Half-Man Half-Amazin
11-19-2006, 11:25 AM
Great week 10, hope to follow it up with a good week 11.
<b>Steelers -3, -135</b>...............1*
Steelers came back to life last week with an explosion of points against a good offensive team in the Saints and most people were against the Steelers last week. Porter and Polumalu will both play. Willie parker is coming off a 200yd game. Big Ben is 3-0 vs the Browns, and Pittsburgh has covered 5 straight vs the Browns. Huge let down game for the Browns after the upset at Atlanta. With all this being said Pit just a FG fav?? I'll bite it to the bank.
<b>Bengals +3.5</b>.......................1*
Bengals need to win sometime, lol. Why not against a team who surrenders a ton of points. Cincy is a fast team on the carpet and thats what the Saints play on. Cincy will put up points thats no doubt about that, NO defense is very suspect as is Cincys but this is a close game and a possible FG winning it so i will take the Bengals as the roaddog, but i wont be surprised if i see a SU win.
<b>St. Louis +7, -130</b>...............1*
St. Louis has kept losing games but have kept each one close enough to win. Luck has not run into the Rams but giving the Panthers a TD in this situation is a bit high considering the Panthers were outplayed in the first half vs TBAY. TBay would have covered if not for the late TD with 2 mins left. St. louis is a well balanced team and if Bulger can stay sack free, St. Louis should keep it very close. St. Louis is 5-1 ATS vs conference opponents.
<b>COLTS PK, even</b>..................2**
Going with the better team here and im a cowboys fan. All this talk about the Colts having a bad run defense will hurt them. Last time i check the Colts beat a top 3 run team in Denver at their backyard. Dallas is not a great run team to begin with. Their strength is Romo making plays. Dallas has a serious problem with the secondary (safeties) giving up the long plays and Peyton is going to exploit that. While Romo has been great and I expect him to take the Cowboys to the playoffs, he is no Peyton Manning and Manning and the Colts are 12-3-1 their last 15 games on the road.
<b>DENVER -2.5</b>........................1*
Great defense, versus great offense??? take your pick well i normally think the defense wins ballgames is somewhat overrated, but homefield is in Denver's favor. As good as LT is and he is, he is only averaging 52.8 Rush yards against a top 3 defense in denver. Rivers has never been to Denver and will not perform great everygame. Denver will pound the ball and give the Chargers a loss.
PATS -5.5..........................1*
Chicago/NY JETS OVER 38................1*
Colts/DALLAS OVER 49.................1*
Oakland/KANSAS CITY OVER 36.........1*
Falcons/BALTIMORE UNDER 41...........1*
<b>2006 NFL YTD: 51 - 39 - 4..........+5.16 UNITS</b>
_________________________________________________
<b>Spreads: 23 - 18.....+1.55 U</b>
.5 unit: 3 - 1...+1
1 unit: 20 - 17....+0.55
2 unit: 0 - 0
3 unit: 0 - 0
<b>Totals: 22 - 17 - 2......+1.71 U</b>
.5 unit: 1 - 2...-0.7U
1 unit: 20 - 13 - 2...+4.95U
2 unit: 1 - 2....-2.54U
3 unit: 0 - 0
<b>Teasers: 6 - 4 - 2.....+1.9 U</b>
1 unit: 5-4-2,...-0.1U
2 unit: 1 - 0,.....+2U
3 unit:
<b>Steelers -3, -135</b>...............1*
Steelers came back to life last week with an explosion of points against a good offensive team in the Saints and most people were against the Steelers last week. Porter and Polumalu will both play. Willie parker is coming off a 200yd game. Big Ben is 3-0 vs the Browns, and Pittsburgh has covered 5 straight vs the Browns. Huge let down game for the Browns after the upset at Atlanta. With all this being said Pit just a FG fav?? I'll bite it to the bank.
<b>Bengals +3.5</b>.......................1*
Bengals need to win sometime, lol. Why not against a team who surrenders a ton of points. Cincy is a fast team on the carpet and thats what the Saints play on. Cincy will put up points thats no doubt about that, NO defense is very suspect as is Cincys but this is a close game and a possible FG winning it so i will take the Bengals as the roaddog, but i wont be surprised if i see a SU win.
<b>St. Louis +7, -130</b>...............1*
St. Louis has kept losing games but have kept each one close enough to win. Luck has not run into the Rams but giving the Panthers a TD in this situation is a bit high considering the Panthers were outplayed in the first half vs TBAY. TBay would have covered if not for the late TD with 2 mins left. St. louis is a well balanced team and if Bulger can stay sack free, St. Louis should keep it very close. St. Louis is 5-1 ATS vs conference opponents.
<b>COLTS PK, even</b>..................2**
Going with the better team here and im a cowboys fan. All this talk about the Colts having a bad run defense will hurt them. Last time i check the Colts beat a top 3 run team in Denver at their backyard. Dallas is not a great run team to begin with. Their strength is Romo making plays. Dallas has a serious problem with the secondary (safeties) giving up the long plays and Peyton is going to exploit that. While Romo has been great and I expect him to take the Cowboys to the playoffs, he is no Peyton Manning and Manning and the Colts are 12-3-1 their last 15 games on the road.
<b>DENVER -2.5</b>........................1*
Great defense, versus great offense??? take your pick well i normally think the defense wins ballgames is somewhat overrated, but homefield is in Denver's favor. As good as LT is and he is, he is only averaging 52.8 Rush yards against a top 3 defense in denver. Rivers has never been to Denver and will not perform great everygame. Denver will pound the ball and give the Chargers a loss.
PATS -5.5..........................1*
Chicago/NY JETS OVER 38................1*
Colts/DALLAS OVER 49.................1*
Oakland/KANSAS CITY OVER 36.........1*
Falcons/BALTIMORE UNDER 41...........1*
<b>2006 NFL YTD: 51 - 39 - 4..........+5.16 UNITS</b>
_________________________________________________
<b>Spreads: 23 - 18.....+1.55 U</b>
.5 unit: 3 - 1...+1
1 unit: 20 - 17....+0.55
2 unit: 0 - 0
3 unit: 0 - 0
<b>Totals: 22 - 17 - 2......+1.71 U</b>
.5 unit: 1 - 2...-0.7U
1 unit: 20 - 13 - 2...+4.95U
2 unit: 1 - 2....-2.54U
3 unit: 0 - 0
<b>Teasers: 6 - 4 - 2.....+1.9 U</b>
1 unit: 5-4-2,...-0.1U
2 unit: 1 - 0,.....+2U
3 unit: