***Udoggie's K.I.R. V-Day NCAA***

[Underdog88]

NCAA 78-64 +2006

ML plays 12-14 +$1097



Took me about an hour to dig that shit up LoL. On a 28-10 run since Thursday:pud:

Looking to keep it rolling with....




William & Mary+6.5

Drake+105

Ole Miss-3

BYU-12

Duquesne-120


2 units each


Still cooking up a ml parlay & looking at Wash, Iona ml(when the line comes out)....GLTA

[joepa66]

GL tonight UDoggie.....but I find myself agin ya on Drexel vs. Bill & Mary tonight....:yeah:
Sorry to hear ya got the runs since Thursday....OH, sorry, you're on a run...keep it going bro....:thumbs:

[Stifler's Mom]

I like Drake & Josh, Washington and Ole Piss....and debating on Bill & Mary. It's a borderline SCRF system play, and the line has dropped to +6, opposite the public. Gonna have to wait on that one and see how the numbers turn out.

I'd have a REAL hard time justifying taking an Iona ML on the road, lol. Those fucks don't even get close to winning at home.

95% on Duquesne too. Ouch. What makes you like them so much? Just curious, as my normal playing style would automatically have me play on Richmond here, and if i'm missing something that can help me avoid a loss, that would be great.

BYU is also too public for my liking, although I wouldn't go against em at home at -12 either.

Some others I'm liking so far are BC, Depaul and Wisconsin Milwaukee.

GL and nice run the last few days :thumbs:

[birdsfan5]

GL Underdog

[Underdog88]

Originally posted by Stifler's Mom
I'd have a REAL hard time justifying taking an Iona ML on the road, lol. Those fucks don't even get close to winning at home.

95% on Duquesne too. Ouch. What makes you like them so much? Just curious, as my normal playing style would automatically have me play on Richmond here, and if i'm missing something that can help me avoid a loss, that would be great.


Iona & StPeters are both 1-14 in conference. I certainly wouldn't play on a 1-14 conference team to cover a -4.5 pt spread...IMO these are two evenly bad teams, so the dog has more value. Line still hasn't come out, & I'm thinking it has something to do with Bruin, the Gaels leading scorer who did not play last game. If it comes out lower, chances are he will play & I'll be on the ml. If not, I'll probably grab the points...more of a play against a team named the Peacocks LoL

Although it is scary to be on such a public play, Duquesne is a very hot team. They are 10-1 ats while Richmond is 2-8 ats last 10. Richmond has also been blown out by common opponents that Duquesne beat, IMO they are just the better team & should win by 10+. I'm always wary of road faves in general, but I have been selective & hit a couple lately. Basically I only do it when IMO it is a complete mismatch...like Sunday fading both ST Pete's & Iona....I actually was originally going to be on the over as well, but it has jumped 12.5 pts....

[wsox08]

Originally posted by Stifler's Mom


Some others I'm liking so far are BC, Depaul and Wisconsin Milwaukee.

GL and nice run the last few days :thumbs:
Why do you like DePaul?

[brooklynnets71]

I believe the Iona game was cancelled?

[Underdog88]

Thanks Brooklyn....

Wsox- I also like Depaul, mostly because they are unranked & favored vs ranked opponent...public all over Marquette too.

ML parlay

App st
VCU
Clemson
Wright st
Missouri
Ohio st
Towson
Murray st
Memphis
BYU
Air Force

$50 to win $222


That's it for me:thumbs:

[GamblinMan03]

gl U-Dog

[NittanyLions94]

GL UD :thumbs:

[CuseFan10]

GL UDoggie! K.I.R. .... :pud:, haha

[Stifler's Mom]

Originally posted by wsox08
Why do you like DePaul?

I like Depaul pretty much for the reasons U-dog pointed out.

If you look at it....

21-5 (8-3 in conf) Marquette at 14-11 ( 5-6 in conf) Depaul. The line has gone from -2 to -2.5, despite the world being on Marquette. Why is Depaul even favored? And if everyone is playing them, why hasn't it moved closer to a pick em? The line is begging for Marquette action IMO, and 84% are on Marquette so far...so it's working.

Depaul is 11-2 at home, with those 2 losses coming to Pittsburgh and Louisville. They have already beaten Kansas at home however, and I think they logically have a better chance to win and cover this game than Marquette does, who yes, is 6-2 on the road, but after Pittsburgh, their road wins are marginal to shit.

Of their other 5 road wins:

Louisville is a pretty good road win, but that team was playing pretty awful, and is also having a very average year, until starting to look a little better lately.....and Duke is still a good one too, but not nearly as impressive as in years past, as this year's Dook program is way down from past years too. After that, the Connecticut win means chicken crap to me. They suck this year. Then you have South FLA and Valparaiso, another 2 meaningless wins. G'town and Providence stomped em, so are they really that great of a road team, or have they benefitted from an EZ road schedule outside of Pitt and maybe Dook?

I'm just not buying their superior road record, and not going to side with the side the books want me to on this one.

The game also falls into the "unranked home fave vs a ranked road dog" system that has worked pretty well this season.

It's not like it's any kind of guarantee or easy winner, but I think my odds of cashing Depaul are better than the odds of Marquette cashing.

[wsox08]

Originally posted by Stifler's Mom
I like Depaul pretty much for the reasons U-dog pointed out.

If you look at it....

21-5 (8-3 in conf) Marquette at 14-11 ( 5-6 in conf) Depaul. The line has gone from -2 to -2.5, despite the world being on Marquette. Why is Depaul even favored? And if everyone is playing them, why hasn't it moved closer to a pick em? The line is begging for Marquette action IMO, and 84% are on Marquette so far...so it's working.

Depaul is 11-2 at home, with those 2 losses coming to Pittsburgh and Louisville. They have already beaten Kansas at home however, and I think they logically have a better chance to win and cover this game than Marquette does, who yes, is 6-2 on the road, but after Pittsburgh, their road wins are marginal to shit.

Of their other 5 road wins:

Louisville is a pretty good road win, but that team was playing pretty awful, and is also having a very average year, until starting to look a little better lately.....and Duke is still a good one too, but not nearly as impressive as in years past, as this year's Dook program is way down from past years too. After that, the Connecticut win means chicken crap to me. They suck this year. Then you have South FLA and Valparaiso, another 2 meaningless wins. G'town and Providence stomped em, so are they really that great of a road team, or have they benefitted from an EZ road schedule outside of Pitt and maybe Dook?

I'm just not buying their superior road record, and not going to side with the side the books want me to on this one.

The game also falls into the "unranked home fave vs a ranked road dog" system that has worked pretty well this season.

It's not like it's any kind of guarantee or easy winner, but I think my odds of cashing Depaul are better than the odds of Marquette cashing.

Thanks for the answer. I really appreciate it. I took Marquette ML and just wanted to hear what the other side thought of it.

[irishmike]

Best of Luck!!!

[Underdog88]

Thanks guys...I ended up pulling the trigger on DePaul after reading your post Stif-:thumbs:

Looks like Duquesne layed an egg, & Ole Miss wins by 1 pt


3-3 +$100

[Stifler's Mom]

Originally posted by Underdog88
Thanks guys...I ended up pulling the trigger on DePaul after reading your post Stif-:thumbs:

Looks like Duquesne layed an egg, & Ole Miss wins by 1 pt


3-3 +$100

LOL, one of the few i actually had right yesterday.