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View Full Version : Running Down to Mex - Wanted Some Feedback First


brvannoy
11-29-2006, 03:07 PM
Hey guys, these are the my first posted pics of the year. I've been doing pretty will with my personal unposted pics, but since I have no concept of money management I'm in the red... GO FIGURE.

Anyhow, here's what I like today:

Michigan State +4 vs. BC

Michigan State appears to me as the better team. I think BC is only favored because they are the home team. I look at this as a similar situation as the Maryland v. Illinois game. I think Michigan State comes away with the SU victory.

Another big factor for me on making this play was BC's loss by 14 to Vermont at home. As far as I know there were no injuries or star players out for BC that game. That game is a big factor because Michigan State torched Vermont at home by 20 points, once again no significant injuries I can find for either team that game.

Another Road Dog I like is Old Dominion +2 at Marist

Old Dominion is coming into this game 5-1, having beaten such teams as (Correction) *GEORGETOWN* and a solid Richmond team.

Marist on the other hand is 4-2 having lost to an unimpressive Ohio squad and a good Arkansas club. Marist has beaten Florida Atlantic and Western Michigan in its only home games this season, neither of which are impressive teams or of the caliber Old Dominion is. I look for another outright win here by the road dog.

Niagra vs. St. Bonaventure Under 139.5 opened at 144

Niagra is 0-3 having scored 66, 58, and 48 against mediocre teams (Arkansas was the 48 point game and most recent) and has fallen under the posted total each game which has been set around 153 each game.

St. Bonny is 3-2 and has only gone over the total once this season which was a 95-98 loss to Chicago State whose defense is ranked 327th in NCAA. The rest of their games have gone under the posted total of around 144 and they have not reached 70 points since their opening game of the season when they put up 95.

Looking at the totals for both of these teams and how they've pretty much stayed the same for every one despite continuously going under shows me that people don't pay attention to the lines of these small schools and should be an easy hit. Also the fact that the opening total of 144 has droppped to 139.5 signals that the sharps have been hitting the line hard.

unc50
11-29-2006, 03:20 PM
Old Dominion beat Georgia Tech??? they did lose to Clemson though and beat Georgetown on a neutral court.

brvannoy
11-29-2006, 03:28 PM
Adding SDSU -15.5 and under 148 vs. USD

SDSU is 5-2 ATS and 7-0 overall so far this season. The linesmakers have had them anywhere from 4 point favorites vs. Cal to 12.5 underdogs to UCSB. Linesmakers can't figure this team out. I am an SDSU student and I think I have a pretty good feel for them this year. USD is 2-3 on the season and 2-3 ATS. USD has lbeen outscored in its 3 losses by a total of 38, one by 15, one by 14, and one by 9. 2 of their loses came to teams at or below .500 as well. The SDSU students should pack Cox Arena tonight and help SDSU lay a beat down on USD tonight.

I envision SDSU not scoring any more than 90 points, and even if they do I don't think USD can keep up and at most could score 60, which seems highly unlikely to me. 90+60=150, only 2 points over the total and that score seems all but in reach. I look for an 80-55 type stomping here.

GO AZTECS!

brvannoy
11-29-2006, 03:31 PM
Clemson game was very close, only a 4 point margin. Clemson is also 7-0 on the season. I saw GT and immediately processed it as Georgia Tech not Georgetown. My mistake, thank you for point it out though.