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MParris86
10-09-2006, 03:52 PM
Ok, its been just horrible for me the past three weeks. I'm only going to play three games this week.

California -7 at Washington State (2.5 units) WON

The Bears continue to roll on behind their high-powered offense. They steam-rolled Oregon last weekend by 21. Cal has scored 40 or more points in each of their last five games and have won by an average of 25.6 points over that stretch.

The running game and passing game for the Bears are complementing each other nicely. QB Nate Longshore has completed 65% of his passes and has 17 TDs, while Marshawn Lynch and Justin Forsett have both been outstanding ball carriers. Lynch sprained his ankle last weekend against Oregon and Forsett came in and ran for 163 yards.

Washington State comes in 4-2, but wins against Idaho, Baylor, Stanford and Oregon State aren't impressive. The reason I think this line is low is because Wazzou took USC to the limit at home a couple weeks ago. Thats fine, but Cal and USC are teams with contrasting momentum. Cal is on fire and has regained its confidence, while USC has been out-of-sync. Cal has too much offensive firepower thats currently clicking on all cylinders.

Prediction: California 38 Washington State 20



Georgia -13 vs. Vanderbilt (2.5 units) LOSS

Georgia is back at home again this week after throwing the game away down the stretch against Tennessee. They played a great first half then self-destructed in the second. Give Tennessee credit as they are a good team with a solid offense. But Georgia is better than that second half debacle. Most encouraging for the Dawgs is that the offense looked alot better with Tereshinski at the helm.

I think Vandy becomes the punching bag for Georgia to take out their frustrations. The Georgia defense needs to prove last weekend was an abberation and that they still are elite. Tereshinski and the offense need to continue to establish momentum after putting up some good yardage/pts against the Vols.

Vandy comes in following a loss to lowly Ole Miss. The Commodores (2-4, 0-3 SEC) turned the ball over six times and was dominated in the kicking game. They missed a pair of field goals, fumbled a punt return and took a sack by the punter that led to an Ole Miss touchdown.

Vandy quarterback Chris Nickson was lost to an ankle injury late in the first half and did not return. Nickson was 11-of-13 for 95 yards and directed the Commodores to their only touchdown. His absence could be a big void against Georgia.

Georgia has beaten Vandy each of the last four years by 17 points or more. Last season was the closest since 2002, with Georgia winning 34-17. I'll ride that trend.

Prediction: Georgia 31 Vanderbilt 13



Hawaii -5.5 at Fresno State (2.5 units) WON

Hawaii (3-2) has a potent offense that is ranked second in the country, amassing 516 yards per game. Colt Brennan has already thrown for 1862 yards and 18 touchdowns, with only 5 INT.

Fresno State (1-4) has lost four straight games after opening the season with a win. They have a mediocre pass defense. They don't give up a ton of yards, but they have allowed 9 touchdown passes on the year and have yet to record an interception.

Fresno is hitting the skids after losing last week to lowly Utah State. Utah State has one of the worst offenses in the country, now they get to face one of the best. Fresno's offense won't be able to go toe-to-toe with Hawaii, so if they get down early its going to be too hard to climb out of the hole. Hawaii can play on the mainland this year and almost won on the the smurf turf earlier this year. I'll take em by less than a TD.

Prediction: Hawaii 35 Fresno 24



Thats all for this week. No more adds, teasers, parlays, etc. Its back to square one for me. Good luck to everyone this week. :thumbs:

williwonka05
10-09-2006, 04:18 PM
MParris

FlyersFan
10-09-2006, 04:25 PM
MP- GL!.....still about 8 weeks left so plenty of time....i did the same thing last week by losing 4 of 6 late adds to ruin a good day (beermantm wouldn't approve but i did recoup most of it by loading up on CAL...lol).....really would be surprised to see HAW not win by at least 7 at FRESST. Their QB is just awful right now. GL!....:thumbs:

joepa66
10-09-2006, 04:36 PM
BOL Tightend.....really like the Bows:thumbs:
Can't wait to see the rest of 'em....

MParris86
10-09-2006, 04:56 PM
Thanks fellas, best of luck this week.

Its strange, but I just can't seem to break my funk...I thought I capped that 7ot game between FIU and N. Texas game well (FIU won statistically) but couldn't get the job done.....How the hell does one team have a 17-play drive in a college overtime yet only amass 23 yards that results in a FG? :puke: Same thing with Illinois/Indiana...Illini up 22-7 after the first quarter then fold like a cheap tent....:bang:

I think my biggest problem, however, is that I'm playing too many games and also getting dumb by playing teasers and parlays the past few weeks on the side to try to recoup some of my losses by hitting a big one. Yeah, its stupid and my $ is going :flush:

That all being said, I'm gonna stick to 3 or 4 games only for a while. I like my three for this week. Hopefully I get back on track.

Best of luck everybody!

Jmoney24
10-09-2006, 05:34 PM
Great picks Mparris..heres to 3-0:yeah: :gulp:

AuTiger20
10-09-2006, 06:02 PM
On my first look, I loved Hawai and Cal. BOL on the rest.. keep the winners coming.

TheBeholdah
10-09-2006, 06:39 PM
gl parris! like all of them. uga showed they can score now and the defense was embarrassed last week. also, im going big on hawaii so ill be right there with ya. fresno is in bad spot there.

brvannoy
10-10-2006, 02:06 AM
Riding CAL to the BANK!!!!! :yeah: :yeah: :yeah:

MParris86
10-10-2006, 09:37 AM
Thanks guys....Kick the man squarely in the gonads this week.

:cross:

SDSurfn
10-10-2006, 11:49 AM
Cal is a GREAT pic MParris. The Cal team that lost to Tennessee doesn't exist anymore.

Cal rolls over Wazzou.



Good luck with Georgia. Personally, I wouldn't go near 'em with a ten foot pole.

Georgia Bulldog football makes me throw up a little in my mouth.

Waldo
10-10-2006, 12:15 PM
I think my biggest problem, however, is that I'm playing too many games and also getting dumb by playing teasers and parlays the past few weeks on the side to try to recoup some of my losses by


Somehow, it's reassuring to hear that I'm not the only one guilty of this type of sadism. I had a bad weekend, but that should have only been cutting into my solid winnings. Instead, all of my plus units have been gobbled up by stupid parlays and by playing too many games.

I'm playing 5 this week, MP. And, I fully respect the minimalist approach for the foreseeable future.

GL!

MParris86
10-10-2006, 02:07 PM
Good to hear Im not the only one Waldo...Perhaps we should go into rehab together....:surrend:

J/K...best of luck to you this weekend. Hope we get back on track!

The War Dogs
10-10-2006, 10:13 PM
Hang in there Parris!

birdsfan5
10-10-2006, 11:51 PM
GL MParris

ming the merciless
10-11-2006, 02:00 AM
I too am guilty of the same, got railroaded by freakin Minny in nfl with that last minute turnover for TD.

DJTranks
10-11-2006, 08:25 AM
GL!!

acefrehley24
10-11-2006, 09:56 AM
Love Cal this week MP!


BOL to ya!!


:thumbs:

Pow
10-11-2006, 01:02 PM
bought cal down to -5 just in case...


im sick of losing by a point or two...


gl!

supe12
10-13-2006, 12:02 AM
You're be alright MP:thumbs:
Been tailing you and somehow I did ok, so hang in there.
I got screwed on a couple of teasers by 1 and 1/2 points as well, oh well, that's way they're teases.:beer2:
Let's get em this weekend and punch where it hurts most thereafter. GL.

shorts
10-13-2006, 09:17 AM
Like the Cal play MP! Gonna be on that one too!

I think you'll find that a lot of us are guilty of the same disorder! LMAO!! Id go to rehab but I bet someone I wouldn't make the meetings! LMFAO!!

BOL to ya MP!

VolinArizona
10-14-2006, 11:16 AM
GL today

MParris86
10-14-2006, 03:15 PM
Georgia makes me want to :puke:


:bang:

AuTiger20
10-14-2006, 04:48 PM
Hang Tight, 2 outta 3 ain't bad. I am with ya on the other 2 so lets roll.

MParris86
10-15-2006, 02:32 AM
You're right AuTiger, 2 out of 3 isn't bad, which is exactly how the night went. 2-1 for the day. Easy wins with Cal and Hawaii. I guess I'll take it. :thumbs: