VIA's Betting Conquest 9/28-9/30

[VolinArizona]

YTD: 24-15-2

Tennessee (-13) @ Memphis

Kansas State (+2.5) @ Baylor

Ohio State (-7.5) @ Iowa

Toledo (+14) @ Pittsburgh

BYU @ TCU (-5) LOSS

Will be adding more.

[williwonka05]

Ur the second TOLEDO play i've seen already.. VERY VERY INTERESTING


Pitt is not that good that if for sure... Toledo has impressed me after almost knocking off Iowa St on the road and beating Kansas. If they can play with those two they can play with the 4th best team in the Big East ...

I like the play myself good luck... Solid Start to your season too .. Keep up the good work

[joepa66]

BOL to ya VOL...I have that UT, er, that's Toledo game circled as well. I think they can keep it closer than Cincy and possibly pull off the W. :thumbs:

[JoshKnows46]

Gl Volinarizona:gulp:

[birdsfan5]

GL Vol

[DJTranks]

GL!!!

[duffy]

I was wondering your thoughts on this game and why you like tcu.Thanks alot and good luck this week

[MParris86]

Best of luck, love the KSU play. Should be favored here. :thumbs:

[VolinArizona]

Originally posted by duffy
I was wondering your thoughts on this game and why you like tcu.Thanks alot and good luck this week

I will do a writeup later today when I'm on a faster PC. Work sucks. :)

BOL to everyone and thanks for the kind words in this thread.

[Pow]

with you on tenny...


gl

[VolinArizona]

BYU @ TCU (-5)

First, I have 4 sets of power rankings that I reference to start my process each week. All 4 predict TCU to cover the 5, with an average margin of victory over BYU of 11 points. So, take away TCU's very good home field advantage, and TCU is still a TD better than BYU on talent alone.

Of course, this isn't enough for me to make a wager. BYU has looked good so far this season, but regardless, they haven't found ways to win. At Boston College, they scored well, but couldn't quite pull that out. At Arizona in Week 1, they didn't score well but their D played well against a poor Arizona offense. I truly put no stock in how much they beat Utah State by, as Utah State would lose to some high school teams. BYU played very well against a decent Tulsa team. John Beck is freaking good, but this will be the best defense they have faced thus far. Yes, better than Arizona, and far better than BC.

TCU led the country last season in INTs with 26. They did lose 3 of their 5 starting defensive backs (they run a 4-2-5), but the 3 new starters ARE ALL SENIORS. The secondary might not rank in the top 10 in pass efficiency again, but will still be very good. Are they good enough to keep Beck in check? Somewhat. However, the KEY to this game will be how well HC Patterson and DC Bumpas scheme. BYU has 2 very talented and big offensive tackles, which will negate the incredible DEs that TCU has.

What will Bumpas do? He will probably incorporate more stunts on his defensive line. If you don't know what that is, its a type of rush where the two interior tackles rush out, and the two DEs curl inside and attack the guards and center. Well, TCU's two starting DEs are BOTH 1st Team All MWC and are incredible.

So, Ortiz and Blake (TCU DEs) curl AWAY from the two senior OTs that BYU has (Kuresa 6'4" 339 and Keele 6'5" 312) and attack the line of scrimmage inside against three SOPHOMORES! This will still generate good pressure from TCU's front, allowing their secondary time to make up for any coverage problems early in routes. When Ortiz and Blake tire, TCU brings in 2 bigger ends in Newby and Retkofsky who are ... you guessed it ... seniors.

Okay, so thats a lot for just the line, right? Correct, but its key.

Sure, TCU most likely won't have Merrill or Hobbs at tailback, but Aaron Brown is good and FAR more than capable. QB Ballard is also 11-0 as a starter.

John Beck will play, but his ankle isn't 100%.

TCU has a bye week before this game, so expect a great gameplan.

TCU's 2 starting LBs are only sophomores ... BUT they both started last season as freshmen and LED THE TEAM IN TACKLES!!!

BYU should be able to keep TCU's offense in check, but remember that BYU is starting 2 redshirt freshmen at DE and one of the OLB's is a new starting sophomore. What does that mean? RB Brown (TCU) can get to the outside on runs more AND he's also TCU's leading receiver. Expect a lot of routes to the strongside flat to take advantage of the mismatch against OLB David Nixon.

In the end, TCU has more talent at some positions, and can make up for any mismatches with simple gameplanning.

Prediction: BYU 17, TCU 27

[Pow]

i may be convinced...


tell me more...


hahahah

[VolinArizona]

Added:

Navy (+3) @ Connecticut

Oregon (-1) @ Arizona State

Louisiana Tech (+34') @ Clemson

[I Bleed Black&Gold]

VERY good research into this matchup im in Utah & all the talk is on the Boise/Ute game feel BYU is much better at home then on the road (Arizona)
TCU should cover this spread at home & with the Aubie line going up to -14.5 taking that $ & adding it to the wager i already had on TCU I dont belive in luck so I wont wish any upon you hard work should be rewarded but you know the kids in the NCAA
anything can happen Go Horned Frogs

[I Bleed Black&Gold]

Adding i luv the Ducks play Quack Quack hope they send the same set of officials from the Sooners game