Zgoody
09-15-2006, 09:54 AM
NCAA YTD: 17-15 (-.5 units)
Nice hit last nite with the Mountaineers rolling again...was sweating the back door cover after the the tipped TD catch late in the 4th but snuck away with a nice win to start off the week.
Let's keep it going tonight! Need a big week to get back on the plus side after last week! (OUCH!)
Liking the home favorite again tonight...
Kansas @ Toledo (-3 1/2)
1. KANS gave up 377 passing yards at home last week vs. Louisiana-Monroe in winning by 2 points, 21-19 as a 24.5 point favorite. TOL has averaged 292.2 passing yds./game in their first 2 games, both on the road where they nearly upset IOWA ST in 3OT as 8.5 pt. underdogs. TOL suffered a big letdown last week on the road at W.MICH, losing 31-10 as 10 pt. favs, but were (-4) in turnover differential which was a major reason why…
2. TOL is 17-6 ATS in their last 23 home games
3. KANS are 16-36 ATS in their last 52 road games
4. MAC teams like TOL play week night games almost as often as they do on Saturday – five of the Rockets` 12 games this year are on school nights – while Big 12 squads such as KANS are accustomed to suiting up only on Saturday. The short week should definitely favor the home team...
5. TOL is 34-2 SU and 22-10 ATS playing at their home stadium, the Glass Bowl since 1999, while KANS is 3-17 SU (9-11 ATS) on the road since Mark Mangino took over the team.
This number has been dropping all week, but I don't see it going lower...think I will buy the hook here, just in case!
Toledo -3 (-120) 1 Unit WIN
Home Favs under the weeknight lights have been good to me over the last couple years...let's hope that trend continues!
Nice hit last nite with the Mountaineers rolling again...was sweating the back door cover after the the tipped TD catch late in the 4th but snuck away with a nice win to start off the week.
Let's keep it going tonight! Need a big week to get back on the plus side after last week! (OUCH!)
Liking the home favorite again tonight...
Kansas @ Toledo (-3 1/2)
1. KANS gave up 377 passing yards at home last week vs. Louisiana-Monroe in winning by 2 points, 21-19 as a 24.5 point favorite. TOL has averaged 292.2 passing yds./game in their first 2 games, both on the road where they nearly upset IOWA ST in 3OT as 8.5 pt. underdogs. TOL suffered a big letdown last week on the road at W.MICH, losing 31-10 as 10 pt. favs, but were (-4) in turnover differential which was a major reason why…
2. TOL is 17-6 ATS in their last 23 home games
3. KANS are 16-36 ATS in their last 52 road games
4. MAC teams like TOL play week night games almost as often as they do on Saturday – five of the Rockets` 12 games this year are on school nights – while Big 12 squads such as KANS are accustomed to suiting up only on Saturday. The short week should definitely favor the home team...
5. TOL is 34-2 SU and 22-10 ATS playing at their home stadium, the Glass Bowl since 1999, while KANS is 3-17 SU (9-11 ATS) on the road since Mark Mangino took over the team.
This number has been dropping all week, but I don't see it going lower...think I will buy the hook here, just in case!
Toledo -3 (-120) 1 Unit WIN
Home Favs under the weeknight lights have been good to me over the last couple years...let's hope that trend continues!