Looking for some insight on the TEX/NEB game

[ptrain09]

looking for some insight on the game...texas seems like a great take even thought i got it at -6.5 and now its down to 4.5.

isnt texas clearly the better team here...it seems like they should cover a TD:confused:

i took texas big, but the line dropped 2 points and now im getting confused as to why it dropped.

[The Punisher]

Texas will cover and rather easily.
So sayeth The Punisher.

[nohomer1]

this look like a setup game...smell Trap all over da place..

[EdwardHaney]

Nebraska has won 9 of their last 10 games including a bowl win over Michigan (look how good MU is this year). The only loss they had was at USC and they played a pretty good game there too. Nebraska seems to be back they have 4 studs they can play at I-back in their offensive system (which this team has finally caught on too). Blackshirts seem to be back as well only allowing 38 rushing yards against Kansas St. last week.

Texas will get everything they can handle and more from this Huskers team. Maybe Texas will get a late cover but Nebraska WILL show up for this game.

[hodown]

with the public over 2 to 1 on texas, obviously theyre dropping the line to get more texas money. this should make you think twice, but not necessarily scare u off from making the bet. neb will need to be able to run the ball to stay in this game, and not become one dimensional. i think texas is very comparable to usc, if not better. but i think u can expect a similar type game all around. the difference is that the game is being played in lincoln. i put some stock into homefield advantage but not much. even if u give neb the 7 point swing for homefield, your looking at an 11 point game, which i think is right on. trust your nuts against the bookies, as i will trust mine, and take texas, buying .5 points to make it -4.

[Gridmed]

Lifelong husker fan here, my take on the game is as follows:

Nebraska is very tough at home, although that still hasn't stopped texas in the recent past from coming in and beating us. Our secondary is HORRENDOUS, if Colt has time to throw in my opinion Texas will win by 21-28 points. We have sustained a recent injury in our LB crew with McKeon, and subsequently Octavian was given a blackshirt. Most are speculating that he was given the blackshirt only because McKeon was injured and they are looking for some type of inspiration. Cosgrove has been relatively bad as defensive coordinator until very recently, when it appears he has discovered we must put HUGE pressure on the QB or our secondary will get picked apart. If he calls an aggressive game with some decent blitzes and we successfully get to the QB as well as picking up some key turnovers, I could see how Nebraska might keep it very close.

Our offense is actually very good in my opinion, but Callahan feels that the opposing team must "stop the run" before we begin to pass. Texas's run defense is tremendous and I think they will stifle the Nebraska run game early, although Nebraska will have killed 2-3 posessions trying it. If Callahan calls a similar game to the NU-USC game, I think we lose by 21-28. If combined with a poor defensively called game by Cosgrove, I wouldn't be surprised if we lose by 35 or more. If Callahan has learned his lesson, keeps a balanced attack instead of concentrating too much on the run, then I think Nebraska can keep it close.

Other factoids:

BETTING TRENDS
TEXAS
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
Texas is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nebraska
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Nebraska
NEBRASKA
Nebraska is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
***Nebraska is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas
***Nebraska is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas


After all is said and done, I think Callahan will call a conservative but slightly more aggressive game than against USC, and Cosgrove will be very aggressive with the Blitzes. My score prediction is:

NU: 21 UT:28


That said, I'm not going to bet on the game. I will NEVER bet against my Huskers!!!!!!!

[BoKnows]

Originally posted by hodown
the difference is that the game is being played in lincoln. i put some stock into homefield advantage but not much.

In CFB you should!HF is a huge factor especially at the big schools with huge crowds as they carry the momentum/emotion when a team is doing well. See my tigers vs UF that place was deafining in the second half the gators did not know which way was up and did not have a chance as the 12th man was all over em. As for this game if Neb gets a lead or is keeping it close in the 2nd half I believe they pull the ATS win!:prtytme:

[hodown]

ya i saw the game and im not saying homefield isnt an advantage. my thoughts are that emotion wont last over the entire length of a game. if texas can limit turnovers and control the line of scrimmage on def, ill like my chances.