Stifler's Mom
12-16-2005, 10:22 PM
New England Patriots -4.5
LOL, I don't think I've played on the Pats in years, because they are just about always overpriced. I do like them in this situation. Why? Well, for a few reasons.
#1. I do not think the Bucs are all that good on offense. I have a hard time believing they are going to put up many points on a New England defense that is getting healthy, and has been lights out at home in late season games.
#2. The Brady led Patriots are like some obscene number and 0 in December home games....and December games period for that matter. They just don't lose in this situation, and I really do not believe Tampa Bay will win this game outright....and if they don't, I do not think they will cover either, as most dogs who lose the game do not.
#3. I believe the +4.5 points is strictly there to get some action on TB. At +3 or +3.5, they would get about none...although the lines are similar....and I believe if the oddsmakers believed TB had a shot to win this one, they would be comfortable with +3. The public is slightly on NE (59%), and what did they do? Move it to +5, which I think supports my point that they are trying to get some Tampa action to even things out.
Pats 31
Bucs 10
New York Giants -3 (+105)
I am still not sold on the Chiefs. Giants have been great run stoppers at home, and that is what the Chiefs do best. KC hasn't been the best defensive club either....and it's not hard to see that NY has the obvious defensive advantage in this game. Defense often wins games in December, and I like the Giants chances of winning this one. I also like that 63% are going for the + payout on the Chiefs ML.
Giants 28
Chiefs 24
Buffalo Bills +9
Moulds is back this week after being suspended, and weather he's there to help the team win, or show off for potential employers for next season, I believe he will show up to play. Holcomb may also be back at QB. The Bills were actually half decent with him at the helm. Nice spot to get some value on the Bills after taking a whooping at the hands of NE last week, in a game where the Bills just looked ugly and uninspired. Bills will probably once again lose, but I think this will be a competitive game, with lots of rushing from Denver, since the Bills have a hard time stopping the run, and likewise from Buffalo, cause they know their only real chance to win this one is to keep Denver's offense off the field....similar to what they did at New England a few weeks back. We'll probably have the ball late, with a chance to win, but fall short yet again.
Denver 17
Buffalo 13
Buffalo/Denver under 35
Same reasoning as above.
2 units each
LOL, I don't think I've played on the Pats in years, because they are just about always overpriced. I do like them in this situation. Why? Well, for a few reasons.
#1. I do not think the Bucs are all that good on offense. I have a hard time believing they are going to put up many points on a New England defense that is getting healthy, and has been lights out at home in late season games.
#2. The Brady led Patriots are like some obscene number and 0 in December home games....and December games period for that matter. They just don't lose in this situation, and I really do not believe Tampa Bay will win this game outright....and if they don't, I do not think they will cover either, as most dogs who lose the game do not.
#3. I believe the +4.5 points is strictly there to get some action on TB. At +3 or +3.5, they would get about none...although the lines are similar....and I believe if the oddsmakers believed TB had a shot to win this one, they would be comfortable with +3. The public is slightly on NE (59%), and what did they do? Move it to +5, which I think supports my point that they are trying to get some Tampa action to even things out.
Pats 31
Bucs 10
New York Giants -3 (+105)
I am still not sold on the Chiefs. Giants have been great run stoppers at home, and that is what the Chiefs do best. KC hasn't been the best defensive club either....and it's not hard to see that NY has the obvious defensive advantage in this game. Defense often wins games in December, and I like the Giants chances of winning this one. I also like that 63% are going for the + payout on the Chiefs ML.
Giants 28
Chiefs 24
Buffalo Bills +9
Moulds is back this week after being suspended, and weather he's there to help the team win, or show off for potential employers for next season, I believe he will show up to play. Holcomb may also be back at QB. The Bills were actually half decent with him at the helm. Nice spot to get some value on the Bills after taking a whooping at the hands of NE last week, in a game where the Bills just looked ugly and uninspired. Bills will probably once again lose, but I think this will be a competitive game, with lots of rushing from Denver, since the Bills have a hard time stopping the run, and likewise from Buffalo, cause they know their only real chance to win this one is to keep Denver's offense off the field....similar to what they did at New England a few weeks back. We'll probably have the ball late, with a chance to win, but fall short yet again.
Denver 17
Buffalo 13
Buffalo/Denver under 35
Same reasoning as above.
2 units each