GettingBye Week 13

[GettingBye]

Just the picks today...


Ari -3.5 [2 Units]

Den/KC Over +46 [2 Units]

KC +1 [1 Units]

Was/StL Under +45.5 [1 Units]

StL +3.5 [1Units]


GLA

[GettingBye]

adding...

SD -11.5 [1 unit]

SD dominates Oak ATS, beating them 6 of their last 7 meetings. SD is also on a ATS hot streak, hitting 6 winners out of their past 8 games.

GLA

[GettingBye]

Not a bad day... 5-1 for +7 units.

On to Monday!

[crashmaniac]

GREAT JOB TODAY!:yeah:

[GettingBye]

Thanks crash! I ended up playing a few more as well, but didn't have time to post them. The Cards under and SD 1st half also hit, but as far as this forum goes, it doesn't matter.

Looking at Monday night plays and will be back to post if anything presents itself.

[POPPY]

Originally posted by GettingBye
Thanks crash! I ended up playing a few more as well, but didn't have time to post them. The Cards under and SD 1st half also hit, but as far as this forum goes, it doesn't matter.

Looking at Monday night plays and will be back to post if anything presents itself.


:bang: :bang: :bang: MY SD 1ST HALF LOST LINE WAS @ 7.5

WHEN I PUT IT IN. NOT POSTED!

[DJTranks]

Nice!!

[GettingBye]

A dog fight on Monday night? Sure, why not. Why else would the line be under (-5) in favor of the Hawks – a first this season since playing at St Louis in Week 4?

Seattle is a solid ball club, no doubt. However, 5 of their ‘W’s this year have been by a field goal or less. And do I even need to mention the Giants game last week?

Their opponents haven’t been much of anything to test Seattle, who drew a nice schedule this year, avoiding juggernauts like Diego, Pitts, Denver, NE,, Cinci, and Indi. In fact, only 3 of their last 10 opponents have a non-losing record (3@ 22-14, 7@ 18-42!!). Their 12-2 record would not impress the NFL BCS…. if there was such a ridiculous thing. Lol Now, this doesn’t mean that Philly will give them the fight of their life, but don’t expect the dirty birds to just roll over during Prime Time.

The Eagles D is no slouch and hasn’t been hit as hard with the injury bug as its O. On the flip side, Seattle played against 3 top 10 D’s this year (Jac, Dal, Was) where Sean Alexander has been kept in check (averaging 1TD, but under 80yds/game). If Philly contains Alex the Great, they will have a much easier time controlling the game.

When Seattle has had to cross the country, they hold a 1-6 east coast record (1-5-1 ATS), including an 0-2 drought this year.

Two keys to watch for tonight: How much Seattle puts on the cruise control and turnovers. With St. Louis losing yesterday, Seattle became the first of two teams that clinched their division. This game’s urgency has faded for the Hawks.

Here’s my predictive key to watch for: turnovers.

First of all, the almighty #3 (or 4, depending on your source) Seattle AWAY offense will be matched up against Philly’s #11 HOME defense. More importantly, Seattle’s run offense (ranked #4 away) will be facing the #1 run defense at home. The Eagles have only allowed a smidge under 58yds per game on the ground. So, the logical answer is to have Hasselback throw against a more average pass defense of Philly (#17), right? Well, unfortunately for Seattle, Philly’s CBs have maintained a #5 ranking in interceptions while defending their own turf. That calculates out to almost 2 picks per contest!

So far, my write-up has been high praise of Philly, but don’t get me wrong. Philly’s offense will have to deal with a stingy defense, forcing over 3 sacks per game for over 20 yards of loss ground. And if Seattle can settle down and find their passing lanes, it’s going to be a long night for Philly.

Seattle will be tested on their 0-3 record on Monday nights. So, as dominant as Seattle has appeared to be, this may be a much closer game than people think. 75% of the public is still hitting Seattle and the bookies still moved the line down from –4.0 to –3.5 (and back up to -4.0 since writing this!). Am I saying Philly will win straight up? No, but it might come down to Akers, if there’s a chance, who has found new life after a hammy injury, being named the NFC special teams player of the week.

As long as Philly doesn’t roll over and play dead, and keeps this game close, I see them pulling some late heroics here:

Phi +4.0 [1 unit]

Over has scored on Seattle’s last 5 straight road games (4 of them over 50pts). However, the total is set at low 40s and even though I see where the bookies are going with their number (capping the total at 42-44), I might have to go with my gut over my numbers. The under has hit 3-1 in their past 4 meetings and I see a bigger defensive showdown tonight. I maybe wrong about this, but this all weighs heavily on the number of turnovers committed and caused by both teams.

Sea/Phi Under +40.5 [2 units]

[GettingBye]

Sorry. I posted the line at +4.0, but it's sinced moved to +4.5

Looks like the public likes Seattle! I hope they're wrong. :gulp:

[GettingBye]

What a weak way to end an otherwise decent week! :puke:

6 turnovers leading to Seattle touchdowns? Unbelievable. Ironically, I sited that this game would be determined by turnovers, but I was counting on the inept Philly D to step it up and cause some fumbles and interceptions.

I bet McNabb is laughing his ass off.

The stupidest thing I did was cap the total correctly, and completely ignore my own conclusions. Of course, my "42-44" was based on BOTH teams scoring. Who would've thought Seattle would push the game over... ALL BY THEMSELVES?!?! Not me, that's for sure.

I am humbled. :surrend:

Good job to all the winners tonight. Glancing through the forum, seems there's a handful of you!