GameBreaker
02-11-2006, 11:55 AM
I'm making a smaller "entertainment" wager to finish off the year. Last week's Props turned out well so let's see about keeping it going with one more...
NFC +4
The spread has been set partly because of the AFC's dominance during the 2005 season and recent Pro Bowl results but that's not realistic. The Pro Bowl players are essentially equal so toss that out the window.
Part of the line is Peyton Manning but look at the new QB lineups we have (vote winners and injury replacements): The AFC has Manning, Green, and McNair (Palmer, Brady, Plummer are injured). The NFC has Hasselbeck, Delhomme, and Vick. Vick was 14 of 24 for 205 yards last year, Hasselbeck just lost the Super Bowl after having a terrific year, and Delhomme is playing for his own coach with Steve Smith to throw to. I won't be surprised if Manning and Green play well but over 4 quarters I think we have an edge. I like the idea of Delhomme coming in after Hasselbeck, being familiar with coach Fox's system, and the timing he'll have with WR Steve Smith.
The coaches are a wash to me, both are competitive guys and it's a new experience for them.
Don't be surprised when you watch the game and feel you're having a flashback to the Super Bowl. You could potentially have 6 Seahawks playing together on offense. This is the same team that just lost the Super Bowl in part because of mistakes so you might see a pretty solid effort for a Pro Bowl game. The NFC has been labelled as the weak Conference all year and last year they lost in spite of a good edge in numbers. In 2004-2005 (also as underdogs) they outgained the AFC 492-343 and led 26-15 in first downs.
So add it up and I can make a better case for the NFC and we're getting +4. Keep in mind it's an All-Star game so you can't count on effort. Because of that, this is just a small wager for entertainment but we do have a few potential edges. An outright NFC win won't shock me but I'll grab the points in case it's close.
GLTA
NFC +4
The spread has been set partly because of the AFC's dominance during the 2005 season and recent Pro Bowl results but that's not realistic. The Pro Bowl players are essentially equal so toss that out the window.
Part of the line is Peyton Manning but look at the new QB lineups we have (vote winners and injury replacements): The AFC has Manning, Green, and McNair (Palmer, Brady, Plummer are injured). The NFC has Hasselbeck, Delhomme, and Vick. Vick was 14 of 24 for 205 yards last year, Hasselbeck just lost the Super Bowl after having a terrific year, and Delhomme is playing for his own coach with Steve Smith to throw to. I won't be surprised if Manning and Green play well but over 4 quarters I think we have an edge. I like the idea of Delhomme coming in after Hasselbeck, being familiar with coach Fox's system, and the timing he'll have with WR Steve Smith.
The coaches are a wash to me, both are competitive guys and it's a new experience for them.
Don't be surprised when you watch the game and feel you're having a flashback to the Super Bowl. You could potentially have 6 Seahawks playing together on offense. This is the same team that just lost the Super Bowl in part because of mistakes so you might see a pretty solid effort for a Pro Bowl game. The NFC has been labelled as the weak Conference all year and last year they lost in spite of a good edge in numbers. In 2004-2005 (also as underdogs) they outgained the AFC 492-343 and led 26-15 in first downs.
So add it up and I can make a better case for the NFC and we're getting +4. Keep in mind it's an All-Star game so you can't count on effort. Because of that, this is just a small wager for entertainment but we do have a few potential edges. An outright NFC win won't shock me but I'll grab the points in case it's close.
GLTA