War Dogs Week 6 NCAA Football

[The War Dogs]

Season: 19-16

Tuesday: Southern Mississippi +5.5 (bought .5) (LOSS)

I'm gonna take a chance I'm on the right side of this and take it now and buy a hook for good measure. Majority on the other side yet line movement down on a road dog. I will take that. I'll do some form of a write-up tommorrow.

[The War Dogs]

Line movement continues now at +4.5 so I'm feeling ok on this one. I see a lot of people on Tulsa which I actually like to see. Navy was Tulsa's only real opponent and I certainly give them credit for the win as 4 point dogs. But their other three games were vs. North Texas, SF Austin, and BYU. As 5.5 dogs vs. BYU they got blown away 49-24. Southern Miss has played better competition IMO, giving up on average 4 less points per game and nearly matching the scoring output (again, against better competition) of Tulsa. SM returns 8 starters on the offensive side that averaged 30 points a game last year, they have a better run game and a better defense against the run than Tulsa. This is a fairly solid team with a decent defense, that held Florida to 34 points, with one weakness in this game being a brand new QB.

Last year Southern Miss. were 12 point dogs at home, this year they are 5 point dogs on the road? And they got beat bad last year, so I think real analysis considers that SM is improved big time and they should also be looking for revenge. SM's game plan should be to wear Tulsa's D down running the ball non-stop, I would even bring in/platoon 2nd string backs and just literally wear Tulsa out and pass only strategically to keep them honest. Tulsa may very well be a better team but this line and the line movement tells me Southern Miss is the play.

Best of luck to everyone.

[JoshKnows46]

Bol War dogs....So. Miss:yeah:

I third the Southern Miss

[birdsfan5]

GL WD with you tonight:gulp:

[The War Dogs]

Adding:

Wednesday: Marshall-Central Florida UNDER 44 (LOSS)

[The War Dogs]

Adding:

TCU +3 (-115) (LOSS)

Crazy line movement with TCU QB's injury and I think a RB situation also. Yet both are expected to play. This game started with TCU favored on the road, and I think they were favored for a reason, they are a much better team. This line has already moved to 2.5 in some places. Playing better competition TCU has allowed just 45.8 ypg? That doesn't even seem right but checked in two places and it's true. Utah gives up 121 on average. TCU suffered a bad loss to BYU last game, they didn't show up at all so this is a great bounce-back situation for them. Utah last game only scored 3 points vs. Boise St. Wow. Last year TCU dominated the league with an outrageous TO margin in their favor and they seem to be doing well again, and in this matchup Utah is losing the ball more than twice a game on average while TCU almost not at all. As we've seen with these weekday games of interesting second tier Division I teams, mistakes are critical to the outcome to say the least. I don't understand the line and obviously could be missing something here and some sharp or syndicate might be on the other side like stink on a monkey but I'm goin this way, even with a small majority of the public on the same side. I just see a defensive advantage, a slight advantage offensively by the numbers playing better competition, and a mad 11-1 team from last year looking to wipe last weeks game from their memory. I'll take the three, and I think this will be less by game time, but I think TCU wins the game.

[Underdog88]

GL tonight WD, I agree :gulp:

[Rothko1000]

GL Dogs! :thumbs:

[The War Dogs]

Adding:

North Carolina St. +10 (bought .5) (WIN)

Well what am I supposed to do, majority on the other side and the line dropping on the dog, and at home. NC St. certainly has the ability to play with this team, although they've had games where they haven't shown up, but they will be up for this one. I really think Florida St. gets a lot of perception points in this one, but they don't score enough to warrent a line like this. Just on average they have won 13-10 on the road while NC State has averaged a 19-15 win at home. I'm not sure how useful that kind of look is but I saw it and so I'm typin it down. This line will continue to drop IMO and the under will probably hit as well, just outrageous numbers on these guys to go under but I can't stand playin 'em and last night last second field goal turns me off.

[MKINDSFATHER]

Love Tcu pick. QB Ballard will play tonight. Rb i think is out.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

GL :thumbs:

[The War Dogs]

Adding:

Louisville-MTSU UNDER 54 (-115) (LOSS)

Sorry for the last minute but just couldn't decide.

[The War Dogs]

Adding:

Louisville vs. Middle Tenn St Over 26 (-130) (WIN)

[The War Dogs]

Addiing:

Kansas +2 (Tailing X)
Wisconsin -21 (Tailing Joepa)
Oklahoma +4 (Tailing X)
Oregon +5 (forgot who I was tailing)

[birdsfan5]

GL WD

[The War Dogs]

Season: 22-23