***UDoggies NCAA Week 7***

[Underdog88]

Profitable week 6, hoping to continue with.....




Rutgers+106

Hawaii-4-105

Mizzou-2-105

Terps-4.5-109

Ohio St.-14.5-105

Oregon St. +9.5-109

Michigan-6-106

Tulane+13.5-109

W. Mich+121

Wake+154


2 units each


5 faves, 5 dogs.....Looking into possible moneyline plays on Colorado St, Army, Marshall, Toledo.....Bol to all :gulp:


NCAA 62-51 (+$2426)

Dog ml 14-20 (+$496)

[FlyersFan]

Udoggiedog- GL!......AFA has to be in a bad spot coming off that Navy game they wanted so bad and only 3 days to prepare for CSU, another huge rival. CSU is 20-4-1 ATS as a dog in conference play L25. Love OSU this week...that can name that score. Surprised you're not on PSU this week being a dog player. I thought that was one of the better dogs on the board. I saw them play live and they have a great run defense. Weather is supposed to be shitty and Manningham, their deep threat, is out. PSU also has a great record as a home dog (can't remember the exact numbers). FRESST is 0-22 ATS when the lose SU in conference play, so go 'Bows....OREST is 2-10 ATS as on the road lately.....just some trends for ya...GL!...have a stellar week...:thumbs:

[williwonka05]

u doggie

[joepa66]

GL to ya UDoggie....love the Mizzou Tigers

[acefrehley24]

BOL UDoggie!!!



:thumbs:

[TheBeholdah]

gl udog, glad to see u on hawaii and ohio state:thumbs:

[Underdog88]

Thanks FF, Willi, JoePa, Ace & Beholdah :thumbs:

FF- Thx for the trends.... When I look at a dog of 7 or less pts, I have to believe they win the game to play them...just too many question marks for PSU IMO. They are 0-7 vs Michigan since 97. They have too much trouble finding the endzone, & on the other side Michigan is 86% in the redzone. Despite a solid game vs Minny, I'm still not sold on Morelli, who has 6 tds & 5 ints this year...Wolverines have only lost 1 fumble & have recovered 7, PSU 9 fumbles 6 lost...Michigan gonna have to stop Hunt to cover the #. Manningham a big loss no doubt, but IMO Breaston & Arrington step up & make plays for Henne. From the PSU games I watched, it seems to me the secondary has trouble tackling...

[MtXeer]

BOL Udog :thumbs:

[Underdog88]

Thx MtXeer:thumbs:


CSU+6.5-105

CSU+224

Clemson-44-110


1 unit each


Lean towards BC....can anyone tell me why VT is favored? They lost to GT & haven't really played anyone else, while BC beat both BYU & Clemson @ home. Clowney & Hyman out, & BC can stop the run...

[tdawgmd]

and the public is all over VT--love BC in this spot at home getting points. 70% leaning on VT with no line movement--vegas is begging you to take VT. Will be a close game with BC winning in the end.

[Pow]

Originally posted by Underdog88
Thx MtXeer:thumbs:


CSU+6.5-105

CSU+224

Clemson-44-110


1 unit each


Lean towards BC....can anyone tell me why VT is favored? They lost to GT & haven't really played anyone else, while BC beat both BYU & Clemson @ home. Clowney & Hyman out, & BC can stop the run...

thank god somebody agrees with me on all 3 of these picks

[Underdog88]

VT 10-1 ats last 11 on Thurday games

that # is tough to go against...don't think I'll play this one, I can see BC winning a close one, but every game they play goes down to the wire....I'd rather sit back & watch that one...

[Underdog88]

BC kicker is suspended for this game for fighting.....Steve Aponavicius will replace him.....he's playing his first game & is a walk on sophmore....could play a part tonight given BC's recent games, & how close they have been.


BC ml is sitting at +126 & isn't moving, but I have a feeling it may jump before gametime...if it got over +150 I would have to consider it...right now there just isn't enough value to risk it IMO

[birdsfan5]

GL Underdog

[Underdog88]

Thanks Birdsfan, GL to you as well. adding....

Clemson-10.5 1stq-140
Colorado St+6.5-110

$100 to win $224


With the exception of Wake last week, Clemson has grabbed an early lead in every game this year. Clemson's 1st quarter scores at home this year......

10-0 vs. FIU

21-0 vs NC

10-0 vs L.Tech

Temple led after the first quarter last week vs Kent, for the first time this year..that was at home. Vandy led by 10, Louisville by 14 & Minny led by 28 vs Temple....vs Buffalo & W Mich the 1stq was scoreless. I didn't want to pay the juice (especially because it still leaves the hook out there) so I parlayed...hoping for a quick 2 TD lead :thumbs:

[shorts]

GL Udoggie! How about 3 touchdown lead in the first quarter... Sounds good to me... BOL!

[Pow]

Originally posted by Underdog88
VT 10-1 ats last 11 on Thurday games

that # is tough to go against...don't think I'll play this one, I can see BC winning a close one, but every game they play goes down to the wire....I'd rather sit back & watch that one...

think about who was playing for them before....

they're not the team of old...


GL

[Underdog88]

I agree POW, was leaning BC but didn't like the fact that they have trouble pulling away in a game....Clemson 21-3 1stq....hopefully Colorado St can keep it up :thumbs:

[Underdog88]

AF/CSU o22.5 2ndh-112

1 unit


Kind of a hedge on the CSU ml....Up by 18, if they blow it the game goes over :thumbs:

[Underdog88]

Originally posted by Underdog88
AF/CSU o22.5 2ndh-112

1 unit


Kind of a hedge on the CSU ml....Up by 18, if they blow it the game goes over :thumbs:


The dumbest play ever. F**king middled myself...was orginally gonna hedge a half unit on AF ml-18 2ndh @ +520 or so but I opted for the total thinking CSU could at least put up a fg :bang:

Rule #1 with dog moneylines....Always take the free money.

Luckily they managed to cover, so the parlay hit...3-2 +$212

[DJTranks]

GL U-Dogg!!

[bigbag12]

GL UD!!!

[Pow]

nice plays last night

[Stifler's Mom]

I agree with Flyers that PSU is one of, if not the strongest dog on the board this week.

As far as the 0-7 SU last 7 vs Michigan, well, PSU pretty much stank up until last year. Last year they went into the big house and lost (but covered as a +3.5 dog), but more importantly dominated that game physically. They were unable to put it away though, and gave it up at the end.

Not the same PSU team as last year obviously, as they lost some key players to graduation/NFL, but it's not like they're throwing a ton of freshman out there this year either....alot have returned from last year's team, which brings me to...

Revenge. UM ruined PSU's perfect season last year. PSU would sure like to return the favor I'm sure.

Possible Michigan let down. They just got done avenging 3 losses from last year (ND, Wisky, Minny), and then beat big time rival Michigan St last week.

PSU could be up, and UM a bit down?? Not the only reason I like the play, but it can't possibly hurt.

I actually liked this play alot before they announced Manningham was out, and now I like it even more. PSU can stop the ground game, and one less playmaker (the biggest playmaker Michigan has had by far) isn't going to help matters if they gotta throw.

Morelli should feel more comfortable at home too, which can only help with a relatively inexperienced QB.

In any case, GL...one of us will win that one, lol

[Pow]

the line has moved favorably towards michigan too, with 81% of the public being on them...

GL

[JPix]

GL Underdog. Like Hawaii, Ohio St., Mich and the Western side, and Wake............... I like them all.:thumbs:

[NittanyLions94]

PSU is having a ton of trouble converting period not just getting in the endzone. They still can't figure out how to get the ball from the longsnapper's hand's to the kicker's foot effectively. Lloyd Carr(and some crafty officiating) seems to have us figured out too, so I'm laying off PSU this week too, despite the aura of Beaver Stadium at 8 PM. BOL this week U-Dog :thumbs:

[Underdog88]

Thanks guys......just got home from the Sabres game to find cable & the internet working (Buffalo is upside-down right now from a pretty bad storm). I'm lucky, as 300,000 are without power at all....

Guys, I agree that the line movement is fishy in the PSU/Mich. game...had I not locked in the play early in the week, I probably would have left it alone. Honestly I'll gladly take the loss there as long as Tulane covers....got a big longshot parlay pending on them. 6-2 with Mich & Tulane pending- Oregon State a su winner, Wake & WMich cash on the ml:thumbs:

[MtXeer]

BOL Udog :thumbs:

Watching the news it looks like a pretty big mess up there.
Pretty weird stuff.
It happened here last yr, even around the same time.
Wishing everyone the best
Take care

[JPix]

Underdog nice call on the ML, keep it up.:thumbs:

[Underdog88]

Thanks guys....Tulane loses the cover by 1/2.....a pick @ UTEP's 8 yd line, stopped on 4th down at the 11.....coulda shoulda woulda. 4-3 straight +$154, 3-0 dog ML +$762 :thumbs:

[Underdog88]

Sunday play.....

Boise/NMex St u62+100

2 units


Aggies have a good passing attack, but vs Boise? Like this one to squeek under, as long as the Aggies can make a couple stops lol :thumbs: