dbuono
11-19-2006, 12:20 PM
Week 11 picks
1300 Games
N.O. -3 (strongest play of the day)
Cincy is coming off a heartbreaking home loss and I think the effect of that loss will linger today. Cincy defense has been horrible this season ranking 28th overall and they will have their hands full trying to stop N.O. 3rd ranked offense. The match-up I like is the N.O. defensive line against Cincy offensive line. N.O. ranks 5th in the league with 25 sacks while Cincy ranks 23rd in the league giving up 25 sacks. A strong pass rush on the road in a hostile enviroment should cause problems for the Bengals. N.O. is also good defensively against the pass ranking 7th overall. N.O. is 3-1 at home this season. I like N.O. at home 31-20.
Pitt -4
Offensively Pitt ranks 5th and Clev ranks 29th. Defensively Pitt ranks 11th and Clev ranks 19th. I hate backing road favorites but Pitt is a much better team overall and I like the fact they are facing a Cleveland defense that ranks 30th against the run and give up 4.8 yards per rush. Pitt wins 24-13.
G.B. over 45
The Pats are really banged up in the secondary and are missing 3 starters. Favre has the G.B. offense rolling and should be able to score at least 20 at home against a vulnerable Pats defense. Brady and the N.E. offense should also be able to produce against G.B. 32nd ranked pass defense. I expect a lot of points today, Pats win 28-27.
Chicago under 39
The Jets held a good N.E. offense to 14 points at home last week. The Bears are scoring on special teams and defense which will stop at some point. The Bears have not gone under the total since week 1, they are due for an under.
1300 Games
N.O. -3 (strongest play of the day)
Cincy is coming off a heartbreaking home loss and I think the effect of that loss will linger today. Cincy defense has been horrible this season ranking 28th overall and they will have their hands full trying to stop N.O. 3rd ranked offense. The match-up I like is the N.O. defensive line against Cincy offensive line. N.O. ranks 5th in the league with 25 sacks while Cincy ranks 23rd in the league giving up 25 sacks. A strong pass rush on the road in a hostile enviroment should cause problems for the Bengals. N.O. is also good defensively against the pass ranking 7th overall. N.O. is 3-1 at home this season. I like N.O. at home 31-20.
Pitt -4
Offensively Pitt ranks 5th and Clev ranks 29th. Defensively Pitt ranks 11th and Clev ranks 19th. I hate backing road favorites but Pitt is a much better team overall and I like the fact they are facing a Cleveland defense that ranks 30th against the run and give up 4.8 yards per rush. Pitt wins 24-13.
G.B. over 45
The Pats are really banged up in the secondary and are missing 3 starters. Favre has the G.B. offense rolling and should be able to score at least 20 at home against a vulnerable Pats defense. Brady and the N.E. offense should also be able to produce against G.B. 32nd ranked pass defense. I expect a lot of points today, Pats win 28-27.
Chicago under 39
The Jets held a good N.E. offense to 14 points at home last week. The Bears are scoring on special teams and defense which will stop at some point. The Bears have not gone under the total since week 1, they are due for an under.