet hard against them. I can assume that he graduated or something already.
FlyersFan
02-16-2007, 12:31 AM
here's the number of the night Udoggiedog...
51.7
what UAZ allowed USC to shoot...they are just awful from the defensive standpoint and i am kicking myself for not playing USC after i basically said all day they couldn't cover 7 points because they can't defend........what a joke of a team, sucks they couldn't even win SU for your parlay.....
NittanyLions94
02-16-2007, 01:13 AM
Nice job UD :thumbs:
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