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TheBeholdah
03-19-2006, 02:03 AM
im stoppin the bleeding today

thought process:

ohio st vs gtown= lean to buckeyes but cant call it, should be a great game, vegas says buckeyes will win 63-61 and that seems very possible, considering doing a first half play on the buckeyes as the hoyas seem to have a habit of coming out sluggish and throwing up bricks, i could certainly see a few three point splashes by the buckeyes send them off to a hot start

nova vs zona= nova has home court advantage but the battle of the wildcats could be interesting and i dont like it from a betting standpoint, good game to watch and enjoy, the total jumped quickly from 140-144, any thoughts on that guys? smart money move it up?

NC STATE vs texas= really think nc state could pull it off, texas is loaded with talent but ive seen them struggle with weaker competition often, if nc state can hit some shots early i can see them playing with the lead, like getting 6 or more here

west v vs northwestern st= very impressive what nwestern did, if west v builds a lead like that they wont blow it but in respect for what nwestern st did im laying off this one

unc vs gmason= mason fucked me vs the spartans, even though the spartans sucked i wouldnt put it past them to pull off the shocker, i havent seen mason play too much and i dont wanna fall into any traps here

PITT vs bradley= bradley has some ballers on their squad and were very impressive vs kansas, but bradley hasnt faced a rugged team like pitt, krauser wont let them lose this one, i really could see a 73-56 type game where bradley struggles to score. i watched bradley play so ill in their conf tourny and bradley was so bothered by the salukis defense, they were taken completely out of the game and pitt plays the kinda tough d that it is capable of dominating, gonna lay the points and throw it in a 2 team value teaser, that would put this game under total, the total dropped form 136-132 very quickly

UCONN vs kentucky= went to the games friday night, saw uconn-albany game then stayed for the kentucky-uab game. the crowd was pulling hard for albany and uconn was playing terrible and were outplayed for 30 minutes. however in those last 10 minutes they COMPLETELY DOMINATED, went on a 30-2 run, i odnt know the exact number of the run but it was somethin like that. kentucky uab game was real boring. rondo was fun to watch, he is real talented, but they really arent that great a team. rondo wasnt looking to score enough, sparks looked terrible and will be overmatched vs uconns guards. morris will be a great player but doesnt assert himself enough. that dude Perry went off for 20+ but he wont do that again. personel wise this game is a mismatch. uconn plays sluggishly alot and its puzzling but after what happened friday vs albany i expect them to come out with a mentality of putting the young wildcats away quickly. i see a double digit win and will make a smaller type play laying all the points and will pair it with PITT in the value tease

memphis vs bucknell= gonna look nore into this one, talent wise memphis is superior but theres somethin aobut this bucknell team that scares me a lil.

good luck guys, imma post the final decisions 2marro.

yo hit me with some feedback on the games, i gotta melt my cold streak, also let me know what you think of the totals on the pitt and nova games, lines moved dramatically

FlyersFan
03-19-2006, 02:30 AM
b- GL!....i still think OSU has too many weapons for GT in the end. OSU rebounds the ball well and has a lot of quickness on the perimiter....GL!

Half-Man Half-Amazin
03-19-2006, 11:42 AM
I bet against OSU twice this yr against Mich ST and against Mich and got burned twice lol. They are really good, but what makes them dangerous is their 3-point attack, over 40% meaning even if they are down they can come back fast, but i see a 5-8 pt victory for the buckeyes

TheBeholdah
03-19-2006, 11:57 AM
***NC STATE+6 vs texas= see the outright popping off, my dolalr says they hit some threes 2day

***5 point tease

PITT-1 vs bradley
UCONN-4 vs kentucky

*ohio state-2 (bought 0.5 pt) vs g town

**PITT-6 vs bradley

CuseFan10
03-19-2006, 12:04 PM
GL B!

Stifler's Mom
03-19-2006, 12:09 PM
UNC/G Mason....Don't forget that UNC is young and inexperienced, much like Kansas and some other "powerhouses" that went down to senior laden "mid majors". I like G Mason there

Nova/UAZ....You're right, this is a home game for Nova, which explains the seemingly high spread. Probably won't be too many UAZ fans in attendance today. Plus UAZ is unpredictable and has a history of not travelling too well, especially cross country.

TheBeholdah
03-19-2006, 12:35 PM
wow did not want to have sweat out this pitt game but they are off to the worst start ive ever seen:bang: :bang:

TheBeholdah
03-19-2006, 07:12 PM
well this topped off the worst week of my gambling career,:flush: , ive gotta find a way to bounce back next week but i may hafta chill cuz shit is not goin my way right now, this is the first big losing week of my life, if any of you veterans got any encouraging words for me ill appreciate it

FlyersFan
03-19-2006, 09:39 PM
go back and look over all your losses....see how many bad plays you had and how many bad results you had. nothing you can do about a bad result, but if most of your losses were bad plays, then you need to adjust how you handicap these tourney games. Michigan State was a bad play.......especially to go big on. You expected them to do something different that they hadn't done for 30 games...play defense. A team's identity isn't going to change because they are in the tourney. Now Pacific was a bad loss. You had the right side for sure and got screwed for lack of a better term. The thing that really sucks about this board (and would be very helpful when things aren't going right) is that most people don't post their thoughts on a game...even a couple sentence writeup isn't too hard to do, especially when some have time to hang out on the boards all day...... They just say, MSU -4.....so you really can't check around to see why someone else might have been on GMason or why somebody likes a game. I always enjoy reading the thoughts of people that tell me why they like a side.....i might agree or disagree, but at least you have a thought process with a play. Keep plugging away and figure out where you went wrong....nothing you can do about bad luck, but plenty you can do about a bad handicap....:thumbs:

TheBeholdah
03-19-2006, 10:18 PM
thanks flyers, i really have to regroup, i know mich state was a bad call, that hurt but it was my fault, sd state and pacific were tough breaks, i had more of those than bad calls, but i certainly made some bad calls on nc state and mich state, pitt losing really boggles my mind but i guess it was a bad call cuz bradley was better than i tohught........ i gotta learn from this week and move foward. new week starts monday and i gotta put my self on the right side of something

and flyers ur right about how people just post the play and no write up, i dont see what the point of that is,flyers imma post a couple games i like 2marro, lemme know what you think of them