Waldo
09-25-2006, 09:32 AM
Week 4 Record 9-2
YTD Record 36-19
UL Monroe -13.5 vs. FAU -
ULM has put together some decent stretches of football. QB Lancaster threw for more than 300 against Kansas, but was not productive against Bama's secondary. Against FAU, the ULM offense should look 10 times better than they really are. FAU has given up ass to every opponent, while failing to score in double digits even once. Look FAU to finally reach 10, but expect ULM to score in the 30s.
Navy +3 @ UConn -
I think the wrong team is favored. UConn's first game (vs. Rhode Island) inflates their performance rankings. Despite the win vs. Indiana last week, the UConn offense was horrible. Navy drilled Stanford on the road, and then lost to Tulsa in OT. They've held down some decent offenses while proving they can move the ball. Navy wins by single digits.
New Mexico +10.5 @ Airforce
One rule I go by is to not get too excited about Airforce when they play a non-conference opponent tougher than expecter (Tennessee). There aren't many option attacks left in D1, and BCS teams only face them when they play the little guys. UNM, on the other hand, sees this offense every year and have covered 7 of the last 11 in the series. They're 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference road games. Airforce may win, but this game should go down to the wire. Check the ML when it comes out, and jump on 3-1 or better.
Rutgers -4 @ S Florida
YTD Record 36-19
UL Monroe -13.5 vs. FAU -
ULM has put together some decent stretches of football. QB Lancaster threw for more than 300 against Kansas, but was not productive against Bama's secondary. Against FAU, the ULM offense should look 10 times better than they really are. FAU has given up ass to every opponent, while failing to score in double digits even once. Look FAU to finally reach 10, but expect ULM to score in the 30s.
Navy +3 @ UConn -
I think the wrong team is favored. UConn's first game (vs. Rhode Island) inflates their performance rankings. Despite the win vs. Indiana last week, the UConn offense was horrible. Navy drilled Stanford on the road, and then lost to Tulsa in OT. They've held down some decent offenses while proving they can move the ball. Navy wins by single digits.
New Mexico +10.5 @ Airforce
One rule I go by is to not get too excited about Airforce when they play a non-conference opponent tougher than expecter (Tennessee). There aren't many option attacks left in D1, and BCS teams only face them when they play the little guys. UNM, on the other hand, sees this offense every year and have covered 7 of the last 11 in the series. They're 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference road games. Airforce may win, but this game should go down to the wire. Check the ML when it comes out, and jump on 3-1 or better.
Rutgers -4 @ S Florida