Stifler's Mom
07-07-2006, 06:32 PM
First Half 362-437 (-79.58 units)
Second Half 21-16 (+12.68 units)
Total 383-453 (-66.90 units)
Tampon Bay +134
They beat up on Boston, who has far better pitching than the Yanks and just as much offense. Seo is no Cy Young candidate, but there's no reason for me to think this isn't a strong dog tonight against a really shitty Yankees pitcher and a really up and down team half comprised of replacement players.
Pittsburgh +160
Their road woes are well documented, but I am getting probably the better team here at a big dog price. Go ahead and laugh, but the I watch alot of Pirates games, and I think they are a better all around team than the Phils. In addition, I get to fade a pitcher coming off the DL, who sucked ass before going on it. No reason for me to think sitting out for over a month did Lieber any good what so ever.
Florida -130
This seeming low line looks trappy...and I considered avoiding it. But then I asked myself, would you play the Mets with Lima starting? The answer was hell no, so I'll take my chances. If Lima doesn't last, we all saw how poor the Mets "long relief" was in that game against Pittsburgh 4 days ago....so it's not like they have anyone dependable to bring in to stop the bleeding should Lima falter.
In reality, how much could they really favor Florida by at the Mets and expect any action on them? The Mets aren't playing that great the last few weeks either, and Randolph is sitting one of his all stars each night. Last night was Beltran. Tonight maybe David Wright? Delgado? Is he even going? LOL, I think he is....but I don't really keep close track of who goes to the all star game cause it's a popularity contest and a joke really, but it would make sense sitting the left handed batter against Willis.
Braves -139
Wow. A hot offense going against a bad pitcher in Milton, and then the worst bullpen in baseball. Ramirez has impressed recently. Hoepfully Sosa has menstrual cramps tonight or something and can't pitch if it's close. IMO this line is low just because of the threat of the Reds busting out 10 runs with their good offense. I think it should be more like -170.
KC +180
Has anyone but me noticed that KC is one of the hottest teams in baseball? They're 13-6 in their last 19 games, including putting a halt to Minnesota's excellent run, and also taking that series from them. They could have swept Minny, as they had Santana beat, but their pen gave it up late. Burnett on the other hand is a career .500 pitcher with great stuff. Toronto hasn't been hitting either, and it appears KC can hit and score off of just about anyone right now. Another dumb line on KC cause everyone still thinks they suck.
SF -106
I'm not a huge fan of playing on SF, and will probably get burned on this one, but Billingsley is bad. His control is poor, and he gets himself into trouble with walks, which 9 times out of 10 leads to disaster. Maybe if Billingsley struggles, they'll being in Odalis Perez or someone. He's been great. Not, LOL....
Dodgers won a bunch at home recently cause they were playing Pittsburgh and the D'Bags. After a rocky start, Morris on the other hand has done quite well since "settling in" for SF, and I can't ignore the apparent pitching mismatch tonight.
2 units each
Will also probably play on Seattle later. I'd just be fading the easy winner of the night. It appears Detroit should crush Seattle in that match up, yet the line opened pretty low. Don't like to back teams with geeks like Pineiro pitching all that much though, so I'm still undecided.
Second Half 21-16 (+12.68 units)
Total 383-453 (-66.90 units)
Tampon Bay +134
They beat up on Boston, who has far better pitching than the Yanks and just as much offense. Seo is no Cy Young candidate, but there's no reason for me to think this isn't a strong dog tonight against a really shitty Yankees pitcher and a really up and down team half comprised of replacement players.
Pittsburgh +160
Their road woes are well documented, but I am getting probably the better team here at a big dog price. Go ahead and laugh, but the I watch alot of Pirates games, and I think they are a better all around team than the Phils. In addition, I get to fade a pitcher coming off the DL, who sucked ass before going on it. No reason for me to think sitting out for over a month did Lieber any good what so ever.
Florida -130
This seeming low line looks trappy...and I considered avoiding it. But then I asked myself, would you play the Mets with Lima starting? The answer was hell no, so I'll take my chances. If Lima doesn't last, we all saw how poor the Mets "long relief" was in that game against Pittsburgh 4 days ago....so it's not like they have anyone dependable to bring in to stop the bleeding should Lima falter.
In reality, how much could they really favor Florida by at the Mets and expect any action on them? The Mets aren't playing that great the last few weeks either, and Randolph is sitting one of his all stars each night. Last night was Beltran. Tonight maybe David Wright? Delgado? Is he even going? LOL, I think he is....but I don't really keep close track of who goes to the all star game cause it's a popularity contest and a joke really, but it would make sense sitting the left handed batter against Willis.
Braves -139
Wow. A hot offense going against a bad pitcher in Milton, and then the worst bullpen in baseball. Ramirez has impressed recently. Hoepfully Sosa has menstrual cramps tonight or something and can't pitch if it's close. IMO this line is low just because of the threat of the Reds busting out 10 runs with their good offense. I think it should be more like -170.
KC +180
Has anyone but me noticed that KC is one of the hottest teams in baseball? They're 13-6 in their last 19 games, including putting a halt to Minnesota's excellent run, and also taking that series from them. They could have swept Minny, as they had Santana beat, but their pen gave it up late. Burnett on the other hand is a career .500 pitcher with great stuff. Toronto hasn't been hitting either, and it appears KC can hit and score off of just about anyone right now. Another dumb line on KC cause everyone still thinks they suck.
SF -106
I'm not a huge fan of playing on SF, and will probably get burned on this one, but Billingsley is bad. His control is poor, and he gets himself into trouble with walks, which 9 times out of 10 leads to disaster. Maybe if Billingsley struggles, they'll being in Odalis Perez or someone. He's been great. Not, LOL....
Dodgers won a bunch at home recently cause they were playing Pittsburgh and the D'Bags. After a rocky start, Morris on the other hand has done quite well since "settling in" for SF, and I can't ignore the apparent pitching mismatch tonight.
2 units each
Will also probably play on Seattle later. I'd just be fading the easy winner of the night. It appears Detroit should crush Seattle in that match up, yet the line opened pretty low. Don't like to back teams with geeks like Pineiro pitching all that much though, so I'm still undecided.